Working with the Future
| Author | : Roberto Poli |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : |
| Release | : 2019 |
| Genre | : Electronic books |
| ISBN | : 9788885486911 |
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Working With The Future Ideas And Tools To Govern Uncertainty
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Looking Forward
| Author | : Jamie L. Pietruska |
| Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
| Total Pages | : 295 |
| Release | : 2017-12-08 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 022647500X |
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Introduction: crisis of certainty -- Cotton guesses -- The daily "probabilities"--Weather prophecies -- Economies of the future -- Promises of love and money -- Epilogue: specters of uncertainty
Future Imperfect
| Author | : David D. Friedman |
| Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
| Total Pages | : 0 |
| Release | : 2009-08-18 |
| Genre | : Law |
| ISBN | : 9780511511516 |
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Future Imperfect describes and discusses a variety of technological revolutions that might happen over the next few decades, their implications, and how to deal with them. Topics range from encryption and surveillance through biotechnology and nanotechnology to life extension, mind drugs, virtual reality, and artificial intelligence. One theme of the book is that the future is radically uncertain. Technological changes already begun could lead to more or less privacy than we have ever known, freedom or slavery, effective immortality or the elimination of our species, and radical changes in life, marriage, law, medicine, work, and play. We do not know which future will arrive, but it is unlikely to be much like the past. It is worth starting to think about it now.
The Next Age of Uncertainty
| Author | : Stephen Poloz |
| Publisher | : Penguin |
| Total Pages | : 321 |
| Release | : 2024-02-27 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0735243921 |
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SHORTLISTED FOR THE 2022 SHAUGHNESSY COHEN PRIZE FOR POLITICAL WRITING • SHORTLISTED FOR THE 2022 DONNER PRIZE “The Next Age of Uncertainty combines invaluable historical insights with provocative reflections on the economy of the future—a must read.” —Thomas d’Aquino C.M., LL.D., founding CEO of the Business Council of Canada, and author of Private Power Public Purpose From the former Governor of the Bank of Canada, a far-seeing guide to the powerful economic forces that will shape the decades ahead. The economic ground is shifting beneath our feet. The world is becoming more volatile, and people are understandably worried about their financial futures. In this urgent and accessible guide to the crises and opportunities that lie ahead, economist and former Governor of the Bank of Canada Stephen Poloz maps out the powerful tectonic forces that are shaping our future and the ideas that will allow us to master them. These forces include an aging workforce, mounting debt, and rising income inequality. Technological advances, too, are adding to the pressure, putting people out of work, and climate change is forcing a transition to a lower-carbon economy. It is no surprise that people are feeling uncertain. The implications of these tectonic tensions will cascade throughout every dimension of our lives—the job market, the housing market, the investment climate, as well as government and central bank policy, and the role of the corporation within society. The pandemic has added momentum to many of them. Poloz skillfully argues that past crises, from the Victorian Depression in the late 1800s to the more recent downturn in 2008, give a hint of what is in store for us in the decades ahead. Unlike the purely destructive power of earthquakes, the upheaval that is sure to come in the decades ahead will offer unexpected opportunities for renewal and growth. Filled with takeaways for employers, investors, and policymakers, as well as families discussing jobs and mortgage renewals around the kitchen table, The Next Age of Uncertainty is an indispensable guide for those navigating the fault lines of the risky world ahead.
Handbook of Futures Studies
| Author | : Roberto Poli |
| Publisher | : Edward Elgar Publishing |
| Total Pages | : 543 |
| Release | : 2024-07-05 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : 1035301601 |
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This insightful Handbook emphasizes the unique contribution that Futures Studies offers when understanding and managing current situations. Contributing authors argue that by learning to examine the future in the present, individuals and organizations can expand their abilities to analyze, assess and ultimately make better decisions. This title contains one or more Open Access chapters.
Uncertainty by Design
| Author | : Limor Samimian-Darash |
| Publisher | : Cornell University Press |
| Total Pages | : 188 |
| Release | : 2022-04-15 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : 1501762478 |
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In Uncertainty by Design Limor Samimian-Darash presents cases of the use of scenario technology in the fields of security and emergency preparedness, energy, and health by analyzing scenario narratives and practices at the National Emergency Management Authority in Israel, the World Health Organization's Regional Office for Europe, and the World Energy Council. Humankind has long struggled with the uncertainty of the future, with how to foresee the future, imagine alternatives, or prepare for and guard against undesirable eventualities. Scenario—or scenario planning—emerged in recent decades to become a widespread means through which states, large corporations, and local organizations imagine and prepare for the future. The scenario technology cases examined in Uncertainty by Design provide a useful lens through which to view contemporary efforts to engage in an overall journey of discovering the future, along with the modality of governing involved in these endeavors to face future uncertainties. Collectively, they enable us to understand in depth how scenarios express a new governing modality.
