The Great Population Spike and After

The Great Population Spike and After
Author: Walt Whitman Rostow
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Total Pages: 241
Release: 1998
Genre: Economic forecasting
ISBN: 0195116917

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This text presents the views of economist Walt W. Rostow, on what problems and prospects the world is likely to face in the year 2050. Central to his theory is his argument that the population of the world, after a growth from the year 1176 up to 2050, will achieve zero growth by 2100.

Empty Planet

Empty Planet
Author: Darrell Bricker
Publisher: Signal
Total Pages: 246
Release: 2019-02-05
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 0771050895

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From the authors of the bestselling The Big Shift, a provocative argument that the global population will soon begin to decline, dramatically reshaping the social, political, and economic landscape. For half a century, statisticians, pundits, and politicians have warned that a burgeoning planetary population will soon overwhelm the earth's resources. But a growing number of experts are sounding a different kind of alarm. Rather than growing exponentially, they argue, the global population is headed for a steep decline. Throughout history, depopulation was the product of catastrophe: ice ages, plagues, the collapse of civilizations. This time, however, we're thinning ourselves deliberately, by choosing to have fewer babies than we need to replace ourselves. In much of the developed and developing world, that decline is already underway, as urbanization, women's empowerment, and waning religiosity lead to smaller and smaller families. In Empty Planet, Ibbitson and Bricker travel from South Florida to Sao Paulo, Seoul to Nairobi, Brussels to Delhi to Beijing, drawing on a wealth of research and firsthand reporting to illustrate the dramatic consequences of this population decline--and to show us why the rest of the developing world will soon join in. They find that a smaller global population will bring with it a number of benefits: fewer workers will command higher wages; good jobs will prompt innovation; the environment will improve; the risk of famine will wane; and falling birthrates in the developing world will bring greater affluence and autonomy for women. But enormous disruption lies ahead, too. We can already see the effects in Europe and parts of Asia, as aging populations and worker shortages weaken the economy and impose crippling demands on healthcare and social security. The United States is well-positioned to successfully navigate these coming demographic shifts--that is, unless growing isolationism and anti-immigrant backlash lead us to close ourselves off just as openness becomes more critical to our survival than ever before. Rigorously researched and deeply compelling, Empty Planet offers a vision of a future that we can no longer prevent--but one that we can shape, if we choose.

Unified Growth Theory

Unified Growth Theory
Author: Oded Galor
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 344
Release: 2011-04-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 140083886X

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For most of the vast span of human history, economic growth was all but nonexistent. Then, about two centuries ago, some nations began to emerge from this epoch of economic stagnation, experiencing sustained economic growth that led to significant increases in standards of living and profoundly altered the level and distribution of wealth, population, education, and health across the globe. The question ever since has been--why? This is the first book to put forward a unified theory of economic growth that accounts for the entire growth process, from the dawn of civilization to today. Oded Galor, who founded the field of unified growth theory, identifies the historical and prehistorical forces behind the differential transition timing from stagnation to growth and the emergence of income disparity around the world. Galor shows how the interaction between technological progress and population ultimately raised the importance of education in coping with the rapidly changing technological environment, brought about significant reduction in fertility rates, and enabled some economies to devote greater resources toward a steady increase in per capita income, paving the way for sustained economic growth. Presents a unified theory of economic growth from the dawn of civilization to today Explains the worldwide disparities in living standards and population we see today Provides a comprehensive overview of the three phases of the development process Analyzes the Malthusian theory and its empirical support Examines theories of demographic transition and their empirical significance Explores the interaction between economic development and human evolution

The Population Bomb

The Population Bomb
Author: Paul R. Ehrlich
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 1971
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 9781568495873

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The Ultimate Resource

The Ultimate Resource
Author: Julian Lincoln Simon
Publisher: Princeton, N.J. : Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 440
Release: 1981
Genre: Economic policy
ISBN:

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Presents a strong counterargument to those arguing for limits on population growth and the using up of natural resources and food. Human resources driving the discovery of new natural resources are the core of Simon's expansionist theories. This book and those by Herman Kahn are important to have a balence presentation of expansionist with conserver views.

