What Explains the Returns in the Mexican Stock Market?

What Explains the Returns in the Mexican Stock Market?
Author: Mauricio Cervantes Zepeda
Publisher:
Total Pages: 198
Release: 1999
Genre: Assets (Accounting)
ISBN:

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El principal objetivo de esta Tesis, es desarrollar un modelo de valuación de activos de capital para el mercado mexicano de acciones, durante el período de julio 1989 a diciembre de 1998. Desde hace más de treinta años la teoría de valuación de títulos financieros ha sido un tópico de debate en los Estados Unidos y aún no se ha alcanzado consenso. Esto se debe a que la investigación en modelos de valuación es una prioridad para incrementar el conocimiento sobre el funcionamiento del mercado y mejorar las regulaciones del mismo. Sin embargo, en México la investigación empírica en los mercados financieros ha sido escasa. Los resultados encontrados en la presente Tesis sugieren que el CAPM es rechazado y un modelo de cinco factores no es rechazado. Los factores son: un índice del mercado, tamaño, valor libros/valor mercado, momento, y tipo de cambio peso/dólar.

What Explains the Returns in the Mexican Stock Market?

What Explains the Returns in the Mexican Stock Market?
Author: Mauricio Cervantes
Publisher:
Total Pages: 174
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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The main objective of this paper is to develop an asset pricing model for the Mexican stock market during the period of July 1989 to December 1998. Asset pricing theory has been a topic of debate in the United States for over thirty years and consensus has not been reached. Pursuit of empirical research in pricing models is a priority in order to increase knowledge of how the market functions and to improve market regulations. Empirical research of the Mexican financial markets is scarce. The results presented in this paper suggest that the CAPM is rejected and a five-factor model is not rejected. The factors are: market index, size, book-to-market equity ratio, momentum, and peso/dollar exchange rate. The results are robust to: the use of returns in dollars or pesos; the inclusion or exclusion of the December 1994 devaluation and the economic after-shock; and the use of value-weighted or equally- weighted market indices. This may be the first study using the mimicking factor approach to describe exchange rate risk. The exchange rate is also tested using the traditional macroeconomic variables as factors technique. With both techniques the beta-loadings are significant and the premium is positive and statistically significant. It is important to find if the beta-loading or the characteristic per se of the factors explain the returns. However, the low number of stocks in the Mexican stock market did not allow the test to clearly discriminate between the beta-loading or the characteristic. This dissertation opens lines of future research in portfolio evaluation, event studies, and corporate finance. The results indicate that additional investigation is required to discriminate between factor beta-loading or characteristics.

Foreign Investment Fluctuations and Emerging Market Stock Returns

Foreign Investment Fluctuations and Emerging Market Stock Returns
Author: John Clark
Publisher:
Total Pages: 46
Release: 1997
Genre: Investments, Foreign
ISBN:

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"We investigate the economically and statistically significant positive correlation between monthly foreign purchases of Mexican stocks and Mexican stock returns. We find that a 1 percent of market capitalization surprise foreign inflow is associated with a 13 percent increase in Mexican stock prices. We explore whether this correlation might be explained by permanent reductions in conditional expected returns resulting from expansion of the investor base along the lines modeled by Merton (1987), or correlations with other factors causing returns, price pressures, or positive feedback strategies by foreign investors, and conclude that the available evidence is consistent with the base-broadening hypothesis"--Abstract.

Foreign Investment Fluctuations and Emerging Market Stock Returns

Foreign Investment Fluctuations and Emerging Market Stock Returns
Author: John Clark
Publisher:
Total Pages: 43
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

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We investigate the economically and statistically significant positive correlation between monthly foreign purchases of Mexican stocks and Mexican stock returns. We find that a 1 percent of market capitalization surprise foreign inflow is associated with a 13 percent increase in Mexican stock prices. We explore whether this correlation might be explained by permanent reductions in conditional expected returns resulting from expansion of the investor base along the lines modeled by Merton (1987), or correlations with other factors causing returns, price pressures, or positive feedback strategies by foreign investors, and conclude that the available evidence is consistent with the base-broadening hypothesis.

Essays on the Mexican stock market

Essays on the Mexican stock market
Author: César Amador Ambriz
Publisher:
Total Pages: 140
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

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This thesis can be seen as a collection of three papers analyzing several facets of the Mexican stock market, each of them with their own objectives, hypothesis and methodology. The objective of the first chapter is to determine if in México the financial sector causes economic growth as postulated in the "supply leading hypothesis". According to the results, VEC and ADL models confirm that the stock market causes economic growth, whereas only the VEC estimates confirm that banks contribute to growth. Causality is unidirectional. The second chapter of this work analyzes the impact in profitability of affiliated firms to a business group and listed in the Mexican stock exchange. The aim of this chapter is twofold: a) provide evidence if affiliated firms are more profitable and b) if firms belonging to a business group carry out the rent extraction practice known as tunneling. This work presents evidence from a large data collection covering all the firms still and once listed in the local stock market from 1990 to 2012. Consequently, is important to mention that an unbalanced panel is utilized, and to avoid endogeneity bias the Generalized Method of Moments that allow the use of instruments is employed. According to the results, firms affiliated to business groups tend to have higher levels of profitability, however during recessions they carry out the practice of tunneling. Although this is undesirable, is pertinent to say that this phenomenon is not permanent. The objective of chapter 3 is to present evidence that market return is the only pricing factor needed for modeling stock returns. The Transfer Function Model was designed to exploit the structure of current and lagged information of one explanatory variable and the ARIMA terms. This work can offer a new methodology for price discovery that improves the market model estimations.

Asset Allocation and International Investments

Asset Allocation and International Investments
Author: G. Gregoriou
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 263
Release: 2006-11-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0230626513

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This book relates to strategic asset allocation for institutional investors. It consists of a collection of edited papers from academics worldwide on the latest developments in asset allocation, portfolio management and international investments. These expert studies can improve the risk and return characteristics of your investment portfolio.

Stock Market Anomalies

Stock Market Anomalies
Author: Victor Silverio Posadas Hernandez
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 205
Release: 2007-11-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3835091034

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Victor Silverio Posadas Hernandez explores three sets of questions: What are the investment laws in the Latin American emerging markets (LAEM) and how do they compare to those of developed countries? How heterogeneous are the implicit trading costs in the LAEM and which factors are responsible for the heterogeneity? How does the predictability of stock returns in the LAEM differ from those documented for developed markets?