Firm Heterogeneity in Macroeconomics

Firm Heterogeneity in Macroeconomics
Author: Allen Tran
Publisher:
Total Pages: 141
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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Macroeconomic models are often estimated with aggregate data, aligning the aggregated behavior of firms and households in models to the data. However, using aggregate data alone can overlook important details of firm behavior that are crucial for understanding issues in macroeconomics. In this dissertation, I use data on firms at the micro-level to more accurately capture firms behavior and their interactions with one another. This approach is applied to answer questions that relate to the monetary policy transmission mechanism, economic growth from new entrants and welfare gains from new technology. A substantial literature exists which suggests that imperfect information across firms is capable of generating large monetary non-neutralities. In Chapter One, the level of imperfect information is taken from micro-data and used to discipline a standard menu cost model augmented with information frictions. In the model, imperfect information has a negligible effect and real responses to a monetary shock are small and transient in contrast to the bulk of the imperfect information literature. The selection effect dominates the effects of imperfect information as the level of dispersion in inflation expectations in the data is tiny. This result still holds even when the level of dispersion is set to that of the maximal observed levels of dispersion. Chapter Two presents data that suggests new entering establishments compete for customers, rather than inputs in order to grow. Consistent with the data, I present a model where customers satisfice in forming relationships with establishments in the presence of search frictions. The extent of these search frictions is a new margin that affects selection and allocative efficiency. As search becomes less random and more directed, customers are less willing to satisfice, improving allocative efficiency and inducing exit of slower growing firms. When search frictions in product markets are increased to match establishment dynamics in Chile, output falls by roughly 14 per cent relative to the model calibrated to the US, reflecting decreased allocative efficiency. Chapter Three studies the impact of online retail on aggregate welfare. I develop a new measure of store level retail productivity and with a spatial model, calculate each store's equilibrium response to increased competitive pressure from online retailers. From counterfactual exercises mimicking improvements in shipping and increased internet access, I estimate that improvements in online retail increased aggregate welfare from retail activities by 13.4 per cent. Roughly two-thirds of the increase can be attributed to welfare improvements holding fixed market shares, with the remainder due to reallocation. Surprisingly, 8.2 percent of firms actually benefit as they absorb market share from closed stores. Finally, I estimate that the proposed Marketplace Fairness Act would claw back roughly one-third of sales that would otherwise have gone to online retailers between 2007-12.

Firms in the International Economy

Firms in the International Economy
Author: Sjoerd Beugelsdijk
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 441
Release: 2013-12-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0262314487

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Essays by leading scholars suggest that insights from international business could enrich firm heterogeneity research in international economics. Despite their common roots, international economics (IE) and international business (IB) have developed into two distinct fields of study. Economists have directed their efforts at formalizing the workings of international trade and investment at the macroeconomic level; business scholars have relied more on data-driven conceptual narratives than mathematical tools. But the recent focus of IE literature on firm heterogeneity suggests that IE would benefit from IB analyses of the behavior and organization of the internationalizing firm. The contributions to this volume investigate ways that insights from IB can enrich IE research in firm heterogeneity. The contributors discuss firm-specific advantages in international trade and investment, considering the firm as the unit of analysis and managerial inputs as a variable in market entry decisions; analyze interactions between a firm and its external environment, including local corporate philanthropy and institutional settings; examine the boundaries of the firm and organizational choices such as the make-or-buy decision; and investigate technology transfer and innovation offshoring, discussing the role of subsidiaries, inventor employment, and other related topics. Although IE and IB look at international firms from different perspectives, these contributions make it clear that there is a potential for a productive exchange of insights and information between the two disciplines. Contributors Laura Abramovsky, Carlo Altomonte, Sjoerd Beugelsdijk, Bruce Blonigen, Pamela Bombarda, Steven Brakman, Julia Darby, Rodolphe Desbordes, Filippo Di Mauro, María García-Vega, Harry Garretsen, Elena Huergo, Florian Mayneris, Quyen T. K. Nguyen, Verena Nowak, Cheyney O'Fallon, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Michael Pflüger, Filomena Pietrovito, Sandra Poncet, Alberto Franco Pozzolo, Alan M. Rugman, Armando Rungi, Stephan Russek, Davide Sala, Luca Salvatici, Christian Schwarz, Roger Smeets, Jens Suedekum, Hans van Ees, Vincent Vicard, Ian Wooton, Erdal Yalcin