Strategic Foresight
| Author | : Jan Oliver Schwarz |
| Publisher | : Taylor & Francis |
| Total Pages | : 152 |
| Release | : 2023-07-03 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1000895580 |
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Organisations today are being challenged to make sense of changes in environments that, now more than ever, are described as VUCA (volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous). They are also being driven to understand how the future will evolve and what impact it will have not only on the organisations themselves but also on industries and societies. In recent decades a field has emerged to support organisations in addressing these challenges: strategic foresight. This book is a comprehensive introduction to strategic foresight. It presents a history of the field and explains the main principles in thinking about the future. The book describes how organisations can apply strategic foresight and explains how it relates to other fields such as strategy, innovation, and leadership, highlighting the relevance of strategic foresight not only for organisations but also for individuals, particularly managers and leaders. Grounded in the theoretical foundations of strategic foresight, the book reflects the latest academic research and explores practical applications in different contexts. It draws on more than two decades of experience that the author has in the field as a researcher and as a consultant in the corporate context. This is essential reading for managers and leaders of public and private organisations who want to establish strategic foresight practices, as well as students of foresight and managers in the fields of innovation, research & development, and marketing.
Routledge Handbook for Creative Futures
| Author | : Gabrielle Donnelly |
| Publisher | : Taylor & Francis |
| Total Pages | : 528 |
| Release | : 2022-12-30 |
| Genre | : Nature |
| ISBN | : 1000809676 |
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As the uncertainty of global and local contexts continues to amplify, the Routledge Handbook for Creative Futures responds to the increasing urgency for reimagining futures beyond dystopias and utopias. It features essays that explore the challenges of how to think about compelling futures, what these better futures might be like, and what personal and collective practices are emerging that support the creation of more desirable futures. The handbook aims to find a sweet spot somewhere between despair and naïve optimism, neither shying away from the massive socio-environmental planetary challenges currently facing humanity nor offering simplistic feel-good solutions. Instead, it offers ways forward—whether entirely new perspectives or Indigenous and Traditional Knowledge perspectives that have been marginalized within modernity—and shares potential transformative practices. The volume contains contributions from established and emerging scholars, practitioners, and scholar-practitioners with diverse backgrounds and experiences: a mix of Indigenous, Black, Asian, and White/Caucasian contributors, including women, men, and trans people from around the world, in places such as Kenya, India, US, Canada, and Switzerland, among many others. Chapters explore critical concepts alongside personal and collective practices for creating desirable futures at the individual, community, organizational, and societal levels. This scholarly and accessible book will be a valuable resource for researchers and students of leadership studies, social innovation, community and organizational development, policy studies, futures studies, cultural studies, sociology, and management studies. It will also appeal to educators, practitioners, professionals, and policymakers oriented toward activating creative potential for life-affirming futures for all.
Surfing Uncertainty
| Author | : Andy Clark |
| Publisher | : Oxford University Press, USA |
| Total Pages | : 425 |
| Release | : 2016 |
| Genre | : Medical |
| ISBN | : 0190217014 |
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This title brings together work on embodiment, action, and the predictive mind. At the core is the vision of human minds as prediction machines - devices that constantly try to stay one step ahead of the breaking waves of sensory stimulation, by actively predicting the incoming flow. In every situation we encounter, that complex prediction machinery is already buzzing, proactively trying to anticipate the sensory barrage. The book shows in detail how this strange but potent strategy of self-anticipation ushers perception, understanding, and imagination simultaneously onto the cognitive stage.
Futures - Open to Variety
| Author | : Stefan Bergheim |
| Publisher | : Zgf Publishers |
| Total Pages | : 188 |
| Release | : 2021-06-14 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : 9783000690532 |
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"Futures - Open to Variety" is the easy-to-read manual for the wise use of the later-than-now. It will boost your appetite for futures work and provides many concrete suggestions for what you can do in your context. Selected futures methods are presented for practical use. The author shares personal encounters and deep insights from the many futures processes he conducted or advised. Meaningful illustrations facilitate your journey towards higher futures literacy. Contents 1. Talking to Each Other - Dialogue 2. Ask Powerful Questions 3. Dealing with Complexity 4. Involve Many Different People 5. Consider Different Systems 6. The Trend May Be Your Friend 7. Scenarios Open the Mind 8. Visions: Images of Desirable Futures 9. Where We Are: Indicators 10. Searching for a Common Future 11. Looking at Several Levels 12. News from the Futures Literacy Laboratory 13. Inquire Appreciatively 14. Discover the Future in a Playful Way 15. Digital Tools for Futures 16. Futures Dialogue of the German Chancellor 17. Futures of Cities 18. Government Strategy Wellbeing in Germany 19. Shaping Digitalization: #gutlebendigital This book was written for all those who are concerned with the future. Which is basically everyone. Because even when you cross the street, you are dealing with the future. Will the cyclist from the right arrive at a certain point at the same time as you will? Then you should adjust your plan for crossing the road accordingly. You do not need this book for this adjustment. However, future developments are often not so easy to predict, and it is often not possible to make reliable plans. While we might wish for this certainty and predictability, all too often it is unrealistic. The book offers some signposts, backgrounds, experiences, and ideas for action for the confident handling of uncertainty. These ideas should enable the readers to make the various images and assumptions about futures visible and usable in the present. There are many approaches and methods for this. The competency to use these methods for different purposes is called futures literacy. It could be one of the most important competencies of humankind in the 21st century.
