Trade Reform and the Real Exchange Rate
Author | : Jorge Quiroz |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 78 |
Release | : 1994 |
Genre | : Chile |
ISBN | : |
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Author | : Jorge Quiroz |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 78 |
Release | : 1994 |
Genre | : Chile |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Ms.Xiangming Li |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 39 |
Release | : 2003-06-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1451854749 |
Although theory suggests that the real exchange rate should depreciate after a credible trade liberalization but could appreciate temporarily with a noncredible one, little empirical evidence exists. Unlike existing studies that use either indirect tests or unreliable openness measures, this paper uses an event study based on carefully documented trade liberalization in 45 countries. The result shows that real exchange rates depreciate after countries open their economies to trade. In countries with multiple liberalization episodes, however, real exchange rates appreciate during early episodes, suggesting that partial or noncredible trade liberalizations are associated with real appreciation.
Author | : Mr.Vivek B. Arora |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 26 |
Release | : 1994-11-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1451933819 |
This paper examines two important issues for a small high-inflation open economy with trade controls where the government implements an exchange-rate based stabilization program: first, the extent to which the degree of openness of the economy influences the probability of success of the program; and second, the conditions under which a trade reform, implemented in conjunction with the stabilization program, will increase the probability that stabilization will be successful. The paper shows that in an economy with high export and import price elasticities, structural reforms to increase openness can be important in determining the success of the program.
Author | : Howard J. Shatz |
Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
Total Pages | : 36 |
Release | : 2000 |
Genre | : Black market in foreign exchange |
ISBN | : |
"Lessons from world experience about the consequences of exchange rate overvaluation (the frequent cause of trade crises), the consequences of trying to defend an overvalued exchange rate, and the most appropriate policies for resolving an overvaluation"--Cover.
Author | : Chief Economist Latin America and Caribbean Region Sebastian Edwards |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 1989-08-04 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9780262519014 |
Real Exchange Rates, Devaluation, and Adjustment provides a unified theoretical and empirical investigation of exchange rate policy and performance in scores of developing countries. It develops a theory of equilibrium and disequilibrium real exchange rates, takes up the question of why devaluations are the most controversial policy measures in poorer nations, and discusses what determines their success or failure. In a lucid fashion, Edwards organizes vast amounts of data on exchange rates - both real and nominal - and discusses their effect on net trade balances, net asset positions, output growth, real wages, and rates of price inflation, analyzed both in time series and through cross country comparisons. Edwards's investigation singles out 39 major devaluation episodes for before and after comparative analyses while simultaneously isolating the separate effects of other important explanatory variables, such as bank credit expansion and changes in the terms of trade. The first part of the book focuses on theoretical models of devaluation and real exchange rate behavior in less developed countries. Special attention is paid to intertemporal channels in the transmission of disturbances. The second part uses a large cross country data set to analyze the way the real exchange rate has behaved in these nations. The data are also used to test the implications of several theories of real exchange rate determination. The third part analyzes actual devaluation experiences between 1962 and 1982. These chapters examine the events leading to a balance of payments crisis and to a devaluation, exploring the relation between macroeconomic disequilibrium, and the imposition of trade and exchange controls. They also investigate the effect of nominal devaluation on key variables such as the balance of payments, the current account, the real exchange rate, real output real wages, and income distribution.
Author | : |
Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
Total Pages | : 45 |
Release | : |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 0928094731 |
Author | : Geoffrey Shepherd |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 164 |
Release | : 1991 |
Genre | : Commercial policy |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Ms.Rina Bhattacharya |
Publisher | : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND |
Total Pages | : 34 |
Release | : 2000-10-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9781451858747 |
This paper presents a model that incorporates uncertainty about trade reform and analyzes the effects of trade and financial liberalization on domestic investment and savings, the current account balance and the real exchange rate, both when the capital account is open and when it is closed. Under certain assumptions financial liberalization leads to a movement of resources in the opposite direction to that implied by trade liberalization and to real exchange rate appreciation, thus defeating one of the objectives of tariff reform, when the capital account is open. When political economy linkages are taken into account, however, the indirect effects of financial liberalization may offset the direct effects, encouraging a movement of resources in the desired direction. With a closed capital account these results should still hold unless there are strong negative income effects from trade reform.
Author | : Miguel Alberto Kiguel |
Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
Total Pages | : 35 |
Release | : 1992 |
Genre | : Inflacion - America Latina |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Sebastian Edwards |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 88 |
Release | : 1993 |
Genre | : Economic development |
ISBN | : |
This paper analyzes the relationship between trade policy and economic performance. The paper is divided in two fundamental parts. The first one uses a cross country data set to investigate the relationship between trade policy and productivity growth. It is found that countries that are more open to the rest of the world have experienced faster growth in total factor productivity than countries with high trade barriers. In the second part the recent Latin American experiences with trade liberalization reforms are investigated. It is shown that in the last few years the Latin American countries have gone from having one of the most distorted external sectors, to having very low degrees of protectionism. The extent of the liberalization efforts is documented and the effect on productivity and exports is investigated.