Remote Sensing Observations and Modeling of Volcano Flank Instability

Remote Sensing Observations and Modeling of Volcano Flank Instability
Author: Judit Gonzalez Santana
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2023
Genre:
ISBN:

Download Remote Sensing Observations and Modeling of Volcano Flank Instability Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Volcano instability refers to the condition where a volcanic edifice has reached a state of destabilization that increases the likelihood that all or part of the edifice will undergo structural failure. Flank instability can arise from complex interactions between gravity forces, magmatic activity, and local or regional tectonics, and develop over a variety of timescales and lengthscales. Despite debris avalanches resulting from the catastrophic failure of volcanic flanks taking place at a frequency of 5 every 100 years, and causing over 20,000 fatalities in the past 400 years, flank motion only attained recognition as an important process in the mid-20th century, so its expression and drivers are poorly understood relative to those of other volcanic processes. The purpose of this dissertation is to investigate the occurrence of long-term flank instability at volcanoes, including the processes, precursory signals and conditions required to develop and sustain volcanic flank creep. This is motivated by the need to better understand the conditions under which catastrophic flank collapse will take place and to identify precursory activity that could enable suitable hazard assessment and early warning for risk mitigation purposes. Specifically, I present research on volcanic flank instability and its interaction with magmatic activity. The emphasis is on improving observations of flank instability through satellite remote sensing and leveraging models to better understand the relative contributions of different processes to flank instability. This dissertation is composed of four main chapters: the first three focus on an active volcano in Guatemala, Pacaya, where previous studies have shown evidence for flank instability, whereas the fourth is a parametric study applicable to the range of volcano geometries in nature. The first chapter focuses on the detection and modeling of low magnitude flank creep at Pacaya. The second presents a conceptual model for the links between flank creep behaviour and volcanic unrest at Pacaya. The third focuses on validating the conceptual model and testing the performance of different radar satellite platforms to detect ground motion as well as the applicability of single-station seismic analyses to monitor eruption evolution. The final chapter addresses the impact of volcano and fault geometry on the likelihood of developing magma driven flank instability. Despite the prevalence of debris avalanches across volcanic settings, flank instability has mostly been considered at ocean island volcanoes. In Guatemala, all but one volcano with elevation >2000 m have undergone edifice failure. Pacaya is one of these Guatemalan volcanoes, which experienced at least one past episode of flank collapse and where recent transient flank motion was identified during two large eruptions in 2010 and 2014. I investigate the existence of long-term slip at Pacaya through a time-series analysis method that enables retrieval of long-term signals by combining information from multiple shorter interval radar satellite image pairs and reveal, for the first time, long-term displacement of the southwest flank of Pacaya between 2010 and 2014. Through inverse geodetic modeling and analysis of stress changes, I find that that the observed flank motion could be accommodated by slip on a southwest-dipping detachment fault, with an observed increase in slip rate attributed to magma intrusion during a major eruption in 2014. The identification of long-term flank creep and its modulation by magmatic activity at Pacaya between 2012 and 2014 raised the question of whether creep was ongoing and how other instances of lava flow effusion and explosive activity relate to flank motion. Thus, I investigated the links between flank creep rates and eruptive behavior at Pacaya, to better constrain the conditions under which flank creep can be initiated, sustained, or halted at active volcanoes. I computed time-series of surface displacements from 2007 to 2020 using seven radar satellite datasets to quantify flank creep rates and compiled volcanic activity reports, ash advisories, thermal anomalies, and lava flow maps to describe the concurrent eruptive activity. The observations were combined into a conceptual model showing how during periods of elevated volcanic unrest attributed to open-vent volcanic activity, magma migrates in an open conduit with little associated deformation or flank motion, whereas during activity involving the opening of new vents outside the summit area, transient flank creep can be initiated. Pacaya underwent another heightened period of volcanic activity in early 2021, as the culmination of effusive and explosive activity starting in mid-2015. Given the association of past vigorous eruptive activity from vents beyond the summit area with initiation or acceleration of flank creep, I assessed whether this process repeated itself in 2021. I also leveraged the availability of radar data availability from 5 different satellite platforms with different spatial and temporal resolutions to assess the relative performance of different platforms for monitoring volcanic eruptions. Ground displacement time-series results revealed subsidence and westward displacements on the southwest flank that are compatible with down-dip motion, but might include contributions from lava flow compaction and seasonal tropospheric water vapor variations. Overall, results highlight the advantage of high resolution SAR amplitude imagery for mapping surface changes, the vulnerability to geometric distortions of low incidence angle platforms, and the obstacle of reliance on tasking to obtain imagery over volcanoes, as well as the need for advanced techniques to unravel sources of ground motion signals. An additional seismic dataset revealed that real-time seismic amplitude measurement peaks reflect the vigor of magma effusion and single-station correlations capture the effects of rainfall, but gaps and noise in the datasets impeded identifying any characteristic signals coincident with changes in eruptive activity or flank displacement trends. To further the understanding of the complex interplay between magmatic intrusion and volcanic flank creep observed at Pacaya, but also at other volcanoes, I carried out a parametric study using numerical models. Specifically, I assessed how edifice slope, the geometry of faults, and intrusion depth affect the potential for the development of magma-driven flank instability at volcanoes. I quantified whether each modeled condition would be conducive or detrimental to slip through calculation of stress changes on example receiver faults for endmember scenarios in nature. Additionally, the surface displacements for each case were extracted, to highlight deviations from the displacements that would be obtained through more commonly used analytical models that neglect relief. Development of instability is most likely when receiver faults have shallow dips and the dike intrusion spans the edifice, regardless of edifice steepness, or in steep edifices when receiver faults have steep dips and the dike is beneath the edifice. Neglecting topography yields different magnitudes and extents of surface deformation and stress changes.

