Investor Sentiment and the Closed-End Fund Puzzle

Investor Sentiment and the Closed-End Fund Puzzle
Author: Charles Lee
Publisher:
Total Pages: 51
Release: 2011
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper examines the proposition that fluctuations in discounts on closed end funds are driven by changes in individual investor sentiment toward closed end funds and other securities. The theory implies that discounts on various funds must move together, that new funds get started when seasoned funds sell at a premium or a small discount, and that discounts on the funds fluctuate together with prices of securities affected by the same investor sentiment. The evidence supports these predictions. In particular, we find that discounts on closed end funds narrow when small stocks do well, as would be expected if closed end funds were subject to the same sentiment as small stocks, whim tern. also to be held by individual investors. The evidence thus suggests that investor sentiment affects security returns.

Investor Sentiment and the Closed-end Fund Puzzle

Investor Sentiment and the Closed-end Fund Puzzle
Author: Charles Lee
Publisher:
Total Pages: 72
Release: 1990
Genre: Capitalists and financiers
ISBN:

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This paper examines the proposition that fluctuations in discounts on closed end funds are driven by changes in individual investor sentiment toward closed end funds and other securities. The theory implies that discounts on various funds must move together, that new funds get started when seasoned funds sell at a premium or a small discount, and that discounts on the funds fluctuate together with prices of securities affected by the same investor sentiment. The evidence supports these predictions. In particular, we find that discounts on closed end funds narrow when small stocks do well, as would be expected if closed end funds were subject to the same sentiment as small stocks, whim tern. also to be held by individual investors. The evidence thus suggests that investor sentiment affects security returns.

The Closed-End Fund Discount Puzzle

The Closed-End Fund Discount Puzzle
Author: Urbi Garay
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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Academic research has focused specifically on the enigmatic behavior of closed-end fund discounts, known in the literature as the closed-end fund discount puzzle. The extant evidence suggests that closed-end funds are issued at a premia with respect to their net asset values but typically trade at discounts thereafter, that the average closed-end fund trades at a significant discount relative to its net asset value, that discounts fluctuate widely over time and also across funds, and that closed-end fund prices converge to their net asset values when they are either liquidated or open-ended. Some of the theories that have been advanced attempting to explain the puzzle are efficient market based explanations and the Investor Sentiment Hypothesis. None of the theories, either individually or collectively, provide a sufficient explanation for the pricing of closed-end funds and, therefore, the enigma continues.

The Investor's Guide to Closed-end Funds

The Investor's Guide to Closed-end Funds
Author: Thomas J. Herzfeld
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Companies
Total Pages: 232
Release: 1980
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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The Closed-end Fund Puzzle

The Closed-end Fund Puzzle
Author: Weiyi (Eric) Zhang
Publisher:
Total Pages: 200
Release: 2014
Genre: Closed-end funds
ISBN:

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This thesis investigates the closed-end fund puzzle in China. This thesis finds rational theories of the closed-end fund discount puzzle, such as fund shares and holding asset liquidity, fund past performance and fees, are important determinants of the fund premiums. Several of these attributes are measured by innovative proxies. For instance, fund past performance is measured by the information ratio or t-alpha, which is often used in hedge fund performance evaluation studies, and the Amihud illiquidity measure is employed to test the association between fund liquidity and premiums. In addition, we also find supporting evidence for irrational theories or sentiment theories. First, fund premiums reflect fund future performance, implying premiums may contain expectation component or, alternatively, sentiment component. Second, the association between changes in value weighted discount and small-cap stock returns is significant across all size-sorted portfolios, when the market is booming and the number of retail investors participating in the market is increasing.

