Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change

Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change
Author: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 187
Release: 2016-07-28
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0309380979

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As climate has warmed over recent years, a new pattern of more frequent and more intense weather events has unfolded across the globe. Climate models simulate such changes in extreme events, and some of the reasons for the changes are well understood. Warming increases the likelihood of extremely hot days and nights, favors increased atmospheric moisture that may result in more frequent heavy rainfall and snowfall, and leads to evaporation that can exacerbate droughts. Even with evidence of these broad trends, scientists cautioned in the past that individual weather events couldn't be attributed to climate change. Now, with advances in understanding the climate science behind extreme events and the science of extreme event attribution, such blanket statements may not be accurate. The relatively young science of extreme event attribution seeks to tease out the influence of human-cause climate change from other factors, such as natural sources of variability like El Niño, as contributors to individual extreme events. Event attribution can answer questions about how much climate change influenced the probability or intensity of a specific type of weather event. As event attribution capabilities improve, they could help inform choices about assessing and managing risk, and in guiding climate adaptation strategies. This report examines the current state of science of extreme weather attribution, and identifies ways to move the science forward to improve attribution capabilities.

Regional Climate Studies of China

Regional Climate Studies of China
Author: Congbin Fu
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 490
Release: 2008-09-26
Genre: Science
ISBN: 3540792422

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Regional Climate of China is the first volume to present the latest research findings gained over the last decade which has greatly advanced our knowledge of the regional climate researches in China. A distinctive feature of the volume is that it is based on an integration of researches by using the advanced technologies, such as field observation and experiment, satellite information and numerical models in the regional climate studies.

Climate Risk and Resilience in China

Climate Risk and Resilience in China
Author: Rebecca Nadin
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 345
Release: 2015-10-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1317593758

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China has been subject to floods, droughts and heat waves for millennia; these hazards are not new. What is new is how rapidly climate risks are changing for different groups of people and sectors. This is due to the unprecedented rates of socio-economic development, migration, land-use change, pollution and urbanisation, all occurring alongside increasingly more intense and frequent weather hazards and shifting seasons. China’s leadership is facing a significant challenge – from conducting and integrating biophysical and social vulnerability and risk assessments and connecting the information from these to policy priorities and time frames, to developing and implementing policies and actions at a variety of scales. It is within this challenging context that China’s policy makers, businesses and citizens must manage climate risk and build resilience. This book provides a detailed study of how China has been working to understand and respond to climatic risk, such as droughts and desertification in the grasslands of Inner Mongolia to deadly typhoons in the mega-cities of the Pearl River Delta. Using research and data from a wide range of Chinese sources and the Adapting to Climate Change in China (ACCC) project, a research-to-policy project, this book provides a fascinating glimpse into how China is developing policies and approaches to manage the risks and opportunities presented by climate change. This book will be of interest to those studying global and Chinese climate change policy, regional food, water and climate risk, and to policy advisors.

Urban Climates

Urban Climates
Author: T. R. Oke
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 549
Release: 2017-09-14
Genre: Science
ISBN: 1108179363

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Urban Climates is the first full synthesis of modern scientific and applied research on urban climates. The book begins with an outline of what constitutes an urban ecosystem. It develops a comprehensive terminology for the subject using scale and surface classification as key constructs. It explains the physical principles governing the creation of distinct urban climates, such as airflow around buildings, the heat island, precipitation modification and air pollution, and it then illustrates how this knowledge can be applied to moderate the undesirable consequences of urban development and help create more sustainable and resilient cities. With urban climate science now a fully-fledged field, this timely book fulfills the need to bring together the disparate parts of climate research on cities into a coherent framework. It is an ideal resource for students and researchers in fields such as climatology, urban hydrology, air quality, environmental engineering and urban design.

Climate Change and Cities

Climate Change and Cities
Author: Cynthia Rosenzweig
Publisher:
Total Pages: 855
Release: 2018-03-29
Genre: Nature
ISBN: 1316603334

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Climate Change and Cities bridges science-to-action for climate change adaptation and mitigation efforts in cities around the world.