Remote Sensing of Volcanoes and Volcanic Processes

Remote Sensing of Volcanoes and Volcanic Processes
Author: D.M. Pyle
Publisher: Geological Society of London
Total Pages: 361
Release: 2014-01-06
Genre: Science
ISBN: 1862393621

Download Remote Sensing of Volcanoes and Volcanic Processes Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This volume focuses on how advances in both remote sensing and modelling can be brought together to improve our understanding of the behaviour of active volcanoes. It includes review papers, papers reporting technical advances and case studies showing how the integration of remote-sensing observations with models can be put to good use.

Remote Sensing of Volcanic Processes and Risk

Remote Sensing of Volcanic Processes and Risk
Author: Francesca Cigna
Publisher: MDPI
Total Pages: 430
Release: 2021-03-17
Genre: Science
ISBN: 3036501266

Download Remote Sensing of Volcanic Processes and Risk Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Remote sensing data and methods are increasingly being implemented in assessments of volcanic processes and risk. This happens thanks to their capability to provide a spectrum of observation and measurement opportunities to accurately sense the dynamics, magnitude, frequency, and impacts of volcanic activity. This book includes research papers on the use of satellite, aerial, and ground-based remote sensing to detect thermal features and anomalies, investigate lava and pyroclastic flows, predict the flow path of lahars, measure gas emissions and plumes, and estimate ground deformation. The multi-disciplinary character of the approaches employed for volcano monitoring and the combination of a variety of sensor types, platforms, and methods that come out from the papers testify to the current scientific and technology trends toward multi-data and multi-sensor monitoring solutions. The added value of the papers lies in the demonstration of how remote sensing can improve our knowledge of volcanoes that pose a threat to local communities; back-analysis and critical revision of recent volcanic eruptions and unrest periods; and improvement of modeling and prediction methods. Therefore, the selected case studies also demonstrate the societal impact that this scientific discipline can potentially have on volcanic hazard and risk management.

Monitoring Volcanoes in the North Pacific

Monitoring Volcanoes in the North Pacific
Author: Kenneson Gene Dean
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 389
Release: 2015-12-21
Genre: Science
ISBN: 3540687505

Download Monitoring Volcanoes in the North Pacific Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This book is a visual learning experience as recorded on satellite images of volcanic eruptions and a manual describing how it is used for operational satellite monitoring. The atlas shows examples of the largest eruptions worldwide. The book fills a huge gap in the science of volcano remote sensing. A CD-ROM is included containing all the images and an associated website which will be regularly updated, showing results from new and current eruptions.

Remote Sensing of Volcanic Processes and Risk

Remote Sensing of Volcanic Processes and Risk
Author: Francesca Cigna
Publisher:
Total Pages: 430
Release: 2021
Genre:
ISBN: 9783036501277

Download Remote Sensing of Volcanic Processes and Risk Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Remote sensing data and methods are increasingly being implemented in assessments of volcanic processes and risk. This happens thanks to their capability to provide a spectrum of observation and measurement opportunities to accurately sense the dynamics, magnitude, frequency, and impacts of volcanic activity. This book includes research papers on the use of satellite, aerial, and ground-based remote sensing to detect thermal features and anomalies, investigate lava and pyroclastic flows, predict the flow path of lahars, measure gas emissions and plumes, and estimate ground deformation. The multi-disciplinary character of the approaches employed for volcano monitoring and the combination of a variety of sensor types, platforms, and methods that come out from the papers testify to the current scientific and technology trends toward multi-data and multi-sensor monitoring solutions. The added value of the papers lies in the demonstration of how remote sensing can improve our knowledge of volcanoes that pose a threat to local communities; back-analysis and critical revision of recent volcanic eruptions and unrest periods; and improvement of modeling and prediction methods. Therefore, the selected case studies also demonstrate the societal impact that this scientific discipline can potentially have on volcanic hazard and risk management.

