Forecasting: principles and practice

Forecasting: principles and practice
Author: Rob J Hyndman
Publisher: OTexts
Total Pages: 380
Release: 2018-05-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0987507117

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Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Principles of Business Forecasting--2nd Ed

Principles of Business Forecasting--2nd Ed
Author: Keith Ord
Publisher: Wessex, Incorporated
Total Pages: 588
Release: 2017-08-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780999064900

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Principles of Business Forecasting--2nd Ed

Principles of Business Forecasting--2nd Ed
Author: Keith Ord
Publisher: Wessex, Incorporated
Total Pages: 588
Release: 2017-06
Genre: Business forecasting
ISBN: 9780999064917

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This second edition of Principles of Business Forecasting by Keith Ord, Robert Fildes, and newest author Nikolaos Kourentzes serves as both a textbook for students and as a reference book for experienced forecasters in a variety of fields. The authors' motivation for writing this book, is to give users the tools and insight to make the most effective forecasts drawing on the latest research ideas, without being overly technical. The book is unique in its design, providing an introduction to both standard and advanced forecasting methods, as well as a focus on general principles to guide and simplify forecasting practice for those with little or no professional experience. One of the book's key strengths is the emphasis on real data sets, which have been updated in this second edition. These data sets are taken from government and business sources and are used throughout in the chapter examples and exercises. Forecasting techniques are demonstrated using a variety of software platforms beyond just "R," and a companion website provides easy-to-use Excel(R) macros that users can access to conduct analyses. Another important innovation in the second edition is the tutorial support for using open-source R programs, making all the methods available for use both in courses and practice. After the introductory chapters, the focus shifts to using extrapolative methods (exponential smoothing and ARIMA), then to statistical model-building using multiple regression. The authors also cover more novel techniques including data mining and judgmental methods, which are gaining increasing attention in applications. The second edition also offers expanded material on data analytics, in particular neural nets together with software, and applications that include new research findings relevant and immediately applicable to operations, such as hierarchical modeling and temporal aggregation. Finally, the authors examine organizational issues of implementation and the development of a forecasting support system within an organization; relevant to every manager, or future manager, who must make plans or decisions based on forecasts. Please take a moment to review the companion website for additional content in the Appendices (Basic Statistical Concepts, overview of Forecasting Software, and Forecasting in R: Tutorial and Examples) the many data sets referenced in the chapters, macros such as the Exponential Smoothing and Trend Curve Marcos and Time Series Neural Network Analysis and student study materials.

Principles of Business Forecasting

Principles of Business Forecasting
Author: J. K. Ord
Publisher: South Western Educational Publishing
Total Pages: 506
Release: 2013-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781133584407

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Ord/Fildes PRINCIPLES OF BUSINESS FORECASTING, 1E, International Edition is designed for both students and current practitioners in a variety of fields. The authors’ motivation for writing this book is to give users the tools and insight to make the most effective forecasts. Ord/Fildes PRINCIPLES OF BUSINESS FORECASTING, 1E, International Edition is designed for users who have taken a first course in applied statistics or have an equivalent background and provides an introduction to both standard and advanced forecasting approaches. This new, first edition text presents general principles that are the basis of forecasting practice. The information and data used are from actual government and business sources wherever possible. Forecasting techniques are shown in a variety of software platforms and the chapter organization provides an overview of forecasting in a variety of situations using time series and cross-sectional data. The focus then shifts to using extrapolative methods in forecasting, followed by statistical model-building. Finally, the authors cover more advanced techniques in the latter chapters, including the selection of the best forecasting method based on available data and the construction of a forecasting system with an organization.

Principles of Business Forecasting

Principles of Business Forecasting
Author: Keith Ord
Publisher: Cengage Learning
Total Pages: 528
Release: 2013-06-25
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780324311273

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Ord/Fildes PRINCIPLES OF BUSINESS FORECASTING, 1E serves as both a textbook for students and as a reference book for experienced forecasters in a variety of fields. The authors' motivation for writing this book is to give users the tools and insight to make the most effective forecasts drawing on the latest research ideas. Ord and Fildes have designed PRINCIPLES OF BUSINESS FORECASTING for users who have taken a first course in applied statistics or who have an equivalent background. This book introduces both standard and advanced forecasting methods and their underlying models, and also includes general principles to guide and simplify forecasting practice. A key strength of the book is its emphasis on real data sets, taken from government and business sources and used in each chapter's examples. Forecasting techniques are demonstrated using a variety of software platforms and the companion website provides easy-to-use Excel macros to support the basic methods. After the introductory chapters, the focus shifts to using extrapolative methods (exponential smoothing and ARIMA) and then to statistical model-building using multiple regression. The authors also cover more novel techniques including data mining and judgmental methods, which are gaining increasing attention in applications. Finally, they examine organizational issues of implementation and the development of a forecasting support system within an organization. Important Notice: Media content referenced within the product description or the product text may not be available in the ebook version.

