Regional Economic Outlook, October 2021, Western Hemisphere: A Long Winding Road to Recovery

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2021, Western Hemisphere: A Long Winding Road to Recovery
Author: International Monetary
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 52
Release: 2021-10-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 151359396X

Download Regional Economic Outlook, October 2021, Western Hemisphere: A Long Winding Road to Recovery Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

An economic recovery is underway in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) but the pandemic still casts shadows on much of the region. The recovery was robust in the first quarter of 2021 but lost momentum in some countries in the second quarter, reflecting the rebound in COVID-19 cases. Real GDP is projected to grow by 6.3 percent in 2021, followed by a more moderate growth of 3 percent in 2022, but would not catch up with pre-pandemic trends in the medium term as persistent weakness in labor markets raises risks of scarring. Broadly favorable external conditions, high commodity prices, and pent-up demand support short-term growth, while monetary and fiscal policy reversals work in the other direction. Risks to the outlook are tilted downward. Main downside risks are the emergence of more transmissible and deadlier COVID-19 variants, tightening of global financial conditions, sovereign debt rollover risks, and social unrest as a year with heavy election schedule looms. Fiscal policy should allocate sufficient resources for health spending, including vaccination, and continue to support households and firms in a more targeted fashion while the pandemic persists, backed by credible assurances of medium-term debt sustainability to maintain access to finance. Monetary policy has started to address inflationary pressures but should continue to support economic activity insofar as the dynamics of inflation expectations permit. If rising inflation threatens to de-anchor inflation expectations, central banks should tighten monetary policy to signal a commitment to inflation targets and avoid persistent increases in inflation. Preemptive and decisive action should be accompanied with clear and transparent communication. Financial policy should shift from blanket support to targeted support of viable firms, to ensure that necessary labor and capital reallocations are not hindered. Supply-side policies should foster inclusive growth, including through progressive and growth-friendly tax reforms and measures to intensify climate change adaptation and mitigation.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2021, Western Hemisphere: A Long and Winding Road to Recovery

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2021, Western Hemisphere: A Long and Winding Road to Recovery
Author: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 51
Release: 2021-10-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513593838

Download Regional Economic Outlook, October 2021, Western Hemisphere: A Long and Winding Road to Recovery Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

An economic recovery is underway in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) but the pandemic still casts shadows on much of the region. The recovery was robust in the first quarter of 2021 but lost momentum in some countries in the second quarter, reflecting the rebound in COVID-19 cases. Real GDP is projected to grow by 6.3 percent in 2021, followed by a more moderate growth of 3 percent in 2022, but would not catch up with pre-pandemic trends in the medium term as persistent weakness in labor markets raises risks of scarring. Broadly favorable external conditions, high commodity prices, and pent-up demand support short-term growth, while monetary and fiscal policy reversals work in the other direction. Risks to the outlook are tilted downward. Main downside risks are the emergence of more transmissible and deadlier COVID-19 variants, tightening of global financial conditions, sovereign debt rollover risks, and social unrest as a year with heavy election schedule looms. Fiscal policy should allocate sufficient resources for health spending, including vaccination, and continue to support households and firms in a more targeted fashion while the pandemic persists, backed by credible assurances of medium-term debt sustainability to maintain access to finance. Monetary policy has started to address inflationary pressures but should continue to support economic activity insofar as the dynamics of inflation expectations permit. If rising inflation threatens to de-anchor inflation expectations, central banks should tighten monetary policy to signal a commitment to inflation targets and avoid persistent increases in inflation. Preemptive and decisive action should be accompanied with clear and transparent communication. Financial policy should shift from blanket support to targeted support of viable firms, to ensure that necessary labor and capital reallocations are not hindered. Supply-side policies should foster inclusive growth, including through progressive and growth-friendly tax reforms and measures to intensify climate change adaptation and mitigation.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Western Hemisphere Department

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Western Hemisphere Department
Author: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2018-10-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 148437536X

Download Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Western Hemisphere Department Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Amid escalating trade tensions, tighter financial conditions, and volatile commodity markets, economic recovery in Latin America and the Caribbean has both moderated and become more uneven.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2015: Western Hemisphere Department

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2015: Western Hemisphere Department
Author: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 108
Release: 2015-10-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513575201

Download Regional Economic Outlook, October 2015: Western Hemisphere Department Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Economies in the Western Hemisphere are generally seeing a slowdown in growth. The U.S. economy regained momentum after a slow start at the beginning of the year, while in Latin America and the Caribbean economic activity continues to decelerate. Stronger U.S. growth should benefit countries in the region, especially those with tighter links through trade, remittances, and tourism (Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean). Weaker commodity prices for the foreseeable future, however, will continue to hurt South America's net commodity exporters, lowering national incomes, reducing investment, and worsening fiscal balances. These developments could, in turn, impede progress made in recent years in poverty reduction. These developments could, in turn, impede progress made in recent years in poverty reduction. Key risks, including an abrupt tightening of U.S. interest rates or a further slowdown in China, may disproportionately affect Latin America. Chapters in this report examine monetary policy in Latin America, including the region’s exposure to global financial shocks; the role of value chains and regional trade agreements in fostering trade integration; and financial market development in the region.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2010, Western Hemisphere