InSAR Imaging of Aleutian Volcanoes

InSAR Imaging of Aleutian Volcanoes
Author: Zhong Lu
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 411
Release: 2014-03-31
Genre: Science
ISBN: 3642003486

Download InSAR Imaging of Aleutian Volcanoes Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) is a relatively new remote sensing tool that is capable of measuring ground-surface deformation with centimeter-to-subcentimeter precision at a spatial resolution of tens of meters over an area of hundreds to thousands of square kilometers. With its global coverage and all-weather imaging capability, InSAR has become an increasingly important technique for studying volcanoes in remote regions such as the Aleutian Islands. The spatial distribution of surface deformation data derived from InSAR images enables the construction of detailed mechanical models to enhance the study of magmatic processes. InSAR Imaging of Aleutian Volcanoes: • Provides a theoretical framework for InSAR observations and capabilities • Discusses state-of-the-art InSAR analysis techniques • Describes the structure, eruptive history, and magma composition of volcanoes along the entire Aleutian arc • Presents conceptual models for the magma plumbing systems of Aleutian volcanoes based on InSAR results combined with geophysical, geological and geochemical observations. • Synthesizes observations of deformation along the Aleutian arc and compares those results to other active arcs around the world. • Is illustrated throughout with high-resolution color satellite radar images

Nature and Mechanics of Slope Instability at Pacaya Volcano

Nature and Mechanics of Slope Instability at Pacaya Volcano
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

Download Nature and Mechanics of Slope Instability at Pacaya Volcano Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Abstract : Massive flank failure is a fairly common process in the evolution of volcanoes, having occurred at over 400 volcanoes worldwide. However, such events are infrequent relative to other volcanic phenomena, making observations and records of collapse events rare. Moreover, deformation measurements indicative of instability can be the complex result of both dynamic processes and the composition and morphology of the edifice. Hence, the processes and conditions that initiate, propagate, and arrest volcanic landslides are poorly understood. This work combines field studies, laboratory experiments, remote sensing, and numerical modeling to measure and interpret deformation events at the active Pacaya Volcano in Guatemala. Interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) measurements reveal that during eruptions in May of 2010, the west and southwest flank of the edifice experienced large, discrete landsliding that was ultimately aborted. The movement is distinctive in both the magnitude and spatial extent of the slide, being the largest slope displacement (~4 m) recorded at a volcano that did not result in a catastrophic debris avalanche such as the 1980 event at Mount St. Helens. 3-D displacements derived from pixel offset tracking techniques indicate that the majority of the cone, rebuilt from a previous flank collapse, moved downslope along a complex failure surface involving both rotational and along-slope movement. Notably, the lack of continuous movement of the sliding area in the years leading up to, and after the event emphasizes that active spreading should not always be expected at volcanoes for which triggering factors (e.g. magmatic intrusions and eruptions) could precipitate sudden major flank instability. Laboratory analysis of rock collected from Pacaya under volcano-specific events such as cyclical stressing, thermal stressing, and high temperature reveal different process-specific behaviors that could influence numerical hazard analyses of slope stability and deformation models. Understanding the nature and mechanics of this slope instability is critical for the estimated 35,000 people that may be affected in the event of a catastrophic flank collapse. Continued efforts such as those described in this dissertation can help to anticipate and mitigate what is arguably a collapsing volcano.

Thermal Remote Sensing of Active Volcanoes

Thermal Remote Sensing of Active Volcanoes
Author: Andrew Harris
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 739
Release: 2013-04-18
Genre: Nature
ISBN: 052185945X

Download Thermal Remote Sensing of Active Volcanoes Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

A comprehensive manual exploring radiometry methodologies and principles used with satellite-, radiometer- and thermal-camera data, for academic researchers and graduate students.

Volcanic Degassing

Volcanic Degassing
Author: Clive Oppenheimer
Publisher: Geological Society of London
Total Pages: 438
Release: 2003
Genre: Nature
ISBN: 9781862391369

Download Volcanic Degassing Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle