The Effect Of Government Budget Deficit On Monetary Aggregates And The Foreign Sector The Case Of Ethiopia
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| Author | : Tewolde Girma Hailemikael |
| Publisher | : GRIN Verlag |
| Total Pages | : 24 |
| Release | : 2017-03-20 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : 366841887X |
Download The effect of Government budget deficit on monetary aggregates and the foreign sector. The case of Ethiopia Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Research Paper (postgraduate) from the year 2013 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: Very good, Bahir Dar University, course: Economic Policy analysis, language: English, abstract: The main objective of the study is to examine the effect of budget deficit on monetary aggregates and the foreign sector of Ethiopia using the Vector Error Correction Model over the period 1970/71 to 2010/11. Estimation result shows the existence of a fairly significant relationship between fiscal deficit, monetary aggregates and the foreign sector in Ethiopia. Budget deficit is at the root of monetary expansion. Monetary expansion intern contributes positively to rising inflation and overvalued exchange rate. The Inflation and overvalued exchange rate intern contributes to the low performances of the foreign sector through adversely affecting export incentive. Fiscal deficit for small open economy like Ethiopia is also sign of stimulated domestic import demand, because government not only spends on goods and services produced in domestic economy. Thus, the result is in favor of the twin deficit hypothesis therefore fiscal restraint bucked by export diversification will improve the performance of the foreign sector and status of inflation.
| Author | : Fikadu Goshu |
| Publisher | : GRIN Verlag |
| Total Pages | : 76 |
| Release | : 2014-12-17 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3656862702 |
Download The Impact of Foreign Aid on Government Expenditure in Ethiopia Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Scientific Study from the year 2014 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, Wollega University (Department of Economics), language: English, abstract: This study has examined the impact of foreign aid on government expenditure in Ethiopia over the period 1981 to 2012 using Multivariate Vector Auto Regression analysis. All the necessary time series tests such as stationary test, co-integration, weak exiguity, and other tests are conducted. The empirical result from the long run fungibility equation result indicates that sectoral aid has negative effect on its sector spending in developmental sectors except for agricultural sector government spending. The estimate of agricultural aid also support that a 1percent increase in agricultural aid leads to a 0.83percent increase in agricultural spending. Aid other than health aid also has positive impact on health spending. The positive coefficient of aid other than the health implies that there is an aid diversion towards health sector from the others. The negative coefficients of sectoral aid on the sector spending and the negative coefficients of aid other than sector-specific aid, indicate diversion of aid away from the specific sector. Negative coefficients of explanatory variables may arise when there is a diversion of categorical aid from developmental investment towards non developmental expenditure such as general service government expenditures. The result also shows education aid is fungible both in short and long run. Health aid is fungible in the long run but not in the short run. Agriculture aid is non fungible in both long and short run in Ethiopia. The coefficient of aid other than education aid has positive sign that implies the diversion of foreign aid to the education sector. Foreign aid have also negative impact on all of non developmental government spending In order to get the desired benefit from foreign aid, Ministry of Finance and Economic Development has to set sound financial management system which stimulates economic growth and mitigate any diversion of developmental sector aid to other non developmental expenditure particularly in education and health sectors. Therefore, effective and efficient monitoring system which was purpose oriented utilization of foreign aid is central to make sectoral spending non fungible in Ethiopia.