Study on Climate Change in Southwestern China

Study on Climate Change in Southwestern China
Author: Zongxing Li
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 265
Release: 2014-10-27
Genre: Science
ISBN: 3662447428

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This thesis confirms many changes, including sharp temperature rise, interannual variability of precipitation, extreme climate events and significant decreases of sunshine duration and wind speed in southwestern China, and systemically explores the action mechanism between large-scale atmospheric circulation systems, the complicated topography, human activities and regional climate changes. This study also analyzes the response of glaciers to climate change so that on the one hand it clearly reflects the relationship between glacier morphologic changes and climate change; on the other, it reveals the mechanism of action of climate warming as a balance between energy and matter. The achievements of this study reflect a significant contribution to the body of research on the response of climate in cold regions, glaciers and human activities to a global change against the background of the typical monsoon climate, and have provided scientific basis for predictions, countermeasures against disasters from extreme weather, utilization of water and the establishment of counterplans to slow and adapt to climate change. Zongxing Li works at the Cold and Arid Region Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China.

The Impacts of Land Cover Change on Climate Over China

The Impacts of Land Cover Change on Climate Over China
Author: Liang Chen
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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China has experienced substantial land cover changes for hundreds of years, such as deforestation, agricultural expansion, and urbanization. These land cover changes can modify the physical and thermodynamic characteristics of the land surface, thereby influencing climate at regional or broader scales. In this dissertation, I first examine the performance of state-of-the-art general circulation models to assess their ability to skillfully simulate climate in China. Then, the CESM and WRF models are used to investigate specific biogeophysical effects of land cover changes-including vegetation changes and urbanization. Multimodel ensembles of CMIP5 models are found to well capture the spatial patterns of seasonal and annual temperature and precipitation. However, they contain substantial cold biases over the Tibetan Plateau especially in the cold season, and overestimate precipitation in most regions of China, especially along the eastern edge of the Tibetan Plateau. Four CMIP5 models are identified due to their better simulation of historical surface air temperature variability over China: MPI-ESM-LR, CanESM2, MIROC-ESM, and CCSM4. Focusing on CCSM4, a subset of CESM, sensitivity analyses indicate that, for historical vegetation changes, summer temperatures are regulated by evapotranspiration, which can decrease the diurnal temperature range. Decreases in winter temperature over northern China are mainly influenced by surface albedo changes. Vegetation changes do not exhibit significant impacts on summer precipitation or the East Asian summer monsoon, but could strengthen East Asian winter monsoon and decrease winter precipitation in southern China. When urbanization is included, there are more significant and extensive impacts on temperature and precipitation in China, including greatly increased minimum temperatures and influences on East Asian Monsoon. Future climate projection reveals that urbanization produces strong warming effects, up to 1.9°C at local scales, which is comparable to the magnitude of greenhouse gas forcing under the RCP 4.5 scenario. The impacts of urbanization on precipitation show a combined effect from local moisture deficits and large-scale circulation changes. In summation, land cover changes play an important role in climate over China. Not only vegetation changes, but urbanization also should be included in model simulations to provide realistic and complete climatic impacts of land cover changes. The electronic version of this dissertation is accessible from http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/155457

Land Use Impacts on Climate

Land Use Impacts on Climate
Author: Xiangzheng Deng
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 273
Release: 2014-06-11
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 3642548768

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This book introduces a key issue in research on the climatic impact of land cover and land use changes via terrestrial biogeophysical processes. The parameterization of surface processes and a systematic approach to modeling the climatic impacts of land use change are discussed respectively, and can be used to improve parameterization schemes for climate numerical models and to provide a systematic method, thus offering more scientific and enhanced support for research on the climatic effects of land use/cover change. Further, based on predictions and scenario analyses of land use changes in typical zones, the climatic impact of various types of changes in different areas can be simulated through climatic numerical modeling, the simulation results are suitable for use in climate mitigation, land use planning, urban development planning, etc. Thus, the book is intended for researchers and professionals working in the area of meteorology systems, climatic numerical modeling, climate change, and land use/cover change, as well as decision makers in meteorology and land use planning. Professor Xiangzheng Deng is a senior research fellow at the Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences.

The Regional Impacts of Climate Change

The Regional Impacts of Climate Change
Author: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Working Group II.
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 532
Release: 1998
Genre: Science
ISBN: 9780521634557

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Cambridge, UK : Cambridge University Press, 1998.