Trade Reforms and Welfare

Trade Reforms and Welfare
Author: Aylin Isik-Dikmelik
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 50
Release: 2006
Genre: Agricultural Production
ISBN:

Download Trade Reforms and Welfare Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This paper analyzes the impact of trade reforms on household welfare. In particular, it studies the importance of each of the links that together constitute the impact using data from the Vietnamese experience in the 1990s. The implementation of trade reforms in the 1990s, most noteworthy of which was the liberalization of rice, resulted in substantial improvement in welfare as evidenced by the drastic decline in poverty. Using analytical and empirical methods, the author examines the role of each channel (direct versus indirect) in this improvement for different groups of households. Results indicate that the growth has been broad based and pro-poor. Poorer households experienced more growth for each and every group analyzed. And contrary to the standard literature, net buyer households had more growth compared with net sellers, emphasizing the importance of indirect links. Decomposition of the growth shows that for rural households, both the direct effect and the multiplier effect drive growth while the multiplier effect was key in urban areas. The importance of the secondary effects underscores the need for a broader model to estimate the impact of trade reforms fully.

Trade Reforms and Welfare

Trade Reforms and Welfare
Author: Aylin Isik-Dikmelik
Publisher:
Total Pages: 50
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

Download Trade Reforms and Welfare Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This paper analyzes the impact of trade reforms on household welfare. In particular, it studies the importance of each of the links that together constitute the impact using data from the Vietnamese experience in the 1990s. The implementation of trade reforms in the 1990s, most noteworthy of which was the liberalization of rice, resulted in substantial improvement in welfare as evidenced by the drastic decline in poverty. Using analytical and empirical methods, the author examines the role of each channel (direct versus indirect) in this improvement for different groups of households. Results indicate that the growth has been broad based and pro-poor. Poorer households experienced more growth for each and every group analyzed. And contrary to the standard literature, net buyer households had more growth compared with net sellers, emphasizing the importance of indirect links. Decomposition of the growth shows that for rural households, both the direct effect and the multiplier effect drive growth while the multiplier effect was key in urban areas. The importance of the secondary effects underscores the need for a broader model to estimate the impact of trade reforms fully.

Trade Policy, Income Risk and Welfare

Trade Policy, Income Risk and Welfare
Author: Tom Krebs
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 51
Release: 2005
Genre: Commercial policy
ISBN:

Download Trade Policy, Income Risk and Welfare Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

"This paper studies empirically the relationship between trade policy and individual income risk faced by workers, and uses the estimates of this empirical analysis to evaluate the welfare effect of trade reform. The analysis proceeds in three steps. First, longitudinal data on workers are used to estimate time-varying individual income risk parameters in various manufacturing sectors. Second, the estimated income risk parameters and data on trade barriers are used to analyze the relationship between trade policy and income risk. Finally, a simple dynamic incomplete-market model is used to assess the corresponding welfare costs. In the implementation of this methodology using Mexican data, we find that trade policy changes have a significant short run effect on income risk. Further, while the tariff level has an insignificant mean effect, it nevertheless changes the degree to which macroeconomic shocks affect income risk"--NBER website

Trade Reform and Household Welfare

Trade Reform and Household Welfare
Author: Elena Ianchovichina
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 54
Release: 1999
Genre:
ISBN:

Download Trade Reform and Household Welfare Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Results from a two-step simulation that uses a computable general equilibrium model and detailed consumption and income household data suggests that trade liberalization benefits people in the poorest deciles more than those in the richer ones.

Trade Reform and Household Welfare

Trade Reform and Household Welfare
Author: Elena Ianchovichina
Publisher:
Total Pages: 49
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

Download Trade Reform and Household Welfare Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

August 2001Results from a two-step simulation that uses a computable general equilibrium model and detailed consumption and income household data suggest that trade liberalization benefits people in the poorest deciles more than those in the richer ones.Ianchovichina, Nicita, and Soloaga use a two-step, computationally simple procedure to analyze the effects of Mexico's potential unilateral tariff liberalization. First, they use a computable general equilibrium model provided by the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) as the new price generator. Second, they apply the price changes to Mexican household data to assess the effects of the simulated policy on poverty and income distribution.By choosing GTAP as the price generator, the authors are able to model Mexico's differential tariff structure appropriately: almost zero for North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) members and higher tariffs for nonmembers. Even starting with low tariff protection, simulation results show that tariff reform will have a positive effect on welfare for all expenditure deciles. Under an assumption of nonhomothetic individual preferences, trade liberalization benefits people in the poorer deciles more than those in the richer ones.This paper - a product of Trade, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study the effects of trade policy on poverty. The authors may be contacted at [email protected], [email protected], or [email protected].