Financial Heterogeneity, Investment, and Firm Interactions

Financial Heterogeneity, Investment, and Firm Interactions
Author: Yang Liu
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 41
Release: 2023-05-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Recent literature has shown that corporate indebtedness affects firm-level investment behavior but not necessarily aggregate business cycles. I argue that interactions among heterogeneous firms play an important role in equilibrium. After a downturn, financially unconstrained firms in financially constrained industries significantly increase capital ex-penditure to substitute depressed investment by their financially constrained competitors. The increase in investment, primarily driven by small and medium firms, leads to substantial gains in future sales. Using a new empirical approach, I further show that equilibrium effects are unambiguously countercyclical because the increase in investment by unconstrained firms does not crowd out investment by financially constrained competitors. The “competitive interaction channel” underscored in this paper may play an important role in mitigating the impact of negative shocks in macroeconomic models with financial heterogeneity.

Firm-Level Heterogeneity and the Aggregate Exchange Rate Effect on Exports

Firm-Level Heterogeneity and the Aggregate Exchange Rate Effect on Exports
Author: Robert Dekle
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

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We investigate what accounts for the different evidence between the aggregate and firm-level data on the exchange rate elasticity of exports. The typical estimation of the macroeconomic export equations gives insignificant estimates for this elasticity compared to those from the recent firm-level estimation. Using firm-level data from Japan, we identify the sources of this discrepancy, and show that the failure to account for cost and demand factors as well as firm-level productivity induces various kinds of biases for the aggregate estimate of the exchange rate elasticity of exports.

Heterogeneity in Macroeconomics and its Implications for Monetary Policy

Heterogeneity in Macroeconomics and its Implications for Monetary Policy
Author: Fabian Schnell
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 180
Release: 2015-04-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3658097310

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Fabian Schnell develops a model indicating that by keeping real interest rates too low, monetary policy can distort the allocation of resources across firms and potentially delay economic recovery after a recession. This is a new channel of monetary policy that is especially relevant in view of “Quantitative Easing” programs. A second model focuses on the short-term implications of heterogeneously productive firms, showing an acceleration effect of technology shocks. Finally, an empirical investigation of firms’ price-setting behaviors shows that time-dependent factors, relative to state-dependent ones, play a small role with respect to the probability and the size of a price change. All results provide new insights for monetary policy.

Globalization

Globalization
Author: Andrei A. Levchenko
Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company Incorporated
Total Pages: 350
Release: 2016-09-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9789814663007

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We live in an era of globalization: ever increasing international integration of goods, capital, and labor markets. The benefits and costs of increased trade and financial integration in the world today continue to be hotly debated. The reason globalization is controversial is that the impact of globalization is often nuanced, and theory reveals many possibilities. The impact of globalization on macroeconomic outcomes thus remains an empirical and quantitative question.Levchenko collects, in one volume, the results of a multi-year research program to build heterogeneous firm and sector models for the quantitative evaluation of globalization. The volume explores the impact of globalization on both welfare and macroeconomic fluctuations using these micro-founded quantitative models.Recent advances in international trade have built tractable theoretical models that can be implemented numerically and used to evaluate quantitatively the impact of a variety of phenomena. These models are global in scale — encompassing as many as 80 countries as well as multiple sectors — and at the same time feature rich micro-foundations of firm and technological heterogeneity. This combination means it is now possible to dramatically expand the set of questions that can be answered, in particular regarding the consequences of real-world heterogeneity present in the global economy, both at the firm and sector level.The book uses these frameworks to address the central questions about globalization around the world: the impacts of reductions in trade costs, long-run changes in comparative advantage, and migration of labor, among others. The book aims to provide a unifying perspective that merges traditional theory, econometric evaluation, and quantitative modeling. The running theme of this research program is that in order to understand the macroeconomic impact of globalization, it is essential to measure, and model, the microeconomic heterogeneity in the economy.