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2010, Western Hemisphere
Author: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 106
Release: 2010-10-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1589069536

Download Regional Economic Outlook, October 2010, Western Hemisphere Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Heating Up in the South, Cooler in the North broadly describes the economic scene for the Western Hemisphere. The report emphasizes how a mixed environment--with slow recovery in the United States and other advanced economies, but strength in Asia--differently shapes the outlooks for the diverse economies of Latin America and the Caribbean. This issue also focuses on financial issues in Latin America, with a chapter on the challenges of allowing credit to expand safely, without creating excessive risks, and a chapter that looks at macroprudential financial policies--topics especially important in today's context of low global interest rates and capital flows to emerging economies. The final chapter turns to Caribbean economies, exploring the drivers, and obstacles, that affect their growth.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2019, Western Hemisphere Department

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2019, Western Hemisphere Department
Author: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 35
Release: 2019-10-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513516965

Download Regional Economic Outlook, October 2019, Western Hemisphere Department Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The global economy has slowed, with important consequences for growth prospects in Latin America and the Caribbean. The slowdown in economic activity has been broad-based among advanced economies and more pronounced in emerging markets and developing economies, partly reflecting trade and geopolitical tensions. Global growth is projected to decline to the lowest level since the global financial crises, before recovering in 2020. More importantly, growth is projected to decline in 2019–20 in the United States and China, which are LAC’s two main trading partners. The ongoing sluggishness of global growth and trade is affecting export growth in LAC, posing significant headwinds to the outlook. External demand for the region remains subdued, with trading partner growth (including China, Europe, other LAC countries, and the United States) projected to decline in 2019, before recovering modestly over the medium term. Moreover, commodity prices (notably energy and metals), key drivers of growth in LAC in the past, are projected to decline with a likely modest negative impact on regional growth going forward.

Regional Economic Outlook

Regional Economic Outlook
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2009
Genre: Caribbean Area
ISBN:

Download Regional Economic Outlook Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2015: Western Hemisphere Department

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2015: Western Hemisphere Department
Author: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2015-04-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781498312127

Download Regional Economic Outlook, April 2015: Western Hemisphere Department Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The economic outlook for Latin America and the Caribbean remains very challenging. Regional growth is projected to decline for a fifth consecutive year in 2015, dipping below 1 percent. Weakness is concentrated among South America's commodity exporters, where falling global commodity prices have compounded country-specific challenges. Meanwhile, growth is projected to be steady or stronger for most of the Caribbean, Central America, and Mexico, supported by lower oil bills for importers and robust economic recovery in the United States. The analysis in this report examines core challenges facing the region: the impact of lower commodity prices on fiscal and external positions, the drivers of the slowdown in investment, and the role of economic diversification for longer-term growth prospects.

Comparative Assessment of Social Issues in Africa, Latin America, and the Caribbean

Comparative Assessment of Social Issues in Africa, Latin America, and the Caribbean
Author: Brenda I. Gill
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Total Pages: 399
Release: 2023-07-10
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 1793642508

Download Comparative Assessment of Social Issues in Africa, Latin America, and the Caribbean Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Using a comparative framework, this edited volume evaluates pressing social issues facing African, Latin American, and Caribbean countries. Unique in its comparative and multi-regional perspective, this book provides a scholastic and practical understanding on questions ranging from governance and security to poverty, inequality, and population health.

Closing Peru's Ethnic Gaps Amidst Sustained Economic Growth

Closing Peru's Ethnic Gaps Amidst Sustained Economic Growth
Author: Carlos Chavez
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 48
Release: 2022-09-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Download Closing Peru's Ethnic Gaps Amidst Sustained Economic Growth Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

We analyze the recent evolution of ethnic economic inequality in Peru, a major source of social discontent in the country. Household survey data indicates that recent decades of high output growth also witnessed a substantial narrowing of socioeconomic gaps among ethnicities. Most notably, the Mestizo ethnic group surpassed the White group in income per capita, and Native American also experienced a relative improvement. Mincerian regression analysis suggests that the main contributors to these developments were rural-to-urban migration and increased education. Based on our statistical findings, we propose enhancing education and other public services, increasing government revenues, lowering informality, and promoting competition as the main public policies that could accelerate the ongoing narrowing of ethnic gaps.