The Great Depression Revisited

The Great Depression Revisited
Author: K. Brunner
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 367
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 940098135X

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The fateful days of the great stock market crash entered modem history almost 50 years ago to this day. The cyclic turning point of the U. S. economy oc curred, however, around June 1929, and economic activity receded substantial ly over the subsequent months. The onset of an economic downswing thus became clearly visible before the famous crash. But the October event stays in the public's mind as the symbol of the Great Depression. For nearly four years, until the spring of 1933, the U. S. economy plunged into a deep reces sion. Activity declined, prices fell, and there emerged a massive unemploy ment problem. The economy ultimately overcame this shock in 1933. Prices rose rapidly in spite of substantial margins of unusual resources. Activity ex panded, but occasionally at a somewhat hesitant rate. The expansion, however, was interrupted by another recession of major proportions during 1937-38. The tragic sequence of events shaped public consciousness and influenced new approaches and views in economic policymaking. The activist approach to "stabilization policy" and a wide range of regulatory policies were essentially justified in terms of this experience. These policies were crucially influenced by our understanding and interpretation of the Great Depression. The view of a radically unstable economic process perennially on the edge of serious collapse gained wide popularity and became a central element of the Keynesian tradi- 2 INTRODUCTION tion. It encouraged, with supplementary interpretations, an interventionist and expanding role of the government in our economic affairs.

The Great Depression Revisited

The Great Depression Revisited
Author: K Brunner
Publisher:
Total Pages: 372
Release: 1981-12-31
Genre: Depressions
ISBN: 9789400981362

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The Macroeconomics of the Great Depression Revisited

The Macroeconomics of the Great Depression Revisited
Author: Gabriel Patrick Mathy
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN: 9781303443329

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The United States of the 1930s experienced unprecedented uncertainty including the stock market crash of October 1929, a severe banking crises, major political changes, the breakdown of the gold standard, uncertain monetary policies, and the uncertainties surrounding the brewing World War. This dissertation constructs and analyzes four uncertainty measures: stock volatility, a newspaper index of uncertainty mentions, credit spreads, and a high volatility indicator of uncertainty shock events. These four uncertainty measures are then used to analyze the effect of uncertainty shocks on the American economy of the 1930s. I begin with an introduction of the issue of the Great Depression in macroeconomics and where this dissertations fits in the existing literature. The first chapter, entitled "Identifying Uncertainty Shocks in the American Great Depression," uses a financial econometric test of volatile returns to identify periods of high uncertainty, which are then matched with plausible uncertainty shock events by a careful study of the historical record. In the second chapter, entitled "Modelling Uncertainty Shocks in the U.S. Great Depression," a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model is calibrated to conditions of the 1930s. This model is then simulated for an uncertainty shocks, and the simulations show that nominal rigidites and passive monetary policies help explain why uncertainty shocks would matter more in the Great Depression. The third chapter, entitled "The Empirics of Uncertainty Shocks in the U.S. Great Depression," discusses previous empirical results regarding uncertainty in the Great Depression, and then derives empirical results using vector autoregressions to quantify the effect of uncertainty on the broader macroeconomy in the data. Based on these multifaceted sources of evidence, I find that uncertainty shocks played a significant role in the U.S. Great Depression.

The Great Depression Revisited

The Great Depression Revisited
Author: H. van der Wee
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 293
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9401098492

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For a quarter of a century the industrial Western world has been living in the euphoria of continuous improvements in welfare, based on economic programming, increasing integration and terms of trade which favor indus trial countries and discriminate against agricultural regions. It is true that recessions have periodically recurred during these years : time and again, however, government intervention succeeded in reducing them to mere "in ventory cycles". In contrast with the twenties and thirties, when economic policy in the West focused on fighting unemployment and stimulating investment, the postwar period has been characterized by a permanent concern to curb inflationary pressure, which was partly due to full-employ ment. The present welfare economy has given rise to a growth of the pro pensity to consume such that public policy has often been constrained to limit consumption and stimulate saving. In this new framework it has perhaps been forgotten that today's welfare owes much to the lessons from the past. The bitter world crisis experience of the thirties in particular has exerted a fruitful and decisive influence upon the search for means to prevent, eliminate or soften the cyclical fluctuations which the process of economic growth involves. Forty years after the out break of the greatest economic crisis ever, it seems useful to draw up the balancesheet of the lessons learned from it. There exists a large literature about the depression of the thirties.

