Prise en compte de l'incertitude dans l'expertise des risques naturels en montagne par analyse multicritères et fusion d'information

Prise en compte de l'incertitude dans l'expertise des risques naturels en montagne par analyse multicritères et fusion d'information
Author: Jean-Marc Tacnet
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

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Cette thèse analyse les relations entre l'information, ses imperfections et la décision associée à l'expertise des risques naturels en montagne. Elle propose des outils d'aide multicritères à la décision capables de considérer l'information imparfaite (incertaine, imprécise) provenant de sources de fiabilité variable et potentiellement conflictuelles. Une méthodologie ER-MCDA associe la fusion d'information et l'aide multicritères à la décision. L'aide multicritères hiérarchique à la décision (AHP) formule conceptuellement le problème de décision. Les théories des ensembles flous et des possibilités sont utilisées pour transformer des critères quantitatifs et qualitatifs dans un cadre de discernement commun associé à la décision et à la théorie des fonctions de croyance via d'une part, la théorie de Dempster-Shafer (DST) et, d'autre part, la théorie de Dezert-Smarandache (DSmT). L'aide multicritères à la décision et la fusion d'information permettent d'améliorer la qualité globale de l'expertise et du processus de décision et sont pertinents dans le cadre d'approches intégrées de la gestion du risque.

Information Quality in Information Fusion and Decision Making

Information Quality in Information Fusion and Decision Making
Author: Éloi Bossé
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 620
Release: 2019-04-02
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 303003643X

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This book presents a contemporary view of the role of information quality in information fusion and decision making, and provides a formal foundation and the implementation strategies required for dealing with insufficient information quality in building fusion systems for decision making. Information fusion is the process of gathering, processing, and combining large amounts of information from multiple and diverse sources, including physical sensors to human intelligence reports and social media. That data and information may be unreliable, of low fidelity, insufficient resolution, contradictory, fake and/or redundant. Sources may provide unverified reports obtained from other sources resulting in correlations and biases. The success of the fusion processing depends on how well knowledge produced by the processing chain represents reality, which in turn depends on how adequate data are, how good and adequate are the models used, and how accurate, appropriate or applicable prior and contextual knowledge is. By offering contributions by leading experts, this book provides an unparalleled understanding of the problem of information quality in information fusion and decision-making for researchers and professionals in the field.

Advances and Applications of DSmT for Information Fusion, Vol. IV

Advances and Applications of DSmT for Information Fusion, Vol. IV
Author: Florentin Smarandache, Jean Dezert
Publisher: Infinite Study
Total Pages: 506
Release: 2015-03-01
Genre:
ISBN: 1599733242

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The fourth volume on Advances and Applications of Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) for information fusion collects theoretical and applied contributions of researchers working in different fields of applications and in mathematics. The contributions (see List of Articles published in this book, at the end of the volume) have been published or presented after disseminating the third volume (2009, http://fs.gallup.unm.edu/DSmT-book3.pdf) ininternational conferences, seminars, workshops and journals.

Advances and Applications of DSmT for Information Fusion. Collected Works, Volume 4

Advances and Applications of DSmT for Information Fusion. Collected Works, Volume 4
Author: Florentin Smarandache
Publisher: Infinite Study
Total Pages: 506
Release: 2015-07-01
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN:

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The fourth volume on Advances and Applications of Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) for information fusion collects theoretical and applied contributions of researchers working in different fields of applications and in mathematics. The contributions have been published or presented after disseminating the third volume (2009, http://fs.gallup.unm.edu/DSmT-book3.pdf) in international conferences, seminars, workshops and journals.

De l'expertise scientifique au risque négocié. Le cas du risque en montagne

De l'expertise scientifique au risque négocié. Le cas du risque en montagne
Author: Geneviève Decrop
Publisher: Editions Quae
Total Pages: 108
Release: 1997
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 9782853624879

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L'expertise du risque est devenue l'un des champs d'activité d'organismes de statuts variés. La légitimité du spécialiste étant aujourd'hui liée à son appartenance à la communauté scientifique, le droit à l'erreur et à l'incertitude lui est contesté de façon permanente. La fonction d'expert est devenue prospective, voire prédictive et s'exerce désormais au sein d'un système d'acteurs traversé de clivages tel celui qui sépare les méthodes scientifiques des approches "profanes". Illustrée par le cas du risque en montagne, cette analyse est consacrée à l'expertise en tant qu'activité sociale et scientifique. Particulièrement destiné aux experts, aux aménageurs et à tous ceux qui interviennent dans le champ de la prévention.

Risk, Reliability and Safety: Innovating Theory and Practice

Risk, Reliability and Safety: Innovating Theory and Practice
Author: Lesley Walls
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 4767
Release: 2016-11-25
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1315349167

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The safe and reliable performance of many systems with which we interact daily has been achieved through the analysis and management of risk. From complex infrastructures to consumer durables, from engineering systems and technologies used in transportation, health, energy, chemical, oil, gas, aerospace, maritime, defence and other sectors, the management of risk during design, manufacture, operation and decommissioning is vital. Methods and models to support risk-informed decision-making are well established but are continually challenged by technology innovations, increasing interdependencies, and changes in societal expectations. Risk, Reliability and Safety contains papers describing innovations in theory and practice contributed to the scientific programme of the European Safety and Reliability conference (ESREL 2016), held at the University of Strathclyde in Glasgow, Scotland (25—29 September 2016). Authors include scientists, academics, practitioners, regulators and other key individuals with expertise and experience relevant to specific areas. Papers include domain specific applications as well as general modelling methods. Papers cover evaluation of contemporary solutions, exploration of future challenges, and exposition of concepts, methods and processes. Topics include human factors, occupational health and safety, dynamic and systems reliability modelling, maintenance optimisation, uncertainty analysis, resilience assessment, risk and crisis management.

Data Uncertainty and Important Measures

Data Uncertainty and Important Measures
Author: Christophe Simon
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 212
Release: 2018-01-19
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1119489342

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The first part of the book defines the concept of uncertainties and the mathematical frameworks that will be used for uncertainty modeling. The application to system reliability assessment illustrates the concept. In the second part, evidential networks as a new tool to model uncertainty in reliability and risk analysis is proposed and described. Then it is applied on SIS performance assessment and in risk analysis of a heat sink. In the third part, Bayesian and evidential networks are used to deal with important measures evaluation in the context of uncertainties.

Geographical Data Imperfection 2

Geographical Data Imperfection 2
Author: Mireille Batton-Hubert
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 228
Release: 2024-03-26
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1786302985

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Geographical data often contains imperfections associated with insufficient precision, errors or incompleteness. If these imperfections are not identified, taken into account and controlled when using the data, the potential for errors may arise, leading to significant consequences with unforeseeable effects, particularly in a decisionmaking context. It is then necessary to characterize and model this imperfection, and take it into account throughout the process. In the previous volume, we introduced different approaches for defining, representing and processing imperfections in geographic data. Volume 2 will now present a number of concrete applications in a variety of fields, demonstrating the practical application of the methodology to use cases such as agriculture, natural disaster management, mountain hazards, land management and assistance for the visually impaired.

Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems

Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems
Author: Luca Podofillini
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 730
Release: 2015-09-03
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1315648415

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Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems contains the Proceedings of the 25th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2015, held 7-10 September 2015 in Zurich, Switzerland. It includes about 570 papers accepted for presentation at the conference. These contributions focus on theories and methods in the area of risk, safety and