Practical Guide to Business Forecasting

Practical Guide to Business Forecasting
Author: Chaman L. Jain & Jack Malehorn
Publisher: Institute of Business Forec
Total Pages: 516
Release: 2005
Genre: Business forecasting
ISBN: 9780932126757

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Business Forecasting, Second Edition

Business Forecasting, Second Edition
Author: A. Reza Hoshmand
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 382
Release: 2009-12-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1135257132

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This book emphasizes the rationale, application, and interpretation of the most commonly used forecasting techniques in business.

Principles of Marketing Engineering, 2nd Edition

Principles of Marketing Engineering, 2nd Edition
Author: Gary L. Lilien
Publisher: DecisionPro
Total Pages: 287
Release: 2013
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0985764805

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The 21st century business environment demands more analysis and rigor in marketing decision making. Increasingly, marketing decision making resembles design engineering-putting together concepts, data, analyses, and simulations to learn about the marketplace and to design effective marketing plans. While many view traditional marketing as art and some view it as science, the new marketing increasingly looks like engineering (that is, combining art and science to solve specific problems). Marketing Engineering is the systematic approach to harness data and knowledge to drive effective marketing decision making and implementation through a technology-enabled and model-supported decision process. (For more information on Excel-based models that support these concepts, visit DecisionPro.biz.) We have designed this book primarily for the business school student or marketing manager, who, with minimal background and technical training, must understand and employ the basic tools and models associated with Marketing Engineering. We offer an accessible overview of the most widely used marketing engineering concepts and tools and show how they drive the collection of the right data and information to perform the right analyses to make better marketing plans, better product designs, and better marketing decisions. What's New In the 2nd Edition While much has changed in the nearly five years since the first edition of Principles of Marketing Engineering was published, much has remained the same. Hence, we have not changed the basic structure or contents of the book. We have, however Updated the examples and references. Added new content on customer lifetime value and customer valuation methods. Added several new pricing models. Added new material on "reverse perceptual mapping" to describe some exciting enhancements to our Marketing Engineering for Excel software. Provided some new perspectives on the future of Marketing Engineering. Provided better alignment between the content of the text and both the software and cases available with Marketing Engineering for Excel 2.0.

Forecasting for Economics and Business

Forecasting for Economics and Business
Author: Gloria González-Rivera
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 749
Release: 2016-12-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1315510391

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For junior/senior undergraduates in a variety of fields such as economics, business administration, applied mathematics and statistics, and for graduate students in quantitative masters programs such as MBA and MA/MS in economics. A student-friendly approach to understanding forecasting. Knowledge of forecasting methods is among the most demanded qualifications for professional economists, and business people working in either the private or public sectors of the economy. The general aim of this textbook is to carefully develop sophisticated professionals, who are able to critically analyze time series data and forecasting reports because they have experienced the merits and shortcomings of forecasting practice.

Business Forecasting

Business Forecasting
Author: Michael Gilliland
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 435
Release: 2021-05-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1119782473

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Discover the role of machine learning and artificial intelligence in business forecasting from some of the brightest minds in the field In Business Forecasting: The Emerging Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning accomplished authors Michael Gilliland, Len Tashman, and Udo Sglavo deliver relevant and timely insights from some of the most important and influential authors in the field of forecasting. You'll learn about the role played by machine learning and AI in the forecasting process and discover brand-new research, case studies, and thoughtful discussions covering an array of practical topics. The book offers multiple perspectives on issues like monitoring forecast performance, forecasting process, communication and accountability for forecasts, and the use of big data in forecasting. You will find: Discussions on deep learning in forecasting, including current trends and challenges Explorations of neural network-based forecasting strategies A treatment of the future of artificial intelligence in business forecasting Analyses of forecasting methods, including modeling, selection, and monitoring In addition to the Foreword by renowned researchers Spyros Makridakis and Fotios Petropoulos, the book also includes 16 "opinion/editorial" Afterwords by a diverse range of top academics, consultants, vendors, and industry practitioners, each providing their own unique vision of the issues, current state, and future direction of business forecasting. Perfect for financial controllers, chief financial officers, business analysts, forecast analysts, and demand planners, Business Forecasting will also earn a place in the libraries of other executives and managers who seek a one-stop resource to help them critically assess and improve their own organization's forecasting efforts.