Regulatory Distortions in Energy

Regulatory Distortions in Energy
Author: Akshaya Jha
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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In this dissertation, I explore the costs and benefits of regulatory versus market price setting mechanisms for electricity generation in the United States. This paper is split into two sections. I devote the first section to studying the costs of regulatory distortions in input procurement for U.S coal-fired power plants. The second section (joint with Frank Wolak) quantifies the efficiency gains associated with the introduction of financial trading in California's wholesale electricity markets. In Chapter 1, I begin with the following puzzling fact: during my 1983-1997 sample period, electric utilities subject to output price regulation purchase much of their input coal via long-term contracts, consistently paying contract prices in excess of expected spot market prices. I argue that regulators are less likely to pass through high coal procurement cost realizations to consumers, inducing expected profit maximizing firms under output price regulation to express a willingness to pay for both a lower mean and a lower variance in costs ("as if"' risk aversion). I show descriptively that plants facing higher spot price uncertainty sign coal contracts with a longer duration, and purchase a higher proportion of their required coal from these contracts relative to the spot market. At their observed contracting proportions, I find that plants on average are willing to trade off a 0.22% increase in mean procurement costs for a 10% reduction in the variance of costs. If plants counterfactually purchase all of their required coal from the spot market, I find a roughly 10.5% ($87 million per month over plants) decrease in mean coal procurement costs. However, this reduction in mean costs comes with a significant increase in the variance of costs; even if plants were willing to double their variance in costs, we would only see a 1.7% reduction in mean costs. Policymakers and regulators often argue that there are benefits associated with decreased volatility in input costs; this paper provides the increase in expected costs associated with decreased volatility to be weighed against these benefits. In Chapter 2, I quantify the dynamic productive efficiency gains in input procurement associated with introducing market mechanisms into a formerly price regulated industry. I do so within the context of the U.S coal-fired power generation sector from 1983-2012. I formulate and estimate a dynamic plant-level model of coal purchase and storage decisions. Holding constant the plant's pattern of input prices and output, I find that it costs a regulated plant roughly 3% more per month to procure and store coal relative to the same plant facing market prices. This amounts to roughly $35 million per month saved in procurement costs if all price-regulated coal-fired plants in the U.S instead faced market prices. This regulatory distortion stems both from the fact that the structure of output price regulation: 1) passes through all prudently incurred coal purchases, and 2) provides a working capital allowance for inventories held on-site. Empirically, I find that the first source is more important; changes in when and how much coal a plant buys under output price regulation explains more of the 3% regulatory distortion relative to changes in the level of inventories held. One of the primary concerns regarding output price regulation has been distortions in the level of investment due to the regulated return provided on capital; my findings indicate that regulatory distortions to the timing of capital investments may be costlier. Finally, I switch gears in Chapter 3; with Frank Wolak, I develop an empirical test for the existence of arbitrage with transactions costs and use this test to study the introduction of financial trading in California's wholesale electricity markets. I begin by noting that, with risk neutral traders and zero transactions costs, the expected value of the difference between the current forward price and the spot price of a commodity at the delivery date of the forward contract should be zero. Accounting for the transactions costs associated with trading in these two markets invalidates this result. We develop statistical tests of the null hypothesis that profitable trading strategies exploiting systematic differences between spot and forward market prices exist in the presence of trading costs. We implement these tests using the day-ahead forward and real-time locational marginal prices from California's wholesale electricity market and use them to construct an estimate of the variable cost of trading in this market. During our sample period, we observe the introduction of convergence bidding, which was aimed at reducing the costs associated with exploiting differences between forward and spot prices. Our measures of trading costs are significantly smaller after the introduction of convergence bidding. Estimated trading costs are lower for generation nodes relative to non-generation nodes before explicit virtual bidding and trading costs fell more for non-generation nodes after explicit virtual bidding, eliminating any difference in trading costs across the two types of nodes. We also present evidence that the introduction of convergence bidding reduced the total amount of input fossil fuel energy required to generate the thermal-based electricity produced in California and the total variable of costs of producing this electrical energy. Taken together, these results demonstrate that purely financial forward market trading can improve the operating efficiency of short-term commodity markets.

Review of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission's Order No. 436

Review of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission's Order No. 436
Author: United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Energy and Natural Resources. Subcommittee on Energy Regulation and Conservation
Publisher:
Total Pages: 1070
Release: 1986
Genre: Natural gas
ISBN:

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Capacity Mechanisms in the EU Energy Market

Capacity Mechanisms in the EU Energy Market
Author: Leigh Hancher
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 443
Release: 2015-09-24
Genre: Law
ISBN: 0191066184

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Ensuring an adequate, long-term energy supply is a paramount concern in Europe. EU member states now intervene by encouraging investment in generation capacity, offering an additional revenue stream for conventional power plants in addition to the existing, heavily subsidised investments in renewable energy sources. These capacity remuneration mechanisms (or simply capacity mechanisms) have become a hot topic in the wider European regulatory debate. European electricity markets are increasingly interconnected, so the introduction of a capacity mechanism in one country not only distorts its national market but may have unforeseeable consequences for neighbouring electricity markets. If these mechanisms are adopted by several member states with no supra-national coordination and no consideration for their cross-border impact, they may cause serious market distortions and put the future of the European internal electricity market at risk. This book provides readers with an in-depth analysis of capacity mechanisms, written by an expert team of policy-makers, economists, and legal professionals. It will be a first point of reference for regulators and policy-makers responsible for designing optimal capacity mechanisms in Europe, and will be an invaluable resource for academics and practitioners in the fields of energy, regulation, and competition.

