Valuation and Volatility

Valuation and Volatility
Author: Dinabandhu Bag
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2022
Genre:
ISBN: 9789811611360

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This textbook provides a first-hand account of impact of volatility on valuations. It focuses on valuation of the investment with fair, practical and insightful explanations. Volatility in markets can form the foundation of fair value. A marginal change in volatility has a significant impact on the effective cost of borrowing (capital). Portfolio managers, fund managers and corporates continue to watch as prices plunge due to volatility and can impose future restrictions on their skillful maneuver. The book highlights the approaches, design of tests, comparison and matching or making of models. It delves into techniques for measuring the contours and boundaries of risk and translating the losses to end impact. It explains the post facto and post period nuances to recover from money loss. The book further elaborates combining positions and hedging, to evaluate and choose to conduct tests of effectiveness. It provides guidance on benchmarks of portfolios, tax implications and carrying forward benefits of losses. The text includes examples and business use cases that build on analysis, common tools and highlights the end use of volatility for stakeholders.

Market Volatility

Market Volatility
Author: Robert J. Shiller
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 486
Release: 1992-01-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262691512

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Market Volatility proposes an innovative theory, backed by substantial statistical evidence, on the causes of price fluctuations in speculative markets. It challenges the standard efficient markets model for explaining asset prices by emphasizing the significant role that popular opinion or psychology can play in price volatility. Why does the stock market crash from time to time? Why does real estate go in and out of booms? Why do long term borrowing rates suddenly make surprising shifts? Market Volatility represents a culmination of Shiller's research on these questions over the last dozen years. It contains reprints of major papers with new interpretive material for those unfamiliar with the issues, new papers, new surveys of relevant literature, responses to critics, data sets, and reframing of basic conclusions. Included is work authored jointly with John Y. Campbell, Karl E. Case, Sanford J. Grossman, and Jeremy J. Siegel. Market Volatility sets out basic issues relevant to all markets in which prices make movements for speculative reasons and offers detailed analyses of the stock market, the bond market, and the real estate market. It pursues the relations of these speculative prices and extends the analysis of speculative markets to macroeconomic activity in general. In studies of the October 1987 stock market crash and boom and post-boom housing markets, Market Volatility reports on research directly aimed at collecting information about popular models and interpreting the consequences of belief in those models. Shiller asserts that popular models cause people to react incorrectly to economic data and believes that changing popular models themselves contribute significantly to price movements bearing no relation to fundamental shocks.

Valuation and Volatility

Valuation and Volatility
Author: Dinabandhu Bag
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 177
Release: 2022-02-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9811611351

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This textbook provides a first-hand account of impact of volatility on valuations. It focuses on valuation of the investment with fair, practical and insightful explanations. Volatility in markets can form the foundation of fair value. A marginal change in volatility has a significant impact on the effective cost of borrowing (capital). Portfolio managers, fund managers and corporates continue to watch as prices plunge due to volatility and can impose future restrictions on their skillful maneuver. The book highlights the approaches, design of tests, comparison and matching or making of models. It delves into techniques for measuring the contours and boundaries of risk and translating the losses to end impact. It explains the post facto and post period nuances to recover from money loss. The book further elaborates combining positions and hedging, to evaluate and choose to conduct tests of effectiveness. It provides guidance on benchmarks of portfolios, tax implications and carrying forward benefits of losses. The text includes examples and business use cases that build on analysis, common tools and highlights the end use of volatility for stakeholders.

Option Valuation Under Stochastic Volatility II

Option Valuation Under Stochastic Volatility II
Author: Alan L. Lewis
Publisher:
Total Pages: 748
Release: 2016-05-12
Genre:
ISBN: 9780967637211

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This book is a sequel to the author's well-received "Option Valuation under Stochastic Volatility." It extends that work to jump-diffusions and many related topics in quantitative finance. Topics include spectral theory for jump-diffusions, boundary behavior for short-term interest rate models, modelling VIX options, inference theory, discrete dividends, and more. It provides approximately 750 pages of original research in 26 chapters, with 165 illustrations, Mathematica, and some C/C++ codes. The first 12 chapters (550 pages) are completely new. Also included are reprints of selected previous publications of the author for convenient reference. The book should interest both researchers and quantitatively-oriented investors and traders. First 12 chapters: Slow Reflection, Jump-Returns, & Short-term Interest Rates Spectral Theory for Jump-diffusions Joint Time Series Modelling of SPX and VIX Modelling VIX Options (and Futures) under Stochastic Volatility Stochastic Volatility as a Hidden Markov Model Continuous-time Inference: Mathematical Methods and Worked Examples A Closer Look at the Square-root and 3/2-model A Closer Look at the SABR Model Back to Basics: An Update on the Discrete Dividend Problem PDE Numerics without the Pain Exact Solution to Double Barrier Problems under a Class of Processes Advanced Smile Asymptotics: Geometry, Geodesics, and All That

Beast on Wall Street

Beast on Wall Street
Author: Robert A. Haugen
Publisher: Pearson
Total Pages: 170
Release: 1999
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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It is now abundantly clear that stock volatility is a contagious disease that spreads virulently from market to market around the world. Price changes in one market drive subsequent price changes in that market as well as in others. In Beast, Haugen makes a compelling case for the fact that even under normal conditions, fully 80 percent of stock volatility is price driven. Moreover, this volatility is far from benign. It acts to reduce the level of investment spending and constitutes a significant and permanent drag on economic growth. Price-driven volatility is unstable. Dramatic and unpredictable explosions in price-driven volatility can send stock markets in a downward spiral and cause significant disruptions in economic activity. Haugen argues that this indeed happened in 1929 and 1930. If volatility in Asian markets persists, it can easily become the source of the problem rather than merely a symptom.

