Public Debt Dynamics of Europe and the U.S.

Public Debt Dynamics of Europe and the U.S.
Author: Dimitris N. Chorafas
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 388
Release: 2013-10-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0124200273

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Public Debt Dynamics of Europe and the U.S., provides the evidence and implications of current policies by sovereigns and central banks, in dealing with the debt abyss. It brings in perspective the diversity of opinion reigning in modern economics and finance and outlines the themes which, among themselves, are defining the society in which we live. Our epoch has accepted the theory that leveraging is good for a person, a company or even a nation. This has led to the debt syndrome and its disastrous aftereffects. Throughout the book evidence emerges that piling up public debt can lead to an unmitigated disaster. This is demonstrated through case studies on Greece, Spain, Italy, France and the United States – in short, those western countries that nowadays have lost control of their senses and of their economy. This book uses real life examples, using case studies as evidence of good and bad approaches to social, economic and financial life. Live events also help as undisputable demonstrators of successes and failures in the search for solutions in getting out of the hole western governments find themselves. As Denis Healey, a former British chancellor of the Exchequer, once said: “The first law of holes is that if you are in one stop digging. Provides insight and implications on the current policies of sovereigns and central banks Uses real life practical examples and case studies on Greece, Spain, Italy, France and the United States Examines developing countries, particularly BRICS, and their exposure to debt Focuses on public health and the effects it has on the economy

Public Debt, Global Governance and Economic Dynamism

Public Debt, Global Governance and Economic Dynamism
Author: Luigi Paganetto
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 367
Release: 2014-07-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 8847053315

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This volume presents a selection of contributions to the XXIV Villa Mondragone International Economic Seminar on “Public debt, global governance and economic dynamism”. For the past 23 years, the Seminar has provided an ideal opportunity to meet and discuss the most topical issues in economic research. The quality of the scientific contributions and ensuing debates has consistently been outstanding owing to the participation of leading experts, and the most recent Seminar was no exception. The Seminar was held against the backdrop of high levels of public debt, especially in Europe, combined with very low growth in productivity. Furthermore, markets have been dominated by financial instability, raising the question of whether this is the result of the high debt levels or insufficient economic dynamism. Among the topics covered in this book are the economic challenges and growth policies in the United States; issues relating to the G20, global governance and regional integration; EU governance, growth and the Eurozone crisis; and EMU policy and public debt. Individual contributions also address the impact of labor market reforms, the need for sectoral rebalancing in the Euro area, fiscal multipliers and public debt dynamics, and the effects of fiscal shocks in Italy. The book concludes with a contribution on policy recommendations.

Sustainability of Public Debt in the European Monetary Union. A Case Study of Greece

Sustainability of Public Debt in the European Monetary Union. A Case Study of Greece
Author:
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 68
Release: 2017-02-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 366839346X

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Bachelor Thesis from the year 2015 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 5, University of Zurich, language: English, abstract: This bachelor thesis discusses the sustainability of government debt on a theoretical level with the model of the government budget constraint and its application in a case study. Therefore, the situation of Greece is used as a prime example for the current sovereign debt crisis in the European Monetary Union. It points out with quantitative data, what has led to the high public debt in Greece and what are the consequences of this debt accumulation. For this the sustainability and the development of government debt and its determinants will be analysed. In conclusion, it discusses the options to escape of this sovereign debt crisis for Greece and the European Monetary Union as a whole. In March 2012 Greece received another bailout loan of 144.7 billion euro from the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) and 19.8 billion euro from the IMF in several tranches until 2014 after a worsening recession and the missing implementation of the conditions. In July 2015 the European Commission arranged to mobilise more than 35 billion euro until 2020, while they already paid out up to this point 4.4 billion euro (European Commission 2015). Still the problem has not been solved yet and Greece is still not able to get control of its debt by itself. The government debt is a relevant topic in economics and has become even more relevant since the outbreak of the European sovereign debt crisis. Further research in the issue of government debt could help us to understand how government-debt crisis develop, how the current sovereign debt crisis may be solved as well as how we could prevent from future crises. To understand the problem of high debt, we also need to understand the necessity of public debt, the arithmetic behind it and its implications on the economy of a country and the whole economic system.

