The Patterns of Export Product Diversification and Its Determinants in Four East African Countries. Particulary in Case of Ethiopia

The Patterns of Export Product Diversification and Its Determinants in Four East African Countries. Particulary in Case of Ethiopia
Author: Gebeyehu Tuji Benti
Publisher:
Total Pages: 62
Release: 2017-05-30
Genre:
ISBN: 9783668446908

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Master's Thesis from the year 2016 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, language: English, abstract: This paper assesses the patterns of export product diversification and identifies its determinants in four east African countries particularly focus on the case of Ethiopia. In addition to this, the study develops lessons from East Asian countries as best experience to know the way they have followed to achieve export product diversification with less than three decades. The research conducts Herfindahl-Hirschman index to see the degree of export product diversification, balanced panel data to examine determinants of export product diversification using GLS random effect model and descriptive statistics for the year 1995-2014. The statistical data collected from WDI, UNCTAD, ERCA, NBE and ADI data bases. The study also conducts Huasman specification test to select the best model for the study and Breusch-Peagan test to check the existence of heteroscedasticity and used one year lag-values in log form to detect the endogeneity problems and some of the variables like labor force and saving effect may not observed immediately on diversification. According to the finding, the HHI for east African countries export product diversification shows as they concentrated on few products. However it shows an improvements from year to year with gradual changes. In 1995-2014 Ethiopia, Rwanda and Ugandan export highly concentrated but since 2001 Ethiopia and Uganda export performance shows moderately improved compare to the previous years. The regression result of the study suggests that exchange rate, gross domestic saving, inflation, PGDP, openness to trade, labor force and foreign direct investment suggests as they have positive contribution to export diversification. Likely, the regression result of labor force showing the highest relatively compare to other explanatory variables. [...]

The patterns of export product diversification and its determinants in four East African countries. Particulary in case of Ethiopia

The patterns of export product diversification and its determinants in four East African countries. Particulary in case of Ethiopia
Author: Gebeyehu Tuji Benti
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 61
Release: 2017-05-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 366844689X

Download The patterns of export product diversification and its determinants in four East African countries. Particulary in case of Ethiopia Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Master's Thesis from the year 2016 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, , language: English, abstract: This paper assesses the patterns of export product diversification and identifies its determinants in four east African countries particularly focus on the case of Ethiopia. In addition to this, the study develops lessons from East Asian countries as best experience to know the way they have followed to achieve export product diversification with less than three decades. The research conducts Herfindahl-Hirschman index to see the degree of export product diversification, balanced panel data to examine determinants of export product diversification using GLS random effect model and descriptive statistics for the year 1995-2014. The statistical data collected from WDI, UNCTAD, ERCA, NBE and ADI data bases. The study also conducts Huasman specification test to select the best model for the study and Breusch-Peagan test to check the existence of heteroscedasticity and used one year lag-values in log form to detect the endogeneity problems and some of the variables like labor force and saving effect may not observed immediately on diversification. According to the finding, the HHI for east African countries export product diversification shows as they concentrated on few products. However it shows an improvements from year to year with gradual changes. In 1995-2014 Ethiopia, Rwanda and Ugandan export highly concentrated but since 2001 Ethiopia and Uganda export performance shows moderately improved compare to the previous years. The regression result of the study suggests that exchange rate, gross domestic saving, inflation, PGDP, openness to trade, labor force and foreign direct investment suggests as they have positive contribution to export diversification. Likely, the regression result of labor force showing the highest relatively compare to other explanatory variables. [...]

Aid for Trade at a Glance 2019 Economic Diversification and Empowerment

Aid for Trade at a Glance 2019 Economic Diversification and Empowerment
Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
Total Pages: 532
Release: 2019-07-11
Genre:
ISBN: 9264429514

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This edition analyses how trade can contribute to economic diversification and empowerment, with a focus on eliminating extreme poverty, particularly through the effective participation of women and youth. It shows how aid for trade can contribute to that objective by addressing supply-side capacity and trade-related infrastructure constraints, including for micro-, small- and medium-sized enterprises notably in rural areas.

Does What You Export Matter?

Does What You Export Matter?
Author: Daniel Lederman
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 153
Release: 2012-06-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0821384910

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Does what economies export matter for development? If so, can industrial policies improve on the export basket generated by the market? This book approaches these questions from a variety of conceptual and policy viewpoints. Reviewing the theoretical arguments in favor of industrial policies, the authors first ask whether existing indicators allow policy makers to identify growth-promoting sectors with confidence. To this end, they assess, and ultimately cast doubt upon, the reliability of many popular indicators advocated by proponents of industrial policy. Second, and central to their critique, the authors document extraordinary differences in the performance of countries exporting seemingly identical products, be they natural resources or 'high-tech' goods. Further, they argue that globalization has so fragmented the production process that even talking about exported goods as opposed to tasks may be misleading. Reviewing evidence from history and from around the world, the authors conclude that policy makers should focus less on what is produced, and more on how it is produced. They analyze alternative approaches to picking winners but conclude by favoring 'horizontal-ish' policies--for instance, those that build human capital or foment innovation in existing and future products—that only incidentally favor some sectors over others.

