The Wage-Price Spiral

The Wage-Price Spiral
Author: Ms.Magda E. Kandil
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 38
Release: 2003-08-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451858019

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Using quarterly time-series data for a sample of twelve industrial countries, the paper investigates the dynamics of nominal wage and price adjustments in the face of aggregate demand shocks. The evidence illustrates patterns of the wage-price spiral and accompanying fluctuations. During economic expansions, the overlap of nominal adjustments in labor and product markets prolongs output expansion while maintaining or increasing the standard of living. In contrast, structural and institutional settings appear to have moderated the severity of the effects of contractionary demand shocks on real output growth and the standard of living in the variety of countries under investigation.

The Wage-Price Spiral Industrial Country Evidence and Implications

The Wage-Price Spiral Industrial Country Evidence and Implications
Author: Magda Kandil
Publisher:
Total Pages: 37
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

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Using quarterly time-series data for a sample of twelve industrial countries, the paper investigates the dynamics of nominal wage and price adjustments in the face of aggregate demand shocks. The evidence illustrates patterns of the wage-price spiral and accompanying fluctuations. During economic expansions, the overlap of nominal adjustments in labor and product markets prolongs output expansion while maintaining or increasing the standard of living. In contrast, structural and institutional settings appear to have moderated the severity of the effects of contractionary demand shocks on real output growth and the standard of living in the variety of countries under investigation.

Dutch Inflation: Developments, Drivers, and the Risk of Wage-Price Spiral

Dutch Inflation: Developments, Drivers, and the Risk of Wage-Price Spiral
Author: Saioa Armendariz
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 31
Release: 2023-03-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Global inflation surged in 2022, driven by high gas price growth. With Russia being a key supplier of energy products, the start of the war in Ukraine has led to strong inflationary pressures in the euro area (EA), given the region’s significant exposure to the Russian gas. The price shock has been particularly strong in the Netherlands, largely due to the larger share of gas on the energy mix compared to other peers, making the country vulnerable to changing market conditions.

Wage-Price Spirals: What is the Historical Evidence?

Wage-Price Spirals: What is the Historical Evidence?
Author: Jorge Alvarez
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 29
Release: 2022-11-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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How often have wage-price spirals occurred, and what has happened in their aftermath? We investigate this by creating a database of past wage-price spirals among a wide set of advanced economies going back to the 1960s. We define a wage-price spiral as an episode where at least three out of four consecutive quarters saw accelerating consumer prices and rising nominal wages. Perhaps surprisingly, only a small minority of such episodes were followed by sustained acceleration in wages and prices. Instead, inflation and nominal wage growth tended to stabilize, leaving real wage growth broadly unchanged. A decomposition of wage dynamics using a wage Phillips curve suggests that nominal wage growth normally stabilizes at levels that are consistent with observed inflation and labor market tightness. When focusing on episodes that mimic the recent pattern of falling real wages and tightening labor markets, declining inflation and nominal wage growth increases tended to follow – thus allowing real wages to catch up. We conclude that an acceleration of nominal wages should not necessarily be seen as a sign that a wage-price spiral is taking hold.

The Wage Price Spiral

The Wage Price Spiral
Author: Olivier J. Blanchard
Publisher:
Total Pages: 29
Release: 1985
Genre: Inflation (Finance)
ISBN:

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This paper rehabilitates the old wage price spiral. It shows that, after an increase in aggregate demand, the process of adjustment of nominal prices and nominal wages results from attempts by workers to maintain or increase their real wage and by firms to maintain or increase their markups of prices over wages. Under continuous price and wage setting, the process of adjustment would be instantaneous ; under staggering of price and wage decisions, the adjustment takes time. The more inflexible real wages and markups are to shifts in demand, the higher is the degree of price level inertia, the longer lasting are the effects of aggregate demand on output

Inflation and Output

Inflation and Output
Author: Palle Schelde Andersen
Publisher:
Total Pages: 96
Release: 1989
Genre: Deflation (Finance)
ISBN:

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Reviews the short and long-run trends in output inflation and money supply growth. Discusses major models of the wage-price mechanisism and then turns to the empirical evidence with respect to the parameters of wage and price.