A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities
Author | : Pierre Simon marquis de Laplace |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 282 |
Release | : 1902 |
Genre | : Probabilities |
ISBN | : |
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Author | : Pierre Simon marquis de Laplace |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 282 |
Release | : 1902 |
Genre | : Probabilities |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Pierre Simon Laplace |
Publisher | : Andesite Press |
Total Pages | : 226 |
Release | : 2015-08-11 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9781297641763 |
This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Author | : Pierre Simon marquis de Laplace |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 238 |
Release | : 1902 |
Genre | : Probabilities |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Henry Ely Kyburg |
Publisher | : Open Court Publishing |
Total Pages | : 388 |
Release | : 2003 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 9780812695137 |
This collection of philosophical essays looks at various technical problems in the use of probability theory for guidance in practical decisions. This text is intended for those who already have a basic grounding in philosophy, logic and probabilty theory.
Author | : Pierre-Simon Laplace |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 286 |
Release | : 2012-12-06 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 1461241847 |
Pierre-Simon Laplace (1749-1827) is remembered among probabilitists today particularly for his "Theorie analytique des probabilites", published in 1812. The "Essai philosophique dur les probabilites" is his introduction for the second edition of this work. Here Laplace provided a popular exposition on his "Theorie". The "Essai", based on a lecture on probability given by Laplace in 1794, underwent sweeping changes, almost doubling in size, in the various editions published during Laplace's lifetime. Translations of various editions in different languages have apeared over the years. The only English translation of 1902 reads awkwardly today. This is a thorough and modern translation based on the recent re-issue, with its voluminous notes, of the fifth edition of 1826, with preface by Rene Thom and postscript by Bernard Bru. In the second part of the book, the reader is provided with an extensive commentary by the translator including valuable histographical and mathematical remarks and various proofs.
Author | : Pierre-Simon Laplace |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 292 |
Release | : 1998-03-16 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 9780387943497 |
Pierre-Simon Laplace (1749-1827) is remembered amoung probabilitists today particularly for his "Theorie analytique des probabilites", published in 1812. The "Essai philosophique dur les probabilites" is his introduction for the second edition of this work. Here Laplace provided a popular exposition on his "Theorie". The "Essai", based on a lecture on probability given by Laplace in 1794, underwent sweeping changes, almost doubling in size, in the various editions published during Laplace's lifetime. Translations of various editions in different languages have apeared over the years. The only English translation of 1902 reads awkwardly today. This is a thorough and modern translation based on the recent re-issue, with its voluminous notes, of the fifth edition of 1826, with preface by Rene Thom and postscript by Bernard Bru. In the second part of the book, the reader is provided with an extensive commentary by the translator including valuable histographical and mathematical remarks and various proofs.
Author | : PIERRE. SIMON |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2018 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9781033938133 |
Author | : Pierre Simon de Laplace |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 196 |
Release | : 1952 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Terry Horgan |
Publisher | : Oxford University Press |
Total Pages | : 337 |
Release | : 2017 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 019985842X |
This volume brings together many of Terence Horgan's essays on paradoxes: Newcomb's problem, the Monty Hall problem, the two-envelope paradox, the sorites paradox, and the Sleeping Beauty problem. Newcomb's problem arises because the ordinary concept of practical rationality constitutively includes normative standards that can sometimes come into direct conflict with one another. The Monty Hall problem reveals that sometimes the higher-order fact of one's having reliably received pertinent new first-order information constitutes stronger pertinent new information than does the new first-order information itself. The two-envelope paradox reveals that epistemic-probability contexts are weakly hyper-intensional; that therefore, non-zero epistemic probabilities sometimes accrue to epistemic possibilities that are not metaphysical possibilities; that therefore, the available acts in a given decision problem sometimes can simultaneously possess several different kinds of non-standard expected utility that rank the acts incompatibly. The sorites paradox reveals that a certain kind of logical incoherence is inherent to vagueness, and that therefore, ontological vagueness is impossible. The Sleeping Beauty problem reveals that some questions of probability are properly answered using a generalized variant of standard conditionalization that is applicable to essentially indexical self-locational possibilities, and deploys "preliminary" probabilities of such possibilities that are not prior probabilities. The volume also includes three new essays: one on Newcomb's problem, one on the Sleeping Beauty problem, and an essay on epistemic probability that articulates and motivates a number of novel claims about epistemic probability that Horgan has come to espouse in the course of his writings on paradoxes. A common theme unifying these essays is that philosophically interesting paradoxes typically resist either easy solutions or solutions that are formally/mathematically highly technical. Another unifying theme is that such paradoxes often have deep-sometimes disturbing-philosophical morals.
Author | : Bruno de Finetti |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 239 |
Release | : 2008-05-20 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 1402082010 |
Bruno de Finetti (1906–1985) is the founder of the subjective interpretation of probability, together with the British philosopher Frank Plumpton Ramsey. His related notion of “exchangeability” revolutionized the statistical methodology. This book (based on a course held in 1979) explains in a language accessible also to non-mathematicians the fundamental tenets and implications of subjectivism, according to which the probability of any well specified fact F refers to the degree of belief actually held by someone, on the ground of her whole knowledge, on the truth of the assertion that F obtains.