Option Pricing with Model-Guided Nonparametric Methods

Option Pricing with Model-Guided Nonparametric Methods
Author: Jianqing Fan
Publisher:
Total Pages: 55
Release: 2009
Genre:
ISBN:

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Parametric option pricing models are largely used in Finance. These models capture several features of asset price dynamics. However, their pricing performance can be significantly enhanced when they are combined with nonparametric learning approaches that learn and correct empirically the pricing errors. In this paper, we propose a new nonparametric method for pricing derivatives assets. Our method relies on the state price distribution instead of the state price density because the former is easier to estimate nonparametrically than the latter. A parametric model is used as an initial estimate of the state price distribution. Then the pricing errors induced by the parametric model are fitted nonparametrically. This model-guided method estimates the state price distribution nonparametrically and is called Automatic Correction of Errors (ACE). The method is easy to implement and can be combined with any model-based pricing formula to correct the systematic biases of pricing errors. We also develop a nonparametric test based on the generalized likelihood ratio to document the efficacy of the ACE method. Empirical studies based on Samp;P 500 index options show that our method outperforms several competing pricing models in terms of predictive and hedging abilities.

Barrier Option Pricing with Nonparametric ACE Methods

Barrier Option Pricing with Nonparametric ACE Methods
Author: Chengzhan Chi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 78
Release: 2013
Genre: Estimation theory
ISBN:

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There are a variety of parametric and nonparametric option pricing models commonly used in Finance. A combination of them can enhance the pricing performance significantly. Specifically, one proposes to fit the data with a parametric method and then correct the pricing errors empirically with a nonparametric learning approach. This thesis extends Fan and Mancini's (2009) model-guided nonparametric method to barrier option pricing using market traded European option data. Adopting automatic correction of errors (ACE) method to estimate the risk neutral conditional survivor function, by which the pricing error of the initial parametric estimates is captured nonparametrically, enables the nonparametric pricing procedure to value a barrier option as a sum of sequence of European options. As a byproduct from the valuation process, this thesis also provides a modified fractional fast Fourier transform technique compute the characteristic function of the running maximum log-price of the underlying asset nonparametrically through the calibrated survivor functions.

A Time Series Approach to Option Pricing

A Time Series Approach to Option Pricing
Author: Christophe Chorro
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 202
Release: 2014-12-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3662450372

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The current world financial scene indicates at an intertwined and interdependent relationship between financial market activity and economic health. This book explains how the economic messages delivered by the dynamic evolution of financial asset returns are strongly related to option prices. The Black Scholes framework is introduced and by underlining its shortcomings, an alternative approach is presented that has emerged over the past ten years of academic research, an approach that is much more grounded on a realistic statistical analysis of data rather than on ad hoc tractable continuous time option pricing models. The reader then learns what it takes to understand and implement these option pricing models based on time series analysis in a self-contained way. The discussion covers modeling choices available to the quantitative analyst, as well as the tools to decide upon a particular model based on the historical datasets of financial returns. The reader is then guided into numerical deduction of option prices from these models and illustrations with real examples are used to reflect the accuracy of the approach using datasets of options on equity indices.

Mathematical Modeling And Methods Of Option Pricing

Mathematical Modeling And Methods Of Option Pricing
Author: Lishang Jiang
Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company
Total Pages: 343
Release: 2005-07-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9813106557

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From the unique perspective of partial differential equations (PDE), this self-contained book presents a systematic, advanced introduction to the Black-Scholes-Merton's option pricing theory.A unified approach is used to model various types of option pricing as PDE problems, to derive pricing formulas as their solutions, and to design efficient algorithms from the numerical calculation of PDEs. In particular, the qualitative and quantitative analysis of American option pricing is treated based on free boundary problems, and the implied volatility as an inverse problem is solved in the optimal control framework of parabolic equations.

A Nonparametric Approach to Pricing and Hedging Derivative Securities Via Learning Networks

A Nonparametric Approach to Pricing and Hedging Derivative Securities Via Learning Networks
Author: James M. Hutchinson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 68
Release: 1994
Genre: Derivative securities
ISBN:

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We propose a nonparametric method for estimating derivative financial asset pricing formulae using learning networks. To demonstrate feasibility, we first simulate Black-Scholes option prices and show that learning networks can recover the Black-Scholes formula from a two-year training set of daily options prices, and that the resulting network formula can be used successfully to both price and delta-hedge options out-of-sample. For comparison, we estimate models using four popular methods: ordinary least squares, radial basis functions, multilayer perceptrons, and projection pursuit. To illustrate practical relevance, we also apply our approach to S & P 500 futures options data from 1987 to 1991. Option pricing, Learning, Finance, Black-Scholes, Hedging.

Extended Nonparametric American Option Pricing

Extended Nonparametric American Option Pricing
Author: Jamie Alcock
Publisher:
Total Pages: 35
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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A nonparametric method of pricing American options was recently developed that requires only historical underlying price data (Alcock and Carmichael, 2008). We derive an extension to this method to include conditioning information from a small number of observed option prices. This additional information improves the overall accuracy of the method and enables pricing of illiquid options in an incomplete market. We explore the statistical properties of both the original method and our extension using a series of simulation studies. The original method slightly outperforms Black-Scholes estimators and numerical estimators (Crank-Nicholson) that use historical volatility. In contrast, the extended method presented here produces significant reductions in mean pricing errors. These reductions are most dramatic for out-of-the-money options; a result that is consistent with empirical results for related entropic methodologies for pricing European options.

Mathematical Modeling and Methods of Option Pricing

Mathematical Modeling and Methods of Option Pricing
Author: Lishang Jiang
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 344
Release: 2005
Genre: Science
ISBN: 9812563695

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From the perspective of partial differential equations (PDE), this book introduces the Black-Scholes-Merton's option pricing theory. A unified approach is used to model various types of option pricing as PDE problems, to derive pricing formulas as their solutions, and to design efficient algorithms from the numerical calculation of PDEs.