The Closed-end Fund Discount

The Closed-end Fund Discount
Author: Elroy Dimson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 84
Release: 2002
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Inefficient Markets

Inefficient Markets
Author: Andrei Shleifer
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Total Pages: 225
Release: 2000-03-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0191606898

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The efficient markets hypothesis has been the central proposition in finance for nearly thirty years. It states that securities prices in financial markets must equal fundamental values, either because all investors are rational or because arbitrage eliminates pricing anomalies. This book describes an alternative approach to the study of financial markets: behavioral finance. This approach starts with an observation that the assumptions of investor rationality and perfect arbitrage are overwhelmingly contradicted by both psychological and institutional evidence. In actual financial markets, less than fully rational investors trade against arbitrageurs whose resources are limited by risk aversion, short horizons, and agency problems. The book presents and empirically evaluates models of such inefficient markets. Behavioral finance models both explain the available financial data better than does the efficient markets hypothesis and generate new empirical predictions. These models can account for such anomalies as the superior performance of value stocks, the closed end fund puzzle, the high returns on stocks included in market indices, the persistence of stock price bubbles, and even the collapse of several well-known hedge funds in 1998. By summarizing and expanding the research in behavioral finance, the book builds a new theoretical and empirical foundation for the economic analysis of real-world markets.

The Closed-end Fund Puzzle

The Closed-end Fund Puzzle
Author: Yunpeng Zhang
Publisher:
Total Pages: 280
Release: 2009
Genre:
ISBN:

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Abstract: The closed-end fund (CEF) puzzle, which focuses on the difference between the net asset value (NAV) and the CEF price, has been the focus of academic research for decades. This dissertation includes both theoretical and empirical work studying the existence and fluctuations of equity CEF discounts. Chapter Two sets up an equilibrium asset pricing model for the global CEF. Assuming no communication between the NAV country and the CEF country, the equilibrium NAV and CEF prices are characterized separately in closed forms. In equilibrium, the NAV only depends on the current dividend value and the subjective discount rate. However, the equilibrium CEF price also depends on future dividend dynamics until the open-end date. Furthermore, comparative sensitivity analyses and simulations show how the CEF discount fluctuates with different parameter configurations. In conclusion, this chapter finds three factors important to understand the CEF puzzle: (1) The equilibrium interest rate is partially exogenous with respect to the CEF; (2) The NAV portfolio cannot perfectly be hedged by the market assets space; (3) The total number of outstanding CEF shares is fixed in the financial market. Chapter Three investigates the correlation between the NAV return and the CEF discount in global CEFs by estimating the convenience yield using a two-factor dynamic state space model and constructing liquidity risk measures combining the work of Datar, Naik, and Radcliffe (1998) and Amihud (2002). The empirical results show that the CEF discount is negatively correlated with the NAV return but positively correlated with the liquidity risk measure, which is consistent with Chan, Jain and Xia (2008). Chapter Four proposes a theoretical model for the CEF discount change on the open-end announcement using a representative agent portfolio optimization model. Before the announcement, the CEF discount dynamic follows a mean-reverting process. After the announcement, the discount dynamic is modified to converge to zero on the open-end date, which changes the budget constraint of the portfolio optimization. Assuming that the portfolio holding of CEF shares is unaffected by the announcement, the discount change on that date can be solved numerically. Empirical applications also present positive supports for the proposed explanation.

Investor Sentiment and the Closed-End Fund Puzzle

Investor Sentiment and the Closed-End Fund Puzzle
Author: John A. Doukas
Publisher:
Total Pages: 38
Release: 2003
Genre:
ISBN:

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In this paper we examine the proposition that small investor sentiment, measured by the change in the discount/premium on closed-end funds, is an important factor in stock returns. We conduct an out-of-sample test of the investor sentiment hypothesis in a market environment that is more likely to be prone to investor sentiment than the U.S. We fail to provide supporting evidence of the claim of Lee, Shleifer, and Thaler (1991) that investor sentiment affects the risk of common stocks. Consistent with Elton, Gruber, and Busse (1998), who show that investor sentiment does not enter the return generating process, our tests do not detect investor sentiment in a capital market that is more susceptible to small investor sentiment. Our results provide additional support against the claim that investor sentiment represents an independent and systematic asset pricing risk.