Concept and Controversy

Concept and Controversy
Author: W. W. Rostow
Publisher: Univ of TX + ORM
Total Pages: 520
Release: 2010-01-01
Genre: Biography & Autobiography
ISBN: 0292797842

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The noted economist and former National Security Advisor shares lessons learned from decades of national policymaking in this insightful memoir. A trusted advisor to Presidents Eisenhower, Kennedy, and Johnson and one of America's leading professors of economic history, W. W. Rostow helped shape the intellectual debate and governmental policies on major economic, political, and military issues from World War II to the dawn of the twenty-first century. In this thought-provoking memoir, Rostow discusses his analysis of—and involvement with—eleven key policy problems. In the process, he demonstrates how ideas flow into concrete action and how actions taken or not taken in the short term actually determine the long run that we call "the future.” Rostow examines such varied issues as using airpower in 1940s Europe; early attempts to end the Cold War; the economic revival of Korea; attempts to control inflation in the 1960s; the Vietnam War; and the challenges posed by declining population in the twenty-first century. In discussing these and other issues, Rostow builds a compelling case for including long-term forces in the making of current policy. He concludes his memoir with provocative reflections on the twentieth and twenty-first centuries and on how individual actors shape history.

The 2030 Spike

The 2030 Spike
Author: Colin Mason
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 256
Release: 2013-06-17
Genre: Law
ISBN: 1136555110

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The clock is relentlessly ticking! Our world teeters on a knife-edge between a peaceful and prosperous future for all, and a dark winter of death and destruction that threatens to smother the light of civilization. Within 30 years, in the 2030 decade, six powerful 'drivers' will converge with unprecedented force in a statistical spike that could tear humanity apart and plunge the world into a new Dark Age. Depleted fuel supplies, massive population growth, poverty, global climate change, famine, growing water shortages and international lawlessness are on a crash course with potentially catastrophic consequences. In the face of both doomsaying and denial over the state of our world, Colin Mason cuts through the rhetoric and reams of conflicting data to muster the evidence to illustrate a broad picture of the world as it is, and our possible futures. Ultimately his message is clear; we must act decisively, collectively and immediately to alter the trajectory of humanity away from catastrophe. Offering over 100 priorities for immediate action, The 2030 Spike serves as a guidebook for humanity through the treacherous minefields and wastelands ahead to a bright, peaceful and prosperous future in which all humans have the opportunity to thrive and build a better civilization. This book is powerful and essential reading for all people concerned with the future of humanity and planet earth.

Social Inequality in Post-Growth Japan

Social Inequality in Post-Growth Japan
Author: David Chiavacci
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 359
Release: 2016-09-13
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 1317245334

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In recent decades Japan has changed from a strongly growing, economically successful nation regarded as prime example of social equality and inclusion, to a nation with a stagnating economy, a shrinking population and a very high proportion of elderly people. Within this, new forms of inequality are emerging and deepening, and a new model of Japan as 'gap society' (kakusa shakai) has become common-sense. These new forms of inequality are complex, are caused in different ways by a variety of factors, and require deep-seated reforms in order to remedy them. This book provides a comprehensive overview of inequality in contemporary Japan. It examines inequality in labour and employment, in welfare and family, in education and social mobility, in the urban-rural divide, and concerning immigration, ethnic minorities and gender. The book also considers the widespread anxiety effect of the fear of inequality; and discusses how far these developments in Japan represent a new form of social problem for the wider world.

Spikes

Spikes
Author: Fred Rieke
Publisher: MIT Press (MA)
Total Pages: 418
Release: 1997
Genre: Action potentials (Electrophysiology)
ISBN: 9780262181747

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Intended for neurobiologists with an interest in mathematical analysis of neural data as well as the growing number of physicists and mathematicians interested in information processing by "real" nervous systems, Spikes provides a self-contained review of relevant concepts in information theory and statistical decision theory.

The Limits to Growth

The Limits to Growth
Author: Donella H. Meadows
Publisher: Universe Pub
Total Pages: 0
Release: 1972
Genre: Economic development.
ISBN: 9780876632222

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Examines the factors which limit human economic and population growth and outlines the steps necessary for achieving a balance between population and production. Bibliogs