Stock Market Prediction

Stock Market Prediction
Author: Donald A. Bradley
Publisher:
Total Pages: 76
Release: 1948
Genre: Astrology
ISBN:

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Stock price Prediction a referential approach on how to predict the stock price using simple time series...

Stock price Prediction a referential approach on how to predict the stock price using simple time series...
Author: Dr.N.Srinivasan
Publisher: Clever Fox Publishing
Total Pages: 56
Release:
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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This book is about the various techniques involved in the stock price prediction. Even the people who are new to this book, after completion they can do stock trading individually with more profit.

Stock Market Prediction and Efficiency Analysis using Recurrent Neural Network

Stock Market Prediction and Efficiency Analysis using Recurrent Neural Network
Author: Joish Bosco
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 82
Release: 2018-09-18
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 3668800456

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Project Report from the year 2018 in the subject Computer Science - Technical Computer Science, , course: Computer Science, language: English, abstract: Modeling and Forecasting of the financial market have been an attractive topic to scholars and researchers from various academic fields. The financial market is an abstract concept where financial commodities such as stocks, bonds, and precious metals transactions happen between buyers and sellers. In the present scenario of the financial market world, especially in the stock market, forecasting the trend or the price of stocks using machine learning techniques and artificial neural networks are the most attractive issue to be investigated. As Giles explained, financial forecasting is an instance of signal processing problem which is difficult because of high noise, small sample size, non-stationary, and non-linearity. The noisy characteristics mean the incomplete information gap between past stock trading price and volume with a future price. The stock market is sensitive with the political and macroeconomic environment. However, these two kinds of information are too complex and unstable to gather. The above information that cannot be included in features are considered as noise. The sample size of financial data is determined by real-world transaction records. On one hand, a larger sample size refers a longer period of transaction records; on the other hand, large sample size increases the uncertainty of financial environment during the 2 sample period. In this project, we use stock data instead of daily data in order to reduce the probability of uncertain noise, and relatively increase the sample size within a certain period of time. By non-stationarity, one means that the distribution of stock data is various during time changing. Non-linearity implies that feature correlation of different individual stocks is various. Efficient Market Hypothesis was developed by Burton G. Malkiel in 1991.

Stock Market Prediction Through Sentiment Analysis of Social-Media and Financial Stock Data Using Machine Learning

Stock Market Prediction Through Sentiment Analysis of Social-Media and Financial Stock Data Using Machine Learning
Author: Mohammad Al Ridhawi
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2021
Genre:
ISBN:

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Given the volatility of the stock market and the multitude of financial variables at play, forecasting the value of stocks can be a challenging task. Nonetheless, such prediction task presents a fascinating problem to solve using machine learning. The stock market can be affected by news events, social media posts, political changes, investor emotions, and the general economy among other factors. Predicting the stock value of a company by simply using financial stock data of its price may be insufficient to give an accurate prediction. Investors often openly express their attitudes towards various stocks on social medial platforms. Hence, combining sentiment analysis from social media and the financial stock value of a company may yield more accurate predictions. This thesis proposes a method to predict the stock market using sentiment analysis and financial stock data. To estimate the sentiment in social media posts, we use an ensemble-based model that leverages Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) models. We use an LSTM model for the financial stock prediction. The models are trained on the AAPL, CSCO, IBM, and MSFT stocks, utilizing a combination of the financial stock data and sentiment extracted from social media posts on Twitter between the years 2015-2019. Our experimental results show that the combination of the financial and sentiment information can improve the stock market prediction performance. The proposed solution has achieved a prediction performance of 74.3%.

Stock Market Crashes: Predictable And Unpredictable And What To Do About Them

Stock Market Crashes: Predictable And Unpredictable And What To Do About Them
Author: William T Ziemba
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 309
Release: 2017-08-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9813223863

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'Overall, the book provides an interesting and useful synthesis of the authors’ research on the predictions of stock market crashes. The book can be recommended to anyone interested in the Bond Stock Earnings Yield Differential model, and similar methods to predict crashes.'Quantitative FinanceThis book presents studies of stock market crashes big and small that occur from bubbles bursting or other reasons. By a bubble we mean that prices are rising just because they are rising and that prices exceed fundamental values. A bubble can be a large rise in prices followed by a steep fall. The focus is on determining if a bubble actually exists, on models to predict stock market declines in bubble-like markets and exit strategies from these bubble-like markets. We list historical great bubbles of various markets over hundreds of years.We present four models that have been successful in predicting large stock market declines of ten percent plus that average about minus twenty-five percent. The bond stock earnings yield difference model was based on the 1987 US crash where the S&P 500 futures fell 29% in one day. The model is based on earnings yields relative to interest rates. When interest rates become too high relative to earnings, there almost always is a decline in four to twelve months. The initial out of sample test was on the Japanese stock market from 1948-88. There all twelve danger signals produced correct decline signals. But there were eight other ten percent plus declines that occurred for other reasons. Then the model called the 1990 Japan huge -56% decline. We show various later applications of the model to US stock declines such as in 2000 and 2007 and to the Chinese stock market. We also compare the model with high price earnings decline predictions over a sixty year period in the US. We show that over twenty year periods that have high returns they all start with low price earnings ratios and end with high ratios. High price earnings models have predictive value and the BSEYD models predict even better. Other large decline prediction models are call option prices exceeding put prices, Warren Buffett's value of the stock market to the value of the economy adjusted using BSEYD ideas and the value of Sotheby's stock. Investors expect more declines than actually occur. We present research on the positive effects of FOMC meetings and small cap dominance with Democratic Presidents. Marty Zweig was a wall street legend while he was alive. We discuss his methods for stock market predictability using momentum and FED actions. These helped him become the leading analyst and we show that his ideas still give useful predictions in 2016-2017. We study small declines in the five to fifteen percent range that are either not expected or are expected but when is not clear. For these we present methods to deal with these situations.The last four January-February 2016, Brexit, Trump and French elections are analzyed using simple volatility-S&P 500 graphs. Another very important issue is can you exit bubble-like markets at favorable prices. We use a stopping rule model that gives very good exit results. This is applied successfully to Apple computer stock in 2012, the Nasdaq 100 in 2000, the Japanese stock and golf course membership prices, the US stock market in 1929 and 1987 and other markets. We also show how to incorporate predictive models into stochastic investment models.

