The High-frequency Effects of U.S. Macroeconomic Data Releases on Prices and Trading Activity in the Global Interdealer Foreign Exchange Market

The High-frequency Effects of U.S. Macroeconomic Data Releases on Prices and Trading Activity in the Global Interdealer Foreign Exchange Market
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 50
Release: 2004
Genre: Foreign exchange
ISBN:
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"We introduce a new high-frequency foreign exchange dataset from EBS (Electronic Broking Service) that includes trading volume in the global interdealer spot market, data not previously available to researchers. The data also gives live transactable quotes, rather than the indicative quotes that have been used in most previous high frequency foreign exchange analysis. We describe intraday volume and volatility patterns in euro-dollar and dollar-yen trading. We study the effects of scheduled U.S. macroeconomic data releases, first confirming the finding of recent literature that the conditional mean of the exchange rate responds very quickly to the unexpected component of data releases. We next study the effects of data releases on trading volumes. News releases cause volume to rise, and to remain elevated for a longer period. However, in contrast to the result for the level of the exchange rate, even if the data release is entirely in line with expectations, we find that there is still typically a large pickup in trading volume"--Federal Reserve Board web site.

International Finance Discussion Papers

International Finance Discussion Papers
Author: Alain P Chaboud
Publisher: Scholar's Choice
Total Pages: 46
Release: 2015-02-16
Genre:
ISBN: 9781298050854
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This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.

Trading Activity and Exchange Rates in High-frequency EBS Data

Trading Activity and Exchange Rates in High-frequency EBS Data
Author: Alain P. Chaboud
Publisher:
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2007
Genre: Foreign exchange
ISBN:
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The absence of data has, until now, precluded virtually all research on trading volume in the foreign exchange market. This paper introduces a new high-frequency foreign exchange dataset from EBS (Electronic Broking Service) that includes trading volume in the global interdealer spot market. The dataset gives volumes and prices at the one-minute frequency over a five-year time period in the euro-dollar and dollar-yen currency pairs. We first document intraday volume patterns in euro-dollar and dollar-yen trading, noting the effects of macroeconomic news announcements but also purely institutional factors. We study the effects of UK-specific holidays on euro-dollar and dollar-yen trading volume and find that these holidays cause a sharp decline in trading volume even among dealers outside the UK, a natural experiment that we interpret as further evidence that trading activity is not driven solely by the flow of news about fundamentals. Studying the reaction to U.S. macroeconomic announcements, we show that a sharp pickup in trading volume generally occurs in the minutes following news announcements. This rise in trading volume happens even if the data release is entirely in line with market expectations, and it is often negatively related to the dispersion of ex-ante market expectations. Finally, focusing on one particular data release at the one-second frequency, we document a two-stage reaction whereby the price jumps immediately after the announcement without much trading volume, while trading volume and volatility then surge about 15 seconds after the data release.

Progress in Economics Research, Volume 11

Progress in Economics Research, Volume 11
Author: Albert Tavidze
Publisher: Nova Publishers
Total Pages: 262
Release: 2007
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781600217395
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This series spans the globe presenting leading research in economics. It is perhaps a sign of the times that economic weapons seem to be as powerful as or more so than tanks. International applications and examples of economic progress are invaluable in the world of the 21st century.

Micro Effects of Macro Announcements

Micro Effects of Macro Announcements
Author: Torben Gustav Andersen
Publisher:
Total Pages: 54
Release: 2002
Genre: Economics
ISBN:
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Using a new dataset consisting of six years of real-time exchange rate quotations, macroeconomic expectations, and macroeconomic realizations (announcements), we characterize the conditional means of U.S. dollar spot exchange rates versus German Mark, British Pound, Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc, and the Euro. In particular, we find that announcement surprises (that is, divergences between expectations and realizations, or 'news') produce conditional mean jumps; hence high-frequency exchange rate dynamics are linked to fundamentals. The details of the linkage are intriguing and include announcement timing and sign effects. The sign effect refers to the fact that the market reacts to news in an asymmetric fashion: bad news has greater impact than good news, which we relate to recent theoretical work on information processing and price discovery.