Debates in Macroeconomics from the Great Depression to the Long Recession

Debates in Macroeconomics from the Great Depression to the Long Recession
Author: Arie Arnon
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 325
Release: 2022-05-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 303097703X

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This book assesses major schools of thought in macroeconomic theory between the Great Depression and the Long Recession, focusing on their analysis of cycles, crises and macro-policy. It explores the road from the dominance of Keynesian ideas to those of New Classical Macroeconomics (NCM) toward the end of the millennium. The book covers the early influential work of Knut Wicksell; the economic debates of the 1930s, with core contributions from John Maynard Keynes and Friedrich von Hayek; the rise of Keynesianism in the 1950s and its decline since the 1970s; the rise of Monetarism in the 1960s; and NCM’s subsequent rise to prominence. Finally, the book outlines how macroeconomics has evolved from its birth in the 1930s as a theory separate from microeconomics, resulting in a split between macro- and micro-theories, and ended up with a new hegemonic paradigm based on microfoundations. The ensuing policy thinking witnessed a transformation from "active" macro-policy after the Great Depression to a far more "passive" macro-policy during the last quarter of the twentieth century, which may have contributed to missing the signs of the impending Long Recession of 2008. “When the 2008 crisis struck, macroeconomists were caught with models that were theoretically elegant yet inappropriate to the needs of the moment. A broader historical perspective may have prevented the jettisoning of Keynesian models that had proved useful in the past and might have done so again. This highly readable book by Arie Arnon is a wonderful antidote to economists’ short time horizon and contributes mightily to restore the profession’s “collective memory” of the diversity of ideas within macroeconomics.” Professor Dani Rodrik, Harvard Kennedy School

The Great Depression

The Great Depression
Author: Thomas E. Hall
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
Total Pages: 217
Release: 2009-11-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0472023322

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The Great Depression was the worst economic catastrophe in modern history. Not only did it cause massive worldwide unemployment, but it also led to the rise of Adolf Hitler in Germany, World War II in Europe, and the tragic deaths of tens of millions of people. This book describes the sequence of policy errors committed by powerful, well-meaning people in several countries, which, in combination with the gold standard in place at the time, caused the disaster. In addition, it details attempts to reduce unemployment in the United States by Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal, and in Germany by Hitler's National Socialist economic policies. A comprehensive economic and historical explanation of the events pertaining to the Depression, this book begins by describing the economic setting in the major industrialized countries during the 1920s and the gold standard that linked theory economies together. It then discusses the triggering event that started the economic decline--the Federal Reserve's credit tightening in reaction to perceived overspeculation in the U.S. stock market. The policy bungling that transformed the recession into the Great Depression is detailed: Smoot Hawley, the Federal Reserve's disastrous adherence to the real bills doctrine, and Hoover's 1932 tax hike. This is followed by a detailed description of the New Deal's shortcomings in trying to end the Depression, along with a discussion of the National Socialist economic programs in Germany. Finally, the factors that ended the Depression are examined. This book will appeal to economists, historians, and those interested in business conditions who would like to know more about the causes and consequences of the Great Depression. It will be particularly useful as a supplementary text in economic history courses. Thomas E. Hall and J. David Ferguson are both Professors of Economics, Miami University.

Lessons from the Great Depression

Lessons from the Great Depression
Author: Peter Temin
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 220
Release: 1991-10-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262261197

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Lessons from the Great Depression provides an integrated view of the depression, covering the experience in Britain, France, Germany, and the United States. Do events of the 1930s carry a message for the 1990s? Lessons from the Great Depression provides an integrated view of the depression, covering the experience in Britain, France, Germany, and the United States. It describes the causes of the depression, why it was so widespread and prolonged, and what brought about eventual recovery. Peter Temin also finds parallels in recent history, in the relentless deflationary course followed by the U.S. Federal Reserve Board and the British government in the early 1980s, and in the dogged adherence by the Reagan administration to policies generated by a discredited economic theory—supply-side economics.

The Chicago Plan Revisited

The Chicago Plan Revisited
Author: Mr.Jaromir Benes
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 71
Release: 2012-08-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475505523

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At the height of the Great Depression a number of leading U.S. economists advanced a proposal for monetary reform that became known as the Chicago Plan. It envisaged the separation of the monetary and credit functions of the banking system, by requiring 100% reserve backing for deposits. Irving Fisher (1936) claimed the following advantages for this plan: (1) Much better control of a major source of business cycle fluctuations, sudden increases and contractions of bank credit and of the supply of bank-created money. (2) Complete elimination of bank runs. (3) Dramatic reduction of the (net) public debt. (4) Dramatic reduction of private debt, as money creation no longer requires simultaneous debt creation. We study these claims by embedding a comprehensive and carefully calibrated model of the banking system in a DSGE model of the U.S. economy. We find support for all four of Fisher's claims. Furthermore, output gains approach 10 percent, and steady state inflation can drop to zero without posing problems for the conduct of monetary policy.