Understanding Export Diversification: Key Drivers and Policy Implications

Understanding Export Diversification: Key Drivers and Policy Implications
Author: Rahul Giri
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 29
Release: 2019-05-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498315453

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We identify key factors, from large set of potential determinants, that explain the variation in export diversification across countries and over time using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA), which addresses model uncertainty and ranks factors in order of importance vis-a-vis their explanatory power. Our analysis suggests, in order to diversify, policy makers should prioritize human capital accumulation and reduce barriers to trade. Other policy areas include improving quality of institutions and developing the financial sector. For commodity exporters reducing barriers to trade is the most important driver of diversification, followed by improving education outcomes at the secondary level and financial sector development.

Economic Benefits of Export Diversification in Small States

Economic Benefits of Export Diversification in Small States
Author: Arnold McIntyre
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 23
Release: 2018-04-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484351010

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The paper considers concepts of economic diversification with respect to exports (including service sectors) for small states. We assessed the economic performance of different groups of 34 small states over the period of 1990-2015 and found those more diversified experienced lower output volatility and higher average growth than most other small states. Our findings are consistent with conventional economic theories but we found that export diversification has a more significant impact on reducing output volatility than improving long run growth in small states. Diversification requires fundamental changes and should be contemplated in the context of a cohesive development strategy.

Breaking Into New Markets

Breaking Into New Markets
Author: Richard Newfarmer
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 294
Release: 2009-03-12
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0821376381

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International trade in 2009 is projected to contract for the first time since 1982. As a result, export diversifi cation has gained new urgency as one way of using exports to recover lost growth momentum. Moreover, diversifi cation is central to reducing income volatility and sustaining high growth rates, which are especially important for countries with large populations living in poverty. In the 1950s, countries became concerned that their dependence on primary products would lead to steady falls in the purchasing power of primary exports and thus slow growth. A major policy objective of developing countries since that time has been to diversify out of primary products into manufactures. Although some nations have been at least partially successful, many low-income countries remain dependent on a narrow range of primary products. 'Breaking Into New Markets' argues for a comprehensive view of diversifi cation. It explores new thinking and evidence about export diversifi cation and elaborates on policies for its promotion. These policies span tariffs and taxes, services, and government activities to help fi rms take advantage of global opportunities. The book is a compilation of chapters written as short, policy-focused pieces. Many digest longer, more academic papers in an effort to make the information accessible to a larger policy and nontechnical audience. In that sense, the book is a policy primer on what export diversifi cation can and cannot do for growth and how to make diversifi cation happen. Intelligently designed policies that effi ciently address the obstacles to export growth are critical for overall economic growth and poverty reduction. This book offers insights useful to policy makers and practitioners as they embark on efforts to design new programs of competitiveness in their trade strategies.

Africa’s manufacturing puzzle: Evidence from Tanzanian and Ethiopian firms

Africa’s manufacturing puzzle: Evidence from Tanzanian and Ethiopian firms
Author: Diao, Xinshen
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
Total Pages: 85
Release: 2021-05-06
Genre: Political Science
ISBN:

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Recent growth accelerations in Africa are characterized by increasing productivity in agriculture, a declining share of the labor force employed in agriculture and declining productivity in modern sectors such as manufacturing. To shed light on this puzzle, we disaggregate firms in the manufacturing sector by size using two newly created panels of manufacturing firms, one for Tanzania covering 2008-2016 and one for Ethiopia covering 1996-2017. Our analysis reveals a dichotomy between larger firms that exhibit superior productivity performance but do not expand employment much, and small firms that absorb employment but do not experience any productivity growth. We suggest the poor employment performance of large firms is related to use of capital-intensive techniques associated with global trends in technology.

Why Has Africa Become a Net Food Importer

Why Has Africa Become a Net Food Importer
Author: Manitra A. Rakotoarisoa
Publisher: John Donald
Total Pages: 85
Release: 2011
Genre: Agriculture
ISBN: 9789251070888

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Export Diversification in Low-Income Countries and Small States: Do Country Size and Income Level Matter?

Export Diversification in Low-Income Countries and Small States: Do Country Size and Income Level Matter?
Author: Dongyeol Lee
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2019-05-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498315658

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Export structure is less diversified in low-income countries (LICs) and especially small states that face resource constraints and small economic size. This paper explores the potential linkages between export structure and economic growth and its volatility in LICs and small states, using a range of indices of export concentration differing in the coverage of industries. The empirical analysis finds that export diversification may promote economic growth and reduce economic volatility in these countries. Furthermore, the analysis demonstrates that the economic benefits of export diversification differ by country size and income level—there are bigger benefits for relatively larger and poorer countries within the group of LICs and small states.