Predicting the Markets of Tomorrow

Predicting the Markets of Tomorrow
Author: James P. O'Shaughnessy
Publisher: Penguin
Total Pages: 272
Release: 2006-03-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 110121838X

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A unique and timely new wealth-building strategy from a legendary investment guru In his national bestsellers How to Retire Rich and What Works on Wall Street, portfolio manager extraordinaire James P. O’Shaughnessy offered investors practical advice based on rigorous quantitative analysis—advice that has consistently beaten the market. But in a recent analysis of market data, O’Shaughnessy uncovered some astonishing trends not discussed in his previous books. The Markets of Tomorrow explains O’Shaughnessy’s new research and tells ordinary investors what they must do now to revamp their portfolios. According to O’Shaughnessy, the year 2000 marked the end of a twenty-year cycle that was dominated by the stocks of larger, fastergrowing companies like those in the S&P 500. In the new cycle, the stocks of small and midsize companies are the ones that will outperform the market, along with large company value stocks and intermediate term bonds. O’Shaughnessy describes the number crunching behind his analysis and then shows individual investors exactly how to select the right mix of investments and pick top-performing small and midcap stocks. The Markets of Tomorrow is a loud and clear call to action for every investor who doesn’t want to be left behind.

Deep Learning Tools for Predicting Stock Market Movements

Deep Learning Tools for Predicting Stock Market Movements
Author: Renuka Sharma
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 500
Release: 2024-05-14
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1394214308

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DEEP LEARNING TOOLS for PREDICTING STOCK MARKET MOVEMENTS The book provides a comprehensive overview of current research and developments in the field of deep learning models for stock market forecasting in the developed and developing worlds. The book delves into the realm of deep learning and embraces the challenges, opportunities, and transformation of stock market analysis. Deep learning helps foresee market trends with increased accuracy. With advancements in deep learning, new opportunities in styles, tools, and techniques evolve and embrace data-driven insights with theories and practical applications. Learn about designing, training, and applying predictive models with rigorous attention to detail. This book offers critical thinking skills and the cultivation of discerning approaches to market analysis. The book: details the development of an ensemble model for stock market prediction, combining long short-term memory and autoregressive integrated moving average; explains the rapid expansion of quantum computing technologies in financial systems; provides an overview of deep learning techniques for forecasting stock market trends and examines their effectiveness across different time frames and market conditions; explores applications and implications of various models for causality, volatility, and co-integration in stock markets, offering insights to investors and policymakers. Audience The book has a wide audience of researchers in financial technology, financial software engineering, artificial intelligence, professional market investors, investment institutions, and asset management companies.

Valuation Challenges and Solutions in Contemporary Businesses

Valuation Challenges and Solutions in Contemporary Businesses
Author: Köseo?lu, Sinem Derindere
Publisher: IGI Global
Total Pages: 324
Release: 2019-11-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1799810887

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Defining the value of an entire company can be challenging, especially for large, highly competitive business markets. While the main goal for many companies is to increase their market value, understanding the advanced techniques and determining the best course of action to maximize profits can puzzle both academic and business professionals alike. Valuation Challenges and Solutions in Contemporary Businesses provides emerging research exploring theoretical and practical aspects of income-based, market-based, and asset-based valuation approaches and applications within the financial sciences. Featuring coverage on a broad range of topics such as growth rate, diverse business, and market value, this book is ideally designed for financial officers, business professionals, company managers, CEOs, corporate professionals, academicians, researchers, and students seeking current research on the challenging aspects of firm valuation and an assortment of possible solution-driven concepts.

Stock Market Prediction Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning

Stock Market Prediction Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning
Author: Amir Ebrahimi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2021
Genre: Computer science
ISBN:

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Over the last century, the stock market has had several notable growths and declines. Prediction and analysis of financial markets, such as Stock Market prediction, have always been challenging for investors worldwide due to the non-linear nature of financial markets. With the help of Data Science, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning, prediction in Stock Market has become feasible and more reliable. This research aims to find the most accurate models for Stock Market prediction by utilizing machine learning and deep learning algorithms, such as Support Vector Regression (SVR), Long Short-term Memory (LSTM), and Random Forest Regression. Several technical analysis indicators are utilized in the models as features to improve the accuracy of the models. In addition, several transactional signals are generated and used as input features into each prediction model. Our models' training and testing performance are evaluated using Root-Mean-Square Error (RMSE) to find the average error for each model. The evaluations indicate how the models are efficient for predicting the stock price.

The Stock Market Barometer

The Stock Market Barometer
Author: William Peter Hamilton
Publisher:
Total Pages: 360
Release: 1922
Genre: Dow Jones averages
ISBN:

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