The Economic Ripple Effects of COVID-19

The Economic Ripple Effects of COVID-19
Author: Francisco J. Buera
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2021
Genre:
ISBN:

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What are the effects of a temporary lockdown of the economy? Do firms' deteriorating balance sheets and labor market frictions propagate and prolong the effects? We answer these questions in a model with financial and labor market frictions. The model makes quantitative predictions about the effect of lockdowns of varying magnitude and duration on output, employment and firm dynamics. We find that the effects are not persistent if (i) workers on temporary layoff can be recalled by their previous employers without having to go through the frictional labor market and (ii) the government provides employment subsidies to firms during the lockdown. However, the effects are heterogeneous and young non-essential firms are disproportionately affected. In addition, if lockdowns lead to more permanent reallocation across industries, the recession becomes more protracted. Although the paper is motivated by the lockdowns during the Covid-19 pandemic, the framework can be readily applied to large, temporary shocks of different nature.

The Economics of COVID-19

The Economics of COVID-19
Author: Moosa, Imad A.
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 256
Release: 2021-11-16
Genre: Medical
ISBN: 1800377223

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This timely book explores the neglected risk in the advent of the Covid-19 pandemic, illustrating the ways in which four decades of neoliberal economic and public policy has eroded the functional capacity of states to handle catastrophic events.

Will the Economic Impact of COVID-19 Persist? Prognosis from 21st Century Pandemics

Will the Economic Impact of COVID-19 Persist? Prognosis from 21st Century Pandemics
Author: Johannes Emmerling
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 38
Release: 2021-04-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513582356

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COVID-19 has had a disruptive economic impact in 2020, but how long its impact will persist remains unclear. We offer a prognosis based on an analysis of the effects of five previous major epidemics in this century. We find that these pandemics led to significant and persistent reductions in disposable income, along with increases in unemployment, income inequality and public debt-to-GDP ratios. Energy use and CO2 emissions dropped, but mostly because of the persistent decline in the level of economic activity rather than structural changes in the energy sector. Applying our empirical estimates to project the impact of COVID-19, we foresee significant scarring in economic performance and income distribution through 2025, which be associated with an increase in poverty of about 75 million people. Policy responses more effective than those in the past would be required to forestall these outcomes.

Economic Impact and Recovery Following a Global Health Crisis

Economic Impact and Recovery Following a Global Health Crisis
Author: Sloboda, Brian W.
Publisher: IGI Global
Total Pages: 253
Release: 2022-01-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1799869024

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The COVID-19 pandemic has raised challenges in the assessment of macroeconomic and microeconomic impacts. The impacts of COVID-19 on the macro and micro sectors of the economy and the current and future economic tendencies have yet to be determined. The impact of COVID-19 research holds limitless potential, but the necessary research for professionals to understand the economic impacts is lacking and unclear. Economic Impact and Recovery Following a Global Health Crisis assesses the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic with a focus on the macroeconomic and microeconomic and uses various statistical methods and real-world data to predict and establish specific trends within the economy. Covering topics such as firm behavior and national economies, it is ideal for policymakers, industry professionals, researchers, academicians, instructors, and students.

The Effects of COVID-19 on the Global and Domestic Economy

The Effects of COVID-19 on the Global and Domestic Economy
Author: Magnus Strömberg
Publisher: Nova Snova
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2021-08-03
Genre: COVID-19 Pandemic, 2020-
ISBN: 9781536199529

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In the year since the COVID-19 outbreak was first diagnosed, it has spread to over 200 countries and all U.S. states. The pandemic has negatively affected global economic growth beyond anything experienced in nearly a century. Estimates so far indicate the virus reduced global economic growth to an annualized rate of -4.5% to -6.0% in 2020, with a partial recovery of 2.5% to 5.2% projected for 2021. Global trade is estimated to have fallen by 5.3% in 2020, but is projected to grow by 8.0% in 2021. The full economic impact of the pandemic likely will remain unclear until the negative health effects peak. This book provides an overview of the global and domestic economic costs to date and the response by governments and international institutions to address these effects.