A Guide and Tool for Projecting Public Debt and Fiscal Adjustment Paths with Local- and Foreign-Currency Debt

A Guide and Tool for Projecting Public Debt and Fiscal Adjustment Paths with Local- and Foreign-Currency Debt
Author: Mr. Santiago Acosta Ormaechea
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2021-05-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 151357728X

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This guide presents the analytical underpinnings and a user manual for the Excel-based Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT).

Public Debt Through the Ages

Public Debt Through the Ages
Author: Mr.Barry J. Eichengreen
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 60
Release: 2019-01-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484392892

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We consider public debt from a long-term historical perspective, showing how the purposes for which governments borrow have evolved over time. Periods when debt-to-GDP ratios rose explosively as a result of wars, depressions and financial crises also have a long history. Many of these episodes resulted in debt-management problems resolved through debasements and restructurings. Less widely appreciated are successful debt consolidation episodes, instances in which governments inheriting heavy debts ran primary surpluses for long periods in order to reduce those burdens to sustainable levels. We analyze the economic and political circumstances that made these successful debt consolidation episodes possible.

Lost and Found

Lost and Found
Author: Mr.Carlo Cottarelli
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2016-12-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475563205

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The empirical literature on sovereign debt crises identifies the level of public debt (measured as a share of GDP) as a key variable to predict debt defaults and to determine sovereign market access. This evidence has led to the widespread use of (country-specific) debt thresholds to assess debt sustainability. We argue that the level of the debt-to-GDP ratio, whose use is justified on a theoretical and empirical ground, should not be the only fiscal metric to assess the complex relationship between public debt and debt defaults/market access. In particular, we show that, in a large panel of emerging markets, the dynamics of the debt ratio plays a critical role for market access. In particular, given a certain level of debt, a steadily declining debt ratio is associated with a lower probability of debt distress/market loss and with a higher likelihood of market re-access once access had been lost.

Public Debt Dynamics

Public Debt Dynamics
Author: Reda Cherif
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 28
Release: 2012-09-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475510551

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We study how macroeconomic shocks affect U.S. public debt dynamics using a VAR with debt feedback. Following a fiscal austerity shock, the debt ratio initially declines and then returns to its pre-shock path. Yet, the effect is not statistically significant. In a weak economic environment, the likelihood of a self-defeating austerity shock is much higher than in normal times. An inflation shock only slightly reduces the debt ratio for a few quarters. A positive growth shock unambiguously lowers debt. In our specification, the debt ratio is stationary, whereas a VAR excluding debt may imply an explosive debt path.

Global Debt Database: Methodology and Sources

Global Debt Database: Methodology and Sources
Author: Samba Mbaye
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 52
Release: 2018-05-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484353595

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This paper describes the compilation of the Global Debt Database (GDD), a cutting-edge dataset covering private and public debt for virtually the entire world (190 countries) dating back to the 1950s. The GDD is the result of a multiyear investigative process that started with the October 2016 Fiscal Monitor, which pioneered the expansion of private debt series to a global sample. It differs from existing datasets in three major ways. First, it takes a fundamentally new approach to compiling historical data. Where most debt datasets either provide long series with a narrow and changing definition of debt or comprehensive debt concepts over a short period, the GDD adopts a multidimensional approach by offering multiple debt series with different coverages, thus ensuring consistency across time. Second, it more than doubles the cross-sectional dimension of existing private debt datasets. Finally, the integrity of the data has been checked through bilateral consultations with officials and IMF country desks of all countries in the sample, setting a higher data quality standard.

Guidelines for Public Debt Management -- Amended

Guidelines for Public Debt Management -- Amended
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 39
Release: 2003-09-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 149832892X

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Public Debt Sustainability

Public Debt Sustainability
Author: Barry W. Poulson
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Total Pages: 389
Release: 2022-01-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1666902578

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As countries recover from the coronavirus pandemic, they are confronted with an even more challenging debt crisis. Xavier Debrun argues in the foreword that in deciding where we go from here that there is no longer a consensus regarding the optimum design and enforcement of fiscal rules. Rather we must address a series of questions and challenges to the conventional wisdom. This book provides an opportunity for scholars to explore these questions from an international perspective, with reference to European countries, and emerging nations as well as the United States.