| Author | : |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 74 |
| Release | : 1992 |
| Genre | : Balance of payments |
| ISBN | : |
Download Perspectives on Devaluation in Ethiopia Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
| Author | : Frew Hailu |
| Publisher | : diplom.de |
| Total Pages | : 106 |
| Release | : 2015-01-01 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : 3954898543 |
Download The Effect of Government Expenditure on Private Investment in Ethiopia: A Time series Analysis Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
This study attempts to investigate the effect of government expenditure on private investment in Ethiopia over the period 1980-2012. The central question of this study is weather government expenditure has a positive or crowding in effect (complementary hypothesis) or a negative or crowding out effect (the substitutability hypothesis )on private investment in Ethiopia. To achieve its objective it adopted a modified flexible accelerator model to enlighten on the economic relationship between private investment and the other variables and used the modern technique of vector auto regressive model (VAR) and vector error correction model(VECM)as its methodology. The study also used the Johansen-Juselius (1990) cointegration analysis of a multivariate system of equation to estimate the long run relationship between government expenditure and private investment to determine the order of integration of the variable and Granger-Causality test was undertaken to determine causal relationship between the variables. In addition to this the study employs the Augmented Dicky-Fuller (ADF) unit root test and phillip perron test. The statistical tests reveal that all-time series data are non-stationary in their level and they become stationary after diffrencing.i.e.they are integrated of order one I(1).The johansen-juselius cointegration test shows that the series are cointegrated and then employs the vector error correction model moreover the study applies the impulse response function (IRF)and forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD) to investigate the effect of government investment shocks on private investment. And the empirical findings support the complementary hypothesis between government capital expenditure and private investment and that tends to crowd-in private investment in Ethiopia. And the empirical finding of recurrent part of government expenditure shows a mixed effect of complementary hypothesis and substitutability hypothesis which tends to crowd-in and crowd out effect .Thus government expenditure have a positive as well as negative effect on private investment and finally the study is used CHOW test in order to know whether structural break has an effect on private investment or not and the result depict that there is a structural break that have a positive effect on private investment of Ethiopia.
| Author | : Fikadu Goshu |
| Publisher | : GRIN Verlag |
| Total Pages | : 78 |
| Release | : 2014-10-29 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3656826226 |
Download Sectoral Analysis of the Impact of Foreign Aid on Economic Growth in Ethiopia Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Master's Thesis from the year 2014 in the subject Economics - Other, grade: Frst Grade, Wollega University (Business and Economics), course: Development Economics, language: English, abstract: This study has examined sectoral analysis of the impact of foreign aid on aggregate and sectoral economic growth in Ethiopia over the period 1981 to 2012 using multivariate Vector auto regression analysis. All the necessary time series tests such as stationary test, co-integration test, weak exiguity test, vector error correction, and causality test in vector error correction model and the like are conducted. The empirical result from the growth equation shows that aid has a significant positive impact on educational sector GDP in the long run. On the other hand, foreign aid has positive but insignificant impact on real GDP, agriculture GDP, and health sector GDP of Ethiopia. Foreign aid is effective in enhancing growth at aggregate level of the economy in general and education sector of the economy of Ethiopia in particular. The test result of the study result reveals that there is a bi-directional causal relationship between educational GDP and educational foreign aid in Ethiopia. However, the agricultural and health sector does not show any bi-directional causality with their respective sector aid. This implies that all aid allocated for sectors is ineffective all in all in achieving its objectives of economic development. Therefore, aid recipient country like Ethiopia has to work how to enhance the domestic revenue raising capacity of the country which is at the heart of the mechanism to meet the capital required for the economy in times of short falls and ineffectiveness of external resources.
| Author | : Asmare Workneh Alamrew |
| Publisher | : GRIN Verlag |
| Total Pages | : 77 |
| Release | : 2018-12-18 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3668856044 |
Download The Impact of Fiscal Policy Shocks on Ethiopian Economy Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Master's Thesis from the year 2017 in the subject Economics - Finance, , language: English, abstract: Fiscal policy is one of the macroeconomic policies which play a decisive role on economic growth; especially in developing economies which have many economic and social bottlenecks. This study examines the impacts of fiscal policy shock on Ethiopian economy; through applying static compatible general equilibrium (Stage CGE) model which allows quantifying the impacts of fiscal instrument shock on the economy and welfare of households. Fiscal problems like small tax revenue and consistent fiscal deficit put its own major influences on developing economies performance. The study uses 2009/10 Ethiopian SAM as an input for the model and applies three simulation scenarios. In the first simulation, tariff cut affects GDP and household welfare negatively. In the second simulation increasing direct tax has negative impact on total GDP. The other alternative simulation scenario is reducing direct tax and which give a positive change on the total GDP. In general, the government should reduce direct tax to improve economic performance. In addition, liberalizing tariff is not advisable for Ethiopian economy.