Handbook of Ripple Effects in the Supply Chain

Handbook of Ripple Effects in the Supply Chain
Author: Dmitry Ivanov
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 332
Release: 2019-04-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3030143023

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This book offers an introduction to the ripple effect in the supply chain for a broad audience comprising recent developments. The chapters of this handbook are written by leading experts in supply chain risk management and resilience. For the first time, the chapters present in their synergy a multiple-faceted view of the ripple effect in supply chains, while considering organization, optimization, and informatics perspectives. Ripple effect describes the impact of a disruption propagation on supply chain performance, structural designs and operational parameters. The ripple effect manifests when the impact of a disruption cannot be localized and cascades along the supply chain. The resulting structural dynamics can lead to capacity and demand fulfilment downscaling and negatively influence the firm’s financial and operational performance. The book delineates major features of the ripple effect and methodologies to mitigate the adverse impact of supply chain disruption propagation and to recover in case of severe disruptions. The book provides fresh insights for supply chain management and engineering regarding the following questions: - In what circumstance does one failure cause other failures? - Which structures of the supply chain are especially susceptible to the ripple effect? - What are the typical ripple effect scenarios and what are the most efficient ways to respond them? Distinctive Features: • It considers ripple effect in the supply chain from an multi-disciplinary perspective• It offers an introduction to ripple effect mitigation and recovery policies in the framework of disruption risk management in supply chains for a broad audience• It integrates management and engineering perspectives on disruption risk management in the supply chain• It presents innovative optimization and simulation models for real-life management problems• It considers examples from both industrial and service supply chains• It reveals decision-making recommendations for tackling disruption risks in the supply chain in proactive and reactive domains.

The Effects of COVID-19 Vaccines on Economic Activity

The Effects of COVID-19 Vaccines on Economic Activity
Author: Mr. Pragyan Deb
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 47
Release: 2021-10-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1589063767

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This paper empirically examines the economic effects of COVID-19 vaccine rollouts using a cross-country daily database of vaccinations and high frequency indicators of economic activity—nitrogen dioxide (NO2) emissions, carbon monoxide (CO) emissions, and Google mobility indices—for a sample of 46 countries over the period December 16, 2020 to June 20, 2021. Using surprises in vaccines administered, we find that an unexpected increase in vaccination per capita is associated with a significant increase in economic activity. We also find evidence for non-linear effects of vaccines, with the marginal economic benefits being larger when vaccination rates are higher. Country-specific conditions play an important role, with lower economic gains if strict containment measures are in place or if the country is experiencing a severe outbreak. Finally, the results provide evidence of spillovers across borders, highlighting the importance of equitable access to vaccines across nations.

The Economic and Financial Impacts of the COVID-19 Crisis Around the World

The Economic and Financial Impacts of the COVID-19 Crisis Around the World
Author: Allen N. Berger
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 522
Release: 2023-09-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 044315273X

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The Economic and Financial Impacts of the COVID-19 Crisis Around the World: Expect the Unexpected provides an informed, research-based in-depth understanding of the COVID-19 crisis, its impacts on households, nonfinancial firms, banks, and financial market participants, and the effectiveness of the reactions of governments and policymakers in the United States and around the world. It provides reflections and perspectives on the social costs and benefits of various policies undertaken and a toolkit of preventive measures to deal with crises beyond the COVID-19 crisis. Authors Allen N. Berger, Mustafa U. Karakaplan, and Raluca A. Roman apply their expertise to the research and data on the COVID-19 economic crisis as well as draw on their own rich research experience. They take a holistic approach that compares and contrasts this crisis with other economic and financial crises and assesses economic and financial behavior and government policies in the booms before crises and the aftermaths following them, as well as the crises themselves. They do all this with a keen eye on “Expecting the Unexpected future crises, and policies that might anticipate them and provide better outcomes for society. Serves as a compendium of available research and data on COVID-19, policies in response to the pandemic, and its effects on the real economy, banking sector, and financial markets Contextualizes the COVID-19 economic crisis by comparing it to two other global crises from the past: the Crash of 1929 and the Global Financial Crisis of 2007–2009 Helps illustrate how crises that originate in financial markets and in the banking sector differ from each other as well as from the COVID-19 crisis that harmed the real economy first Compares the policies and outcomes of nations to the COVID-19 pandemic and assesses their costs and benefits, with potential implications for prospective future crises

The Political Economy of Covid-19

The Political Economy of Covid-19
Author: Jonathan Michie
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Total Pages: 356
Release: 2022-08-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1000637743

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This comprehensive book brings together research published during 2021 analysing the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the economy – on output and employment, on inequality, and on public policy responses. The Covid-19 pandemic has been the greatest public health crisis for a century – since the ‘Spanish Flu’ pandemic of 1919. The economic impact has been equally seismic. While it is too early to measure the full economic cost – since much of this will continue to accumulate for some time to come – it will certainly be one of the greatest global economic shocks of the past century. Some chapters in this edited volume report on specific countries, while some take a comparative look between countries, and others analyse the impact upon the global economy. Even before the Covid-19 pandemic, there had been calls for a ‘great reset’ in face of the climate crisis, the increased income and wealth inequality, and the need to avoid further global financial crisis. With the devastating Covid-19 pandemic – a harbinger for further such pandemics – there is an even greater need for a reset, and for the reset to be that much greater. The chapters in this book were originally published as special issues in the journal International Review of Applied Economics.