The Effect of Economic Data Releases on Foreign Exchange Markets Based on High Frequency Data

The Effect of Economic Data Releases on Foreign Exchange Markets Based on High Frequency Data
Author: Andres Bagnasco
Publisher:
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:
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Using six years of high-frequency (tick) foreign exchange spot quotes between January 2003 and June 2008, as well as economic announcement schedules from G7-countries, we study the effect of the most relevant macroeconomic data releases on EURUSD, GBPUSD, USD/JPY, USDCHF, AUDUSD, USDCAD, EURGBP and EURJPY. Tick frequency, volatility indicators and average market-maker spreads were considered. The hypothesis about the important impacts of economic announcements over exchange rates, as well as the lack of a reliable and quantitatively-based extensive classification of these announcements were the main drivers of our research. We confirm the importance of some of the most influential announcements for each of the G-7 countries. We also validate the practice of certain hedge fund managers of staying position-neutral during certain major data releases in order to avoid exposure to excessive volatility, as well as supplying hedge funds/risk managers, traders and market practitioners with a detailed «data release catalogue» for supporting their risk management decisions. Finally, clean and reliable datasets become now available for future research, removing the entry barriers researchers' usually face in this area.

Econophysics Approaches to Large-Scale Business Data and Financial Crisis

Econophysics Approaches to Large-Scale Business Data and Financial Crisis
Author: Misako Takayasu
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 320
Release: 2010-04-27
Genre: Science
ISBN: 4431538534
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In recent years, as part of the increasing “informationization” of industry and the economy, enterprises have been accumulating vast amounts of detailed data such as high-frequency transaction data in nancial markets and point-of-sale information onindividualitems in theretail sector. Similarly,vast amountsof data arenow ava- able on business networks based on inter rm transactions and shareholdings. In the past, these types of information were studied only by economists and management scholars. More recently, however, researchers from other elds, such as physics, mathematics, and information sciences, have become interested in this kind of data and, based on novel empirical approaches to searching for regularities and “laws” akin to those in the natural sciences, have produced intriguing results. This book is the proceedings of the international conference THICCAPFA7 that was titled “New Approaches to the Analysis of Large-Scale Business and E- nomic Data,” held in Tokyo, March 1–5, 2009. The letters THIC denote the Tokyo Tech (Tokyo Institute of Technology)–Hitotsubashi Interdisciplinary Conference. The conference series, titled APFA (Applications of Physics in Financial Analysis), focuses on the analysis of large-scale economic data. It has traditionally brought physicists and economists together to exchange viewpoints and experience (APFA1 in Dublin 1999, APFA2 in Liege ` 2000, APFA3 in London 2001, APFA4 in Warsaw 2003, APFA5 in Torino 2006, and APFA6 in Lisbon 2007). The aim of the conf- ence is to establish fundamental analytical techniques and data collection methods, taking into account the results from a variety of academic disciplines.

Financial Markets and Trading

Financial Markets and Trading
Author: Anatoly B. Schmidt
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 195
Release: 2011-07-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118093658
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An informative guide to market microstructure and trading strategies Over the last decade, the financial landscape has undergone a significant transformation, shaped by the forces of technology, globalization, and market innovations to name a few. In order to operate effectively in today's markets, you need more than just the motivation to succeed, you need a firm understanding of how modern financial markets work and what professional trading is really about. Dr. Anatoly Schmidt, who has worked in the financial industry since 1997, and teaches in the Financial Engineering program of Stevens Institute of Technology, puts these topics in perspective with his new book. Divided into three comprehensive parts, this reliable resource offers a balance between the theoretical aspects of market microstructure and trading strategies that may be more relevant for practitioners. Along the way, it skillfully provides an informative overview of modern financial markets as well as an engaging assessment of the methods used in deriving and back-testing trading strategies. Details the modern financial markets for equities, foreign exchange, and fixed income Addresses the basics of market dynamics, including statistical distributions and volatility of returns Offers a summary of approaches used in technical analysis and statistical arbitrage as well as a more detailed description of trading performance criteria and back-testing strategies Includes two appendices that support the main material in the book If you're unprepared to enter today's markets you will underperform. But with Financial Markets and Trading as your guide, you'll quickly discover what it takes to make it in this competitive field.

The Money Changers

The Money Changers
Author: Robert G. Williams
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing
Total Pages: 305
Release: 2008-02-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1848130732
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At almost $2 trillion per day in trades, currency markets vitally link the world together. Yet few people understand how they work and why they are prone to instability and bouts of panic. This book takes the reader behind the scenes on a tour of the places, the machines, the circuitry and the people involved in moving world money. This journey begins as a traveler removes foreign currency from an ATM machine in Istanbul. The author guides us from the periphery of the market into its neural centers in financial hubs such as London and New York. Currency traders, market analysts, money managers and payments systems architects show their workplaces and reveal their day-to-day experiences in this unpredictable and rapidly evolving world. The experts interviewed may use unfamiliar terms, but the logical progression of the chapters and participants' stories told in workplace settings bring abstract concepts down to earth. After completing the tour, the reader will have a clear picture of the geographical and structural organization of global currency markets and the people who run them. This vision of a volatile, evolving structure will provide a useful framework for deciphering the complex causes of yet unforeseen financial events.