| Author | : International Monetary Fund |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 38 |
| Release | : 2010-11-24 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1455212636 |
Download The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Ethiopia has successfully implemented policies to reduce inflation and rebuild external reserves. Fiscal policy aims to continue the strong focus on physical and social infrastructure investment while raising the revenue effort. The recent reframing of monetary policy to adopt a reserve money nominal anchor holds out the prospect for the end of financial repression. While the External Shocks Facility-supported program has achieved its objectives of macroeconomic stabilization and a rebuilding of external reserves, much remains to be done to sustain and accelerate growth.
| Author | : International Monetary Fund |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 58 |
| Release | : 2004-03-18 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1451812698 |
Download The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Ethiopia showed commendable performance under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF) Arrangement. Executive Directors appreciated this development, and emphasized the need to strengthen fiscal and monetary policies, enhance revenues, strengthen public expenditure management, and introduce poverty-related activities. They welcomed the restructuring plan for the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia, and stressed the need to strengthen the organizational structure and finances of the National Bank of Ethiopia. They agreed that Ethiopia has successfully completed the fifth review under the PRGF program, and approved further financial assistance.
| Author | : Frew Hailu |
| Publisher | : GRIN Verlag |
| Total Pages | : 112 |
| Release | : 2014-10-13 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3656766711 |
Download Assessement of the effect of government expenditure on privat investment in Ethiopia Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Master's Thesis from the year 2014 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 1 (A), Wollega University (wollega University), course: Development Economics, language: English, abstract: This study attempts to investigate the effect of government expenditure on private investment in Ethiopia over the period 1980-2012. The central question of this study is weather government expenditure has a positive or crowding in effect (complementary hypothesis) or a negative or crowding out effect (the substitutability hypothesis )on private investment in Ethiopia. To achieve its objective it adopted a modified flexible accelerator model to enlighten on the economic relationship between private investment and the other variables and used the modern technique of vector auto regressive model (VAR) and vector error correction model(VECM)as its methodology. The study also used the Johansen-Juselius (1990) cointegration analysis of a multivariate system of equation to estimate the long run relationship between government expenditure and private investment to determine the order of integration of the variable and Granger-Causality test was undertaken to determine causal relationship between the variables. In addition to this the study employs the Augmented Dicky-Fuller (ADF) unit root test and phillip perron test. The statistical tests reveal that all-time series data are non-stationary in their level and they become stationary after diffrencing.i.e.they are integrated of order one I(1).The johansen-juselius cointegration test shows that the series are cointegrated and then employs the vector error correction model moreover the study applies the impulse response function (IRF)and forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD) to investigate the effect of government investment shocks on private investment. And the empirical findings support the complementary hypothesis between government capital expenditure and private investment and that tends to crowd-in private investment in Ethiopia. And the empirical finding of recurrent part of government expenditure shows a mixed effect of complementary hypothesis and substitutability hypothesis which tends to crowd-in and crowd out effect .Thus government expenditure have a positive as well as negative effect on private investment and finally the study is used CHOW test in order to know whether structural break has an effect on private investment or not and the result depict that there is a structural break that have a positive effect on private investment of Ethiopia. Keyword: Government expenditure, private investment, VAR, crowding-In, crowding out, Ethiopia
| Author | : Tony Addison |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 26 |
| Release | : 2001 |
| Genre | : Africa, Sub-Saharan |
| ISBN | : |
Download Ethiopia's New Financial Sector and Its Regulation Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