Making Energy Regulations

Making Energy Regulations
Author: United States. Department of Energy
Publisher:
Total Pages: 24
Release: 1979
Genre: Energy policy
ISBN:

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Capacity Mechanisms in the EU Energy Markets

Capacity Mechanisms in the EU Energy Markets
Author: Leigh Hancher
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 513
Release: 2022-10-13
Genre: Law
ISBN: 0192666673

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Capacity remuneration mechanisms (or simply capacity mechanisms) have become a fact of life in member states' energy markets and are one of the hottest topics in the wider European regulatory debate. Concerned about the security of electricity supply, national governments are implementing subsidy schemes to encourage investment in conventional power generation capacity, alongside already heavily subsidized renewable energy sources. With the increasingly connected European electricity markets, the introduction of a capacity mechanism in one country not only tends to distort its national market but may also have unforeseeable consequences for neighbouring electricity markets. As these mechanisms are adopted by member states with limited supra-national coordination as well as consideration for the cross-border impact, they tend to cause serious market distortions and put the future of the European internal electricity market at risk. This second edition will take stock of how capacity mechanisms have actually worked so far and consider the consequences they have for the European internal electricity market. It will include a detailed overview of national capacity mechanisms, their implications for the EU internal market, and will outline the nature of market failures which are likely to occur in the European electricity markets. This edition is intended to serve as a point of reference for regulators and policy-makers on how to design optimal capacity mechanisms in Europe. It will be an invaluable resource for anyone interested in energy market design, regulation, and competition issues.

Energy Pricing

Energy Pricing
Author: Ian Brown
Publisher:
Total Pages: 45
Release: 1988
Genre:
ISBN: 9781852370251

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Economic Regulation

Economic Regulation
Author: Richard J. Pierce (Jr.)
Publisher: Michie
Total Pages: 1244
Release: 1980
Genre: Law
ISBN:

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Distortion Costs and Effects of Price Liberalisation in Russian Energy Markets

Distortion Costs and Effects of Price Liberalisation in Russian Energy Markets
Author: Leena Kerkela
Publisher:
Total Pages: 33
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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Russia's economy is energy intense and wasteful of resources. This situation has arisen in part due to the country's ample energy supplies and regulated privileges for domestic con-sumers. Recently enacted and proposed reforms intended to increase the efficiency of the energy sector by raising domestic energy prices also have implications for the export levels of Russian energy commodities. In this study, we estimate the costs of the subsidised en-ergy system in an allocative sense and then analyse recent moves of the Duma to boost gas and electricity prices to bring them into line with market-based pricing. Our analysis uses a multi-region general equilibrium model (GTAP) modified to express the global dimensions of the subsidisation policy and suggested reforms. Preliminary results show that current subsidies extract over 6% of GDP and limit the potential benefits of Russia's comparative advantage in energy commodities. Increases of 6% in electricity and 10% in the price of regulated gas improve efficiency by reducing distorting subsidies and distinctly shifting output from domestic markets to exports.

The Dimming of America

The Dimming of America
Author: Peter Navarro
Publisher:
Total Pages: 206
Release: 1985
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Natural Gas Pipeline Regulation in the United States

Natural Gas Pipeline Regulation in the United States
Author: Matthew E. Oliver
Publisher: Foundations and Trends (R) in Microeconomics
Total Pages: 74
Release: 2018-05-30
Genre:
ISBN: 9781680834529

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Natural Gas Pipeline Regulation in the United States: Past, Present, and Future provides a detailed economic overview of these regulations and reviews the relevant economic and policy literature that has tracked the evolution and regulation of the U.S. gas transmission market over the past century. Section 2 provides a detailed history of U.S. federal regulation of interstate gas pipelines, highlighting the most impactful regulatory changes and discussing both the immediate and lasting effects they had on the market. It shows how specific regulatory measures were critical in helping the nascent and integrated natural gas extraction and transmission industry establish itself as a cornerstone of the U.S. energy portfolio, and how these same regulations, after the industry had grown, resulted in severe market distortions. In response to these distortions and to increase market competition, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) issued Order 636 in 1992, mandating that the U.S. natural gas industry be fully restructured into separate production, transportation, and distribution sectors. A wealth of economic and policy literature has since analyzed the impacts of Order 636, both on the behavior of pipeline operators specifically and on the U.S. natural gas market. Section 3 provides a thorough review of this literature and discusses the current industry structure that has emerged. It also includes a detailed explanation of FERC's current rate setting methodology for gas pipelines, a discussion of the "primary" and "secondary" markets for natural gas transmission and FERC's formal capacity release system, and a brief review of several important non-price regulations faced by pipeline operators. Finally, Section 4 discusses the future of regulation in the gas pipeline industry, offering predictions and recommendations to policy makers and pipeline operators regarding the likely direction of regulatory changes. A growing body of economic literature now praises the benefits of transitioning away from rate-of-return regulation in infrastructure-intensive industries, in favor of more flexible 'incentive-based' regulatory models and the authors discuss the likelihood and implications of a move toward incentive-based regulation in the U.S. gas pipeline industry.