Volatility - A Macro Perspective

Volatility - A Macro Perspective
Author: Nikhil Kumar N.
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

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Along with the developments in financial markets across the globe, there has been a growing perception that volatility in asset returns have gone up. Volatility sure has gone up, but how much of it is backed by information arrivals and how much by other factors is a matter of debate. The regulator as a watchdog can play a leading role in this regard. By exercising its control over the various market participants, it can play down the factors which should not affect stock returns, but still does. However, any effort in the direction would require collective efforts from all the market participants. The paper highlights the possible impact volatility can have on the markets in particular as well as the larger implications on the economy. The paper also identifies the various factors which cause the volatility to increase to exorbitant levels and suggest measure to mitigate it.

Diverging Trends in Macro and Micro Volatility

Diverging Trends in Macro and Micro Volatility
Author: Diego Comin
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2004
Genre: Business cycles
ISBN:

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This paper documents the diverging trends in volatility of the growth rate of sales at the aggregate and firm level. We establish that the upward trend in micro volatility is not simply driven by a compositional bias in the sample studied. We argue that this new fact sheds some shadows on the proposed explanations for the decline in aggregate volatility and that, given the symmetry of the diverging trends at the micro and macro level, a common explanation is likely. We conclude by describing one such theory.

Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets

Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets
Author: Otaviano Canuto
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 307
Release: 2013-10-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1464800030

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This book deals with the challenges of macro financial linkages in the emerging markets.

Volatility as a Choice

Volatility as a Choice
Author: Maciej Konrad Dudek
Publisher:
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

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Human beliefs, while always remaining in equilibrium, serve as a an equilibrium selector and determine the degree of aggregate volatility. Fully rational and risk averse economic agents expect macro-level dynamics to be characterized by a specific degree of volatility. Given this expectation the agents respond rationally by building up higher buyer stock savings in response to perceived volatility. The economy, given the change in individual behavior, responds, the process of physical capital formation is endogenously altered, and it displays volatility that is in line with the initial expectation of rational economic agents. As a result, the beliefs, while being self-confirming, determine endogenously the degree of volatility at the aggregate level.

The Growth of Firms

The Growth of Firms
Author: Alex Coad
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 209
Release: 2009-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1848449100

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Research into firm growth has been accumulating at a terrific pace, and Alex Coad s survey of this multifaceted field provides a detailed, comprehensive overview of the latest developments. Much progress has been made in empirical research into firm growth in recent decades due to factors such as the availability of detailed longitudinal datasets, more powerful computers and new econometric techniques. This book provides an up-to-date catalogue of empirical work, as well as a coherent theoretical structure within which these new results can be interpreted and understood. It brings together a large body of recent research on firm growth from a multidisciplinary perspective, providing an up-to-date synthesis of stylized facts and empirical regularities. Numerous empirical findings and theories of firm growth are also surveyed and compared in order to evaluate their validity. Drawing on a vast and diverse body of research, this book will prove invaluable to students, academics, policy makers and practitioners with a need to keep abreast of studies in industrial organization, firm growth and management.

Volatility and Growth

Volatility and Growth
Author: Philippe Aghion
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Total Pages: 159
Release: 2005-07-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199248613

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An original work containing new theory and empirical analyses on the macropolicy of growth. Provides a new approach capable of generating relevant policy prescriptions. Written in an accessible style using simple models.

Interpreting the Great Moderation

Interpreting the Great Moderation
Author: Steven J. Davis
Publisher:
Total Pages: 37
Release: 2008
Genre: Economic stabilization
ISBN:

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"We review evidence on the Great Moderation in conjunction with evidence about volatility trends at the micro level. We combine the two types of evidence to develop a tentative story for important components of the aggregate volatility decline and its consequences. The key ingredients are declines in firm-level volatility and aggregate volatility -- most dramatically in the durable goods sector -- but the absence of a decline in household consumption volatility and individual earnings uncertainty. Our explanation for the aggregate volatility decline stresses improved supply-chain management, particularly in the durable goods sector, and, less important, a shift in production and employment from goods to services. We provide evidence that better inventory control made a substantial contribution to declines in firm-level and aggregate volatility. Consistent with this view, if we look past the turbulent 1970s and early 1980s much of the moderation reflects a decline in high frequency (short-term) fluctuations. While these developments represent efficiency gains, they do not imply (nor is there evidence for) a reduction in economic uncertainty faced by individuals and households"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site

Market Volatility

Market Volatility
Author: Robert J. Shiller
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 486
Release: 1992-01-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262691512

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Market Volatility proposes an innovative theory, backed by substantial statistical evidence, on the causes of price fluctuations in speculative markets. It challenges the standard efficient markets model for explaining asset prices by emphasizing the significant role that popular opinion or psychology can play in price volatility. Why does the stock market crash from time to time? Why does real estate go in and out of booms? Why do long term borrowing rates suddenly make surprising shifts? Market Volatility represents a culmination of Shiller's research on these questions over the last dozen years. It contains reprints of major papers with new interpretive material for those unfamiliar with the issues, new papers, new surveys of relevant literature, responses to critics, data sets, and reframing of basic conclusions. Included is work authored jointly with John Y. Campbell, Karl E. Case, Sanford J. Grossman, and Jeremy J. Siegel. Market Volatility sets out basic issues relevant to all markets in which prices make movements for speculative reasons and offers detailed analyses of the stock market, the bond market, and the real estate market. It pursues the relations of these speculative prices and extends the analysis of speculative markets to macroeconomic activity in general. In studies of the October 1987 stock market crash and boom and post-boom housing markets, Market Volatility reports on research directly aimed at collecting information about popular models and interpreting the consequences of belief in those models. Shiller asserts that popular models cause people to react incorrectly to economic data and believes that changing popular models themselves contribute significantly to price movements bearing no relation to fundamental shocks.

Good Luck Or Good Policy?

Good Luck Or Good Policy?
Author: Gaetano Gaballo
Publisher:
Total Pages: 28
Release: 2011
Genre: Economic forecasting
ISBN:

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Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy

Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy
Author: Matthias Kalkuhl
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 620
Release: 2016-04-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319282018

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This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.