Welfare Impact of Trade Liberalization

Welfare Impact of Trade Liberalization
Author: Sang-Wook (Stanley) Cho
Publisher:
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

Download Welfare Impact of Trade Liberalization Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This paper constructs a static Applied General Equilibrium Model and analyzes the distributional impact of trade reforms. To calibrate our model, we work with the Household Expenditure Survey to disaggregate household groups by income, age, and skill intensity, and the Input-Output table to construct a Social Accounting Matrix. Our benchmark simulation looks at Slovenia joining the European Union. We then compare with two alternative scenarios: a free trade agreement between Slovenia and the EU, and an alternative fiscal arrangement of distributing tariff revenues under the EU. While trade reforms lead to falling prices in the import sector, rising production in the export sector, and improvement in aggregate welfare, the distributional impacts across household groups vary in its degree.

The Theory of Trade Policy Reform

The Theory of Trade Policy Reform
Author: Carsten Kowalczyk
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 552
Release: 2001
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Download The Theory of Trade Policy Reform Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

While its treatment of the effects of policy changes on key economic indicators is academic, the literature on theory of trade policy reform "is motivated by concrete policy challenges ... and has informed policy." Kowalczyk (international economics, Tufts U.) introduces two types of reform (concertina and radial), the main policy and analytic issues, and how these 32 articles contribute to their understanding. Reprinted from economic journals and books from 1953-94, they address eight themes: early contributions to the theory of reform; welfare effects of tax and price changes; results of reform and national welfare; world welfare and trade reform; coalitions, welfare, and trade reform; quotas, tariffs, and reform; reform of government production and revenue; and reform in multi-household economies. Lacks a subject index. c. Book News Inc.

Handbook of Deep Trade Agreements

Handbook of Deep Trade Agreements
Author: Aaditya Mattoo
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 768
Release: 2020-09-23
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1464815542

Download Handbook of Deep Trade Agreements Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Deep trade agreements (DTAs) cover not just trade but additional policy areas, such as international flows of investment and labor and the protection of intellectual property rights and the environment. Their goal is integration beyond trade or deep integration. These agreements matter for economic development. Their rules influence how countries (and hence, the people and firms that live and operate within them) transact, invest, work, and ultimately, develop. Trade and investment regimes determine the extent of economic integration, competition rules affect economic efficiency, intellectual property rights matter for innovation, and environmental and labor rules contribute to environmental and social outcomes. This Handbook provides the tools and data needed to analyze these new dimensions of integration and to assess the content and consequences of DTAs. The Handbook and the accompanying database are the result of collaboration between experts in different policy areas from academia and other international organizations, including the International Trade Centre (ITC), Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), and World Trade Organization (WTO).

Predicting the Poverty Impacts of Trade Reform

Predicting the Poverty Impacts of Trade Reform
Author: Thomas Warren Hertel
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 42
Release: 2004
Genre: Commercial policy
ISBN: 1217172335

Download Predicting the Poverty Impacts of Trade Reform Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

"An important area of research in recent years involves assessing the microeconomic implications of macro-level policies--particularly those related to international trade. While a wide range of research methodologies are available for assessing the microeconomic incidence of micro-policies, as well as for assessing the effect of macro-level policies on markets and broad groups of households, there is a gap when it comes to eliciting the disaggregated household and firm level effects of trade policies. Recent research addresses this knowledge gap and the present survey offers an overview of this literature. The preponderance of the evidence from the studies encompassed by this survey points to the dominance of earnings-side effects over consumption-side effects of trade reform. This is problematic, since household surveys are notable for their underreporting of income. From the perspective of the poor, it is the market for unskilled labor that is most important. The poverty effects of trade policy often hinge crucially on how well the increased demand for labor in one part of the economy is transmitted to the rest of the economy by way of increased wages, increased employment, or both. Further econometric research aimed at discriminating between competing factor mobility hypotheses is urgently needed. This paper--a product of the Trade Team, Development Research Group--is part of a larger effort in the group to assess the poverty impacts of trade policies"--World Bank web site.

Trade Policy, Income Risk, and Welfare

Trade Policy, Income Risk, and Welfare
Author: Tom Krebs
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2012
Genre:
ISBN:

Download Trade Policy, Income Risk, and Welfare Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This paper studies empirically the relationship between trade policy and individual income risk faced by workers, and uses the estimates of this empirical analysis to evaluate the welfare effect of trade reform. The analysis proceeds in three steps. First, longitudinal data on workers are used to estimate time-varying individual income risk parameters in various manufacturing sectors. Second, the estimated income risk parameters and data on trade barriers are used to analyze the relationship between trade policy and income risk. Finally, a simple dynamic incomplete-market model is used to assess the corresponding welfare costs. In the implementation of this methodology using Mexican data, the paper finds that trade policy changes have a significant short run effect on income risk. Further, while the tariff level has an insignificant mean effect, it nevertheless changes the degree to which macroeconomic shocks affect income risk.