Firm Heterogeneity and the Macroeconomy

Firm Heterogeneity and the Macroeconomy
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 126
Release: 2014
Genre: Industrial efficiency
ISBN:

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The three chapters of this thesis contribute to a literature which emphasizes the importance of microeconomic heterogeneity for macroeconomic outcomes. In my work I focus on firm heterogeneity. I investigate the US labor market implications of a drop in the number of new firms, study the cyclical effects on productivity due to limits in the reallocation of capital across firms, and quantify the effectiveness of a policy which attempted to save jobs in Germany by altering firm incentives for lay-offs. The first chapter of this thesis investigates the role of new firms ('start-ups') in the US labor market. Start-ups and young firms grow faster and create more net jobs than older, incumbent firms. Yet since 2007 the number of start-ups in the US has declined by over 20%, accounting for a large part of the persistently high unemployment rate. I claim that this fact is related to the unprecedented fall in the value of real estate. Based on the empirical evidence I construct a model that captures the idea that start-ups require external financing, for which real estate is used as collateral. I calibrate and compute a quantitative competitive industry model with endogenous entry and exit, firm heterogeneity, labor adjustment costs, and aggregate shocks. It generates a 'jobless recovery' similar to what we observed in the US in the aftermath of the 2007-09 recession and is able to explain over 80% of the increase and persistence in unemployment since the recession. The second chapter, joint work with Russell Cooper, studies the productivity implications of frictions in the reallocation of factors. Recent empirical work has shown that misallocation of factors can have sizeable effects on the levels of aggregate output and productivity. We are interested in the question whether these frictions can also produce important cyclical movements. We find that the effects are quantitatively important in the presence of fluctuations in adjustment frictions and/or the cross sectional variation of profitability shocks. These fluctuations depend on higher order moments of the joint distribution of capital and plant-level productivity rather than mean values alone. Even without aggregate productivity shocks, the model has quantitative properties that resemble those of a standard stochastic growth model and match important facts about the cyclicality of reallocation and firm productivity dispersion. The last chapter, joint work with Russell Cooper and Moritz Meyer, studies the employment and productivity implications of short-time work ('Kurzarbeit') in Germany. During the years 2009-10 this policy was intended to provide incentives for firms to adjust labor input by reducing hours per worker instead of firing workers. Using confidential German firm micro data we estimate a model of costly labor adjustment. We use the estimated model to simulate the effects of the policy during the recent recession, trying to quantify in how far the German short-time work scheme reduced the allocative efficiency of the German labor market.

Comparative Advantage and Heterogeneous Firms

Comparative Advantage and Heterogeneous Firms
Author: Andrew B. Bernard
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper examines how country, industry and firm characteristics interact in general equilibrium to determine nations' responses to trade liberalization. When firms possess heterogeneous productivity, countries differ in relative factor abundance and industries vary in factor intensity, falling trade costs induce reallocations of resources both within and across industries and countries. These reallocations generate substantial job turnover in all sectors, spur relatively more creative destruction in comparative advantage industries than comparative disadvantage industries, and magnify ex ante comparative advantage to create additional welfare gains from trade. The relative ascendance of high-productivity firms within industries boosts aggregate productivity and drives down consumer prices. In contrast with the neoclassical model, these price declines dampen and can even reverse the real wage losses of scarce factors as countries liberalize.

What is the Impact of Increased Business Competition?

What is the Impact of Increased Business Competition?
Author: Sónia Félix
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 57
Release: 2019-12-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513521519

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This paper studies the macroeconomic effect and underlying firm-level transmission channels of a reduction in business entry costs. We provide novel evidence on the response of firms' entry, exit, and employment decisions. To do so, we use as a natural experiment a reform in Portugal that reduced entry time and costs. Using the staggered implementation of the policy across the Portuguese municipalities, we find that the reform increased local entry and employment by, respectively, 25% and 4.8% per year in its first four years of implementation. Moreover, around 60% of the increase in employment came from incumbent firms expanding their size, with most of the rise occurring among the most productive firms. Standard models of firm dynamics, which assume a constant elasticity of substitution, are inconsistent with the expansionary and heterogeneous response across incumbent firms. We show that in a model with heterogeneous firms and variable markups the most productive firms face a lower demand elasticity and expand their employment in response to increased entry.