Three Essays on Trading Behavior

Three Essays on Trading Behavior
Author: Adam Daniel Clark-Joseph
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

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This dissertation analyzes trading behavior in financial markets from multiple perspectives. In chapter 1, "Exploratory Trading," I investigate the mechanisms underlying high-frequency traders' capacity to profitably anticipate price movements. I develop a model of how a trader could gather valuable private information by using her own orders in an exploratory manner to learn about market conditions. The model's predictions are borne out empirically, and I find that this "exploratory trading" model helps to resolve several central open questions about high-frequency trading. Chapters 2 and 3 focus on the trading behavior of individuals. Chapter 2, "Foundations of the Disposition Effect: Experimental Evidence," (co-authored with Johanna Mollerstrom), presents and analyzes results from a laboratory experiment intended to examine if and how "regret aversion"--aversion to admitting mistakes--affects people's trading decisions. Although the experimental results resolve little about regret aversion specifically, they reveal some novel and unexpected effects, most importantly that subjects radically changed their trading decisions when they were compelled to devote a minimal amount of extra attention. In chapter 3, "Price Targets," I analyze how rational investors who privately observe information of indeterminate quality use prices to learn about whether or not their private information is valuable. I derive implications about trading behavior that not only help to explain a variety of empirical puzzles, but also generate several new testable predictions. Although these three essays differ considerably in methodology and focus, they all address the same basic issue of understanding the foundations of trading behavior.

Three Essays on Trading and Banking

Three Essays on Trading and Banking
Author: William Paul Spurlin
Publisher:
Total Pages: 256
Release: 2011
Genre:
ISBN:

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This dissertation consists of three essays. The first essay, Short Sales in the NYSE Batch Open and NASDAQ Opening Cross, examines opening-trade short volume's relation to short volume for the rest of the trading day and to overnight, previous-day, and same-day price changes. We find that short volume in the batch open and opening cross increases with short volume for the rest of the day, with previous-day, open-to-close price changes, and with overnight price changes for S & P 500 stocks. Batch-open short volume increases with overnight price changes, and it increases (does not decrease) for firms making positive (negative) overnight earnings announcements. Opening-cross short volume increases with close-to-close, previous-day price changes and is negatively related to same-day price changes. Our second essay, Short Sales around Open-Market Repurchase Announcements, studies short selling of a firm's stock during the five days after it announces an open-market repurchase. We conclude that a firm may be able to mislead normally-informed investors about its quality by announcing an open-market repurchase. Next, we conclude that open-market repurchase size does not possess positive signaling attributes. Lastly, we conclude that short sellers do not predict the repurchasing behavior of firms announcing an open-market repurchase. The third essay, Profit Efficiency and Big Bank Presence in Rural Markets, studies the effect of big-bank presence on the profitability of rural one-market banks. We find that a small rural bank shows decreased profit efficiency and increased return on assets due to higher loan income when it competes with at least one big bank. If multiple big banks are competing with a small rural bank, the small bank shows a smaller decrease in profit efficiency and a smaller increase in return on assets due to a smaller increase in loan income than if it competes with one big bank. From these results, we conclude that big banks choose to remain in rural markets where they possess some degree of market power, enabling them to earn higher returns while operating less efficiently, but market power is restricted when more than one big bank is present in a rural market.

Three Essays on Informed Trading

Three Essays on Informed Trading
Author: Frank Sensenbrenner
Publisher:
Total Pages: 230
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

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This dissertation consists of three essays examining the behavior of informed traders in financial markets and how they affect asset pricing. It examines informed traders' role in shaping securities prices in three ways. It examines whether on a macro and micro basis insider traders move prices to a different degree than non-insiders. In addition, it uses econometric methods to determine what exchange generates permanent price trends in UK shares. Lastly, it looks at another side effect of fragmentation - how a 'best execution' mandate and related market structure changes affect transactions costs in liquid UK, French, and German shares.These studies expand on current literature in various ways - extant insider trading literature has either primarily focused on daily price movement and volume or had consisted of case studies, the conclusions of which may be idiosyncratic and therefore unrepresentative of typical insider behavior. The new phenomenon of multilateral trading facilities (also known as electronic communications networks) and the proliferation of algorithmic or computer-mediated trading had not been examined in price discovery papers, due to their relative novelty. In addition, despite a bevy of literature offering informed insight into the impact of the European Union's Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID), there has been a dearth of empirical studies assessing its impact on European securities markets. Chapters 2 and 3 examine MiFID and computerized trading from two different perspectives: that of which trades lead to permanent prices, and that of transactions costs.The conclusions drawn in this dissertation will be of interest to regulators, market operators, and traders, as they offer insight into the impact of market structure and how it impacts informed traders who participate in them.