Volatility Trading, + website

Volatility Trading, + website
Author: Euan Sinclair
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 228
Release: 2008-06-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470181990

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In Volatility Trading, Sinclair offers you a quantitative model for measuring volatility in order to gain an edge in your everyday option trading endeavors. With an accessible, straightforward approach. He guides traders through the basics of option pricing, volatility measurement, hedging, money management, and trade evaluation. In addition, Sinclair explains the often-overlooked psychological aspects of trading, revealing both how behavioral psychology can create market conditions traders can take advantage of-and how it can lead them astray. Psychological biases, he asserts, are probably the drivers behind most sources of edge available to a volatility trader. Your goal, Sinclair explains, must be clearly defined and easily expressed-if you cannot explain it in one sentence, you probably aren't completely clear about what it is. The same applies to your statistical edge. If you do not know exactly what your edge is, you shouldn't trade. He shows how, in addition to the numerical evaluation of a potential trade, you should be able to identify and evaluate the reason why implied volatility is priced where it is, that is, why an edge exists. This means it is also necessary to be on top of recent news stories, sector trends, and behavioral psychology. Finally, Sinclair underscores why trades need to be sized correctly, which means that each trade is evaluated according to its projected return and risk in the overall context of your goals. As the author concludes, while we also need to pay attention to seemingly mundane things like having good execution software, a comfortable office, and getting enough sleep, it is knowledge that is the ultimate source of edge. So, all else being equal, the trader with the greater knowledge will be the more successful. This book, and its companion CD-ROM, will provide that knowledge. The CD-ROM includes spreadsheets designed to help you forecast volatility and evaluate trades together with simulation engines.

Aircraft Valuation in Volatile Market Conditions

Aircraft Valuation in Volatile Market Conditions
Author: Bijan Vasigh
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2022
Genre:
ISBN: 9783030824518

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This book provides indispensable knowledge for practitioners in aircraft financing. It presents an innovative framework that treats valuation analysis as a systematic effort in problem-solving directed at rational financial decision-making. It incorporates much of the modern approach to financial investment decision-making. It proposes essential tools of flexibility, adaptability, and commonality of aircraft financial analyses that apply to an almost infinite variety of valuation problem situations. Once these connections have been introduced, the reader will be equipped with an understanding of the underlying concepts of aircraft valuation processes and techniques and the subsequent financing alternatives available to fund aircraft assets. This is an essential book for airline professionals, aircraft leasing companies, consultants, bankers, government officials, and students of aircraft finance. It is an approachable resource for those without a formal background in finance.

Volatility

Volatility
Author: Robert A. Schwartz
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 152
Release: 2010-11-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1441914749

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Volatility is very much with us in today's equity markets. Day-to-day price swings are often large and intra-day volatility elevated, especially at market openings and closings. What explains this? What does this say about the quality of our markets? Can short-period volatility be controlled by better market design and a more effective use of electronic technology? Featuring insights from an international array of prominent academics, financial markets experts, policymakers and journalists, the book addresses these and other questions concerning this timely topic. In so doing, we seek deeper knowledge of the dynamic process of price formation, and of the market structure and regulatory environment within which our markets function. The Zicklin School of Business Financial Markets Series presents the insights emerging from a sequence of conferences hosted by the Zicklin School at Baruch College for industry professionals, regulators, and scholars. Much more than historical documents, the transcripts from the conferences are edited for clarity, perspective and context; material and comments from subsequent interviews with the panelists and speakers are integrated for a complete thematic presentation. Each book is focused on a well delineated topic, but all deliver broader insights into the quality and efficiency of the U.S. equity markets and the dynamic forces changing them.

Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction

Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction
Author: Stephen J. Taylor
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 544
Release: 2007-09-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780691134796

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This book shows how current and recent market prices convey information about the probability distributions that govern future prices. Moving beyond purely theoretical models, Stephen Taylor applies methods supported by empirical research of equity and foreign exchange markets to show how daily and more frequent asset prices, and the prices of option contracts, can be used to construct and assess predictions about future prices, their volatility, and their probability distributions. Stephen Taylor provides a comprehensive introduction to the dynamic behavior of asset prices, relying on finance theory and statistical evidence. He uses stochastic processes to define mathematical models for price dynamics, but with less mathematics than in alternative texts. The key topics covered include random walk tests, trading rules, ARCH models, stochastic volatility models, high-frequency datasets, and the information that option prices imply about volatility and distributions. Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction is ideal for students of economics, finance, and mathematics who are studying financial econometrics, and will enable researchers to identify and apply appropriate models and methods. It will likewise be a valuable resource for quantitative analysts, fund managers, risk managers, and investors who seek realistic expectations about future asset prices and the risks to which they are exposed.