Travel Demand Modeling Based on Cellular Probe Data

Travel Demand Modeling Based on Cellular Probe Data
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2012
Genre:
ISBN:

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A comprehensive travel demand modeling methodology using cellular probe data is presented in this thesis, which includes a static daily O-D estimation model, a mode share estimation model and a dynamic (time-dependent) O-D estimation model. At first, the cellular probe trajectories are obtained by recording all the signal-transition events of cellular probes to determine the trip origins and destinations. The ownership of cell phone was treated as a conditional probability depending on users' socio-economic factors available in the census data such as age, race, household income, etc. Thereinafter, the traveling population daily O-D demand was estimated via a robust Horvitz-Thompson estimator. The methodology was tested via a VISSIM simulation and results were compared with a conventional simple random sampling (SRS) method. The comparison outcome shows great potential of using cellular probe data as a means to estimating O-D travel demand. The mode share estimation model consists of two major parts: offline learning and online inference. The offline learning extracts the temporal and speed features from the cellular probe trajectories. The model parameters are calibrated through the offline learning process. The online inference determines the transportation mode for individual cell phone user in a real-time manner. The methodology was tested via a VISSIM based simulation and a case study designed for both the offline learning and online inference parts. The results show the great potential of using the information of cellular probe trajectories as a means to estimating the transportation mode shares. A Kalman filter based dynamic O-D estimation and prediction model is also proposed. Not like the traditional Kalman filter based O-D estimation method, in which the link traffic counts and the link traffic assignment matrix are mostly taken into consideration in the observation equation, this method utilizes the cellular probe counts crossing the cell boundaries as the observed variables and derives an assignment matrix which assigns the cellular probe counts to subsets of the links - those links covered by the cell boundaries. By conducting the simulation and field experiments, it is observed that the model is a feasible means to estimate and predict the dynamic O-D matrix.

Innovations in Travel Demand Modeling: Session summaries

Innovations in Travel Demand Modeling: Session summaries
Author:
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
Total Pages: 82
Release: 2008
Genre: Choice of transportation
ISBN: 0309113423

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The 31 individual authored papers from the breakout sessions are contained in Volume 2"--Pub. desc.

Travel Demand Forecasting: Parameters and Techniques

Travel Demand Forecasting: Parameters and Techniques
Author:
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
Total Pages: 170
Release: 2012
Genre: Traffic estimation
ISBN: 0309214009

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TRB’s National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) Report 716: Travel Demand Forecasting: Parameters and Techniques provides guidelines on travel demand forecasting procedures and their application for helping to solve common transportation problems.

Advances in Traffic Transportation and Civil Architecture

Advances in Traffic Transportation and Civil Architecture
Author: Run Liu
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 1310
Release: 2023-06-05
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1000936783

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Advances in Traffic Transportation and Civil Architecture focuses on the research of traffic infrastructure. This proceedings gathers the most cutting-edge research and achievements, aiming to provide scholars and engineers with a preferable research direction and engineering solutions as reference. Subjects in this proceedings include: - Road Engineering - Bridge Engineering - Tunneling - Construction Technology and Processes The works of this proceedings aim to promote the development of civil engineering and construction technology. Thereby, promote scientific information interchange between scholars from the top universities, research centers and high-tech enterprises working all around the world.

Urban Informatics

Urban Informatics
Author: Wenzhong Shi
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 941
Release: 2021-04-06
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 9811589836

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This open access book is the first to systematically introduce the principles of urban informatics and its application to every aspect of the city that involves its functioning, control, management, and future planning. It introduces new models and tools being developed to understand and implement these technologies that enable cities to function more efficiently – to become ‘smart’ and ‘sustainable’. The smart city has quickly emerged as computers have become ever smaller to the point where they can be embedded into the very fabric of the city, as well as being central to new ways in which the population can communicate and act. When cities are wired in this way, they have the potential to become sentient and responsive, generating massive streams of ‘big’ data in real time as well as providing immense opportunities for extracting new forms of urban data through crowdsourcing. This book offers a comprehensive review of the methods that form the core of urban informatics from various kinds of urban remote sensing to new approaches to machine learning and statistical modelling. It provides a detailed technical introduction to the wide array of tools information scientists need to develop the key urban analytics that are fundamental to learning about the smart city, and it outlines ways in which these tools can be used to inform design and policy so that cities can become more efficient with a greater concern for environment and equity.

