WAIC and WBIC with Python Stan

WAIC and WBIC with Python Stan
Author: Joe Suzuki
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 249
Release: 2024-01-09
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 9819938414
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Master the art of machine learning and data science by diving into the essence of mathematical logic with this comprehensive textbook. This book focuses on the widely applicable information criterion (WAIC), also described as the Watanabe-Akaike information criterion, and the widely applicable Bayesian information criterion (WBIC), also described as the Watanabe Bayesian information criterion. The book expertly guides you through relevant mathematical problems while also providing hands-on experience with programming in Python and Stan. Whether you’re a data scientist looking to refine your model selection process or a researcher who wants to explore the latest developments in Bayesian statistics, this accessible guide will give you a firm grasp of Watanabe Bayesian Theory. The key features of this indispensable book include: A clear and self-contained writing style, ensuring ease of understanding for readers at various levels of expertise. 100 carefully selected exercises accompanied by solutions in the main text, enabling readers to effectively gauge their progress and comprehension. A comprehensive guide to Sumio Watanabe’s groundbreaking Bayes theory, demystifying a subject once considered too challenging even for seasoned statisticians. Detailed source programs and Stan codes that will enhance readers’ grasp of the mathematical concepts presented. A streamlined approach to algebraic geometry topics in Chapter 6, making Bayes theory more accessible and less daunting. Embark on your machine learning and data science journey with this essential textbook and unlock the full potential of WAIC and WBIC today!

WAIC and WBIC with R Stan

WAIC and WBIC with R Stan
Author: Joe Suzuki
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 241
Release: 2023-11-25
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 9819938384
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Master the art of machine learning and data science by diving into the essence of mathematical logic with this comprehensive textbook. This book focuses on the widely applicable information criterion (WAIC), also described as the Watanabe-Akaike information criterion, and the widely applicable Bayesian information criterion (WBIC), also described as the Watanabe Bayesian information criterion. This book expertly guides you through relevant mathematical problems while also providing hands-on experience with programming in R and Stan. Whether you’re a data scientist looking to refine your model selection process or a researcher who wants to explore the latest developments in Bayesian statistics, this accessible guide will give you a firm grasp of Watanabe Bayesian Theory. The key features of this indispensable book include: A clear and self-contained writing style, ensuring ease of understanding for readers at various levels of expertise. 100 carefully selected exercises accompanied by solutions in the main text, enabling readers to effectively gauge their progress and comprehension. A comprehensive guide to Sumio Watanabe’s groundbreaking Bayes theory, demystifying a subject once considered too challenging even for seasoned statisticians. Detailed source programs and Stan codes that will enhance readers’ grasp of the mathematical concepts presented. A streamlined approach to algebraic geometry topics in Chapter 6, making Bayes theory more accessible and less daunting. Embark on your machine learning and data science journey with this essential textbook and unlock the full potential of WAIC and WBIC today!

Bayesian Statistical Modeling with Stan, R, and Python

Bayesian Statistical Modeling with Stan, R, and Python
Author: Kentaro Matsuura
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 395
Release: 2023-01-24
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 9811947554
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This book provides a highly practical introduction to Bayesian statistical modeling with Stan, which has become the most popular probabilistic programming language. The book is divided into four parts. The first part reviews the theoretical background of modeling and Bayesian inference and presents a modeling workflow that makes modeling more engineering than art. The second part discusses the use of Stan, CmdStanR, and CmdStanPy from the very beginning to basic regression analyses. The third part then introduces a number of probability distributions, nonlinear models, and hierarchical (multilevel) models, which are essential to mastering statistical modeling. It also describes a wide range of frequently used modeling techniques, such as censoring, outliers, missing data, speed-up, and parameter constraints, and discusses how to lead convergence of MCMC. Lastly, the fourth part examines advanced topics for real-world data: longitudinal data analysis, state space models, spatial data analysis, Gaussian processes, Bayesian optimization, dimensionality reduction, model selection, and information criteria, demonstrating that Stan can solve any one of these problems in as little as 30 lines. Using numerous easy-to-understand examples, the book explains key concepts, which continue to be useful when using future versions of Stan and when using other statistical modeling tools. The examples do not require domain knowledge and can be generalized to many fields. The book presents full explanations of code and math formulas, enabling readers to extend models for their own problems. All the code and data are on GitHub.

Advancements in Bayesian Methods and Implementations

Advancements in Bayesian Methods and Implementations
Author:
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 322
Release: 2022-10-06
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0323952690
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Advancements in Bayesian Methods and Implementation, Volume 47 in the Handbook of Statistics series, highlights new advances in the field, with this new volume presenting interesting chapters on a variety of timely topics, including Fisher Information, Cramer-Rao and Bayesian Paradigm, Compound beta binomial distribution functions, MCMC for GLMMS, Signal Processing and Bayesian, Mathematical theory of Bayesian statistics where all models are wrong, Machine Learning and Bayesian, Non-parametric Bayes, Bayesian testing, and Data Analysis with humans, Variational inference or Functional horseshoe, Generalized Bayes. Provides the authority and expertise of leading contributors from an international board of authors Presents the latest release in the Handbook of Statistics series Updated release includes the latest information on Advancements in Bayesian Methods and Implementation

Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition

Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition
Author: Andrew Gelman
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 677
Release: 2013-11-01
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1439840954
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Now in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied approach to analysis using up-to-date Bayesian methods. The authors—all leaders in the statistics community—introduce basic concepts from a data-analytic perspective before presenting advanced methods. Throughout the text, numerous worked examples drawn from real applications and research emphasize the use of Bayesian inference in practice. New to the Third Edition Four new chapters on nonparametric modeling Coverage of weakly informative priors and boundary-avoiding priors Updated discussion of cross-validation and predictive information criteria Improved convergence monitoring and effective sample size calculations for iterative simulation Presentations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, variational Bayes, and expectation propagation New and revised software code The book can be used in three different ways. For undergraduate students, it introduces Bayesian inference starting from first principles. For graduate students, the text presents effective current approaches to Bayesian modeling and computation in statistics and related fields. For researchers, it provides an assortment of Bayesian methods in applied statistics. Additional materials, including data sets used in the examples, solutions to selected exercises, and software instructions, are available on the book’s web page.

Mathematical Theory of Bayesian Statistics

Mathematical Theory of Bayesian Statistics
Author: Sumio Watanabe
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 331
Release: 2018-04-27
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 148223808X
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Mathematical Theory of Bayesian Statistics introduces the mathematical foundation of Bayesian inference which is well-known to be more accurate in many real-world problems than the maximum likelihood method. Recent research has uncovered several mathematical laws in Bayesian statistics, by which both the generalization loss and the marginal likelihood are estimated even if the posterior distribution cannot be approximated by any normal distribution. Features Explains Bayesian inference not subjectively but objectively. Provides a mathematical framework for conventional Bayesian theorems. Introduces and proves new theorems. Cross validation and information criteria of Bayesian statistics are studied from the mathematical point of view. Illustrates applications to several statistical problems, for example, model selection, hyperparameter optimization, and hypothesis tests. This book provides basic introductions for students, researchers, and users of Bayesian statistics, as well as applied mathematicians. Author Sumio Watanabe is a professor of Department of Mathematical and Computing Science at Tokyo Institute of Technology. He studies the relationship between algebraic geometry and mathematical statistics.

Bayesian Population Analysis Using WinBUGS

Bayesian Population Analysis Using WinBUGS
Author: Marc Kéry
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 556
Release: 2012
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 0123870208
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Bayesian statistics has exploded into biology and its sub-disciplines, such as ecology, over the past decade. The free software program WinBUGS, and its open-source sister OpenBugs, is currently the only flexible and general-purpose program available with which the average ecologist can conduct standard and non-standard Bayesian statistics. Comprehensive and richly commented examples illustrate a wide range of models that are most relevant to the research of a modern population ecologist All WinBUGS/OpenBUGS analyses are completely integrated in software R Includes complete documentation of all R and WinBUGS code required to conduct analyses and shows all the necessary steps from having the data in a text file out of Excel to interpreting and processing the output from WinBUGS in R

Handbook of Markov Chain Monte Carlo

Handbook of Markov Chain Monte Carlo
Author: Steve Brooks
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 620
Release: 2011-05-10
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1420079425
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Since their popularization in the 1990s, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have revolutionized statistical computing and have had an especially profound impact on the practice of Bayesian statistics. Furthermore, MCMC methods have enabled the development and use of intricate models in an astonishing array of disciplines as diverse as fisherie

The BUGS Book

The BUGS Book
Author: David Lunn
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 393
Release: 2012-10-02
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1466586664
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Bayesian statistical methods have become widely used for data analysis and modelling in recent years, and the BUGS software has become the most popular software for Bayesian analysis worldwide. Authored by the team that originally developed this software, The BUGS Book provides a practical introduction to this program and its use. The text presents

Bayesian Data Analysis in Ecology Using Linear Models with R, BUGS, and Stan

Bayesian Data Analysis in Ecology Using Linear Models with R, BUGS, and Stan
Author: Franzi Korner-Nievergelt
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 329
Release: 2015-04-04
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0128016787
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Bayesian Data Analysis in Ecology Using Linear Models with R, BUGS, and STAN examines the Bayesian and frequentist methods of conducting data analyses. The book provides the theoretical background in an easy-to-understand approach, encouraging readers to examine the processes that generated their data. Including discussions of model selection, model checking, and multi-model inference, the book also uses effect plots that allow a natural interpretation of data. Bayesian Data Analysis in Ecology Using Linear Models with R, BUGS, and STAN introduces Bayesian software, using R for the simple modes, and flexible Bayesian software (BUGS and Stan) for the more complicated ones. Guiding the ready from easy toward more complex (real) data analyses ina step-by-step manner, the book presents problems and solutions—including all R codes—that are most often applicable to other data and questions, making it an invaluable resource for analyzing a variety of data types. Introduces Bayesian data analysis, allowing users to obtain uncertainty measurements easily for any derived parameter of interest Written in a step-by-step approach that allows for eased understanding by non-statisticians Includes a companion website containing R-code to help users conduct Bayesian data analyses on their own data All example data as well as additional functions are provided in the R-package blmeco