Recent Progress in Activity-Based Travel Demand Modeling

Recent Progress in Activity-Based Travel Demand Modeling
Author: Hai L. Vu
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2019
Genre: Electronic books
ISBN:

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Over 30¬†years have passed since activity-based travel demand models (ABMs) emerged to overcome the limitations of the preceding models which have dominated the field for over 50¬†years. Activity-based models are valuable tools for transportation planning and analysis, detailing the tour and mode-restricted nature of the household and individual travel choices. Nevertheless, no single approach has emerged as a dominant method, and research continues to improve ABM features to make them more accurate, robust, and practical. This paper describes the state of art and practice, including the ongoing ABM research covering both demand and supply considerations. Despite the substantial developments, ABM,Äôs abilities in reflecting behavioral realism are still limited. Possible solutions to address this issue include increasing the inaccuracy of the primary data, improved integrity of ABMs across days of the week, and tackling the uncertainty via integrating demand and supply. Opportunities exist to test, the feasibility of spatial transferability of ABMs to new geographical contexts along with expanding the applicability of ABMs in transportation policy-making.

Transport Analytics Based on Cellular Network Signalling Data

Transport Analytics Based on Cellular Network Signalling Data
Author: David Gundlegård
Publisher: Linköping University Electronic Press
Total Pages: 76
Release: 2018-11-19
Genre:
ISBN: 9176851729

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Cellular networks of today generate a massive amount of signalling data. A large part of this signalling is generated to handle the mobility of subscribers and contains location information that can be used to fundamentally change our understanding of mobility patterns. However, the location data available from standard interfaces in cellular networks is very sparse and an important research question is how this data can be processed in order to efficiently use it for traffic state estimation and traffic planning. In this thesis, the potentials and limitations of using this signalling data in the context of estimating the road network traffic state and understanding mobility patterns is analyzed. The thesis describes in detail the location data that is available from signalling messages in GSM, GPRS and UMTS networks, both when terminals are in idle mode and when engaged in a telephone call or a data session. The potential is evaluated empirically using signalling data and measurements generated by standard cellular phones. The data used for analysis of location estimation and route classification accuracy (Paper I-IV in the thesis) is collected using dedicated hardware and software for cellular network analysis as well as tailor-made Android applications. For evaluation of more advanced methods for travel time estimation, data from GPS devices located in Taxis is used in combination with data from fixed radar sensors observing point speed and flow on the road network (Paper V). To evaluate the potential in using cellular network signalling data for analysis of mobility patterns and transport planning, real data provided by a cellular network operator is used (Paper VI). The signalling data available in all three types of networks is useful to estimate several types of traffic data that can be used for traffic state estimation as well as traffic planning. However, the resolution in time and space largely depends on which type of data that is extracted from the network, which type of network that is used and how it is processed. The thesis proposes new methods based on integrated filtering and classification as well as data assimilation and fusion that allows measurement reports from the cellular network to be used for efficient route classification and estimation of travel times. The thesis also shows that participatory sensing based on GPS equipped smartphones is useful in estimating radio maps for fingerprint-based positioning as well as estimating mobility models for use in filtering of course trajectory data from cellular networks. For travel time estimation, it is shown that the CEP-67 location accuracy based on the proposed methods can be improved from 111 meters to 38 meters compared to standard fingerprinting methods. For route classification, it is shown that the problem can be solved efficiently for highway environments using basic classification methods. For urban environments the link precision and recall is improved from 0.5 and 0.7 for standard fingerprinting to 0.83 and 0.92 for the proposed method based on particle filtering with integrity monitoring and Hidden Markov Models. Furthermore, a processing pipeline for data driven network assignment is proposed for billing data to be used when inferring mobility patterns used for traffic planning in terms of OD matrices, route choice and coarse travel times. The results of the large-scale data set highlight the importance of the underlying processing pipeline for this type of analysis. However, they also show very good potential in using large data sets for identifying needs of infrastructure investment by filtering out relevant data over large time periods.

A Disaggregate Travel Demand Model

A Disaggregate Travel Demand Model
Author: Martin Gomm Richards
Publisher:
Total Pages: 180
Release: 1975
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Innovations in Travel Demand Modeling: Papers

Innovations in Travel Demand Modeling: Papers
Author:
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
Total Pages: 207
Release: 2008
Genre: Choice of transportation
ISBN: 0309113431

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The 31 individual authored papers from the breakout sessions are contained in Volume 2"--Pub. desc.