Observation-Informed Methodologies for Site Response Characterization in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis

Observation-Informed Methodologies for Site Response Characterization in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis
Author: Kioumars Afshari
Publisher:
Total Pages: 330
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

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In this dissertation, we study the effects of site response on earthquake ground motions, the uncertainty in site response, and incorporating site response in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. We introduced a guideline for evaluation of non-ergodic (site-specific) site response using (a) observations from available recorded data at the site, (b) simulations from one-dimensional ground response analysis, or (c) a combination of both. Using non-ergodic site response is expected to be an improvement in comparison to using an ergodic model which is based on the average of a global dataset conditional on site parameters used in ground motion models. The improvement in prediction when using non-ergodic analysis results in the removal of site-to-site variability which is a part of the uncertainty in ground motion prediction. The site-to-site variability is evaluated by partitioning the residuals to different sources of variability. We illustrate application of these procedures for evaluating non-ergodic site response, and use examples to show how the reduction in site response uncertainty results in less hazard for long return periods. We utilize a dataset of recordings from vertical array sites in California in order to study the effectiveness of one-dimensional ground response analysis in predicting site response. We use the California dataset for comparing the performance of linear ground response analysis to similar studies on a dataset from vertical arrays in Japan. We use surface/downhole transfer functions and amplification of pseudo-spectral acceleration to study the site response in vertical arrays. For performing linear site response analysis for the sites, we use three alternatives for small-strain soil damping namely (a) empirical models for laboratory-based soil damping; (b) an empirical model based on shear wave velocity for estimating rock quality factor; and (c) estimating damping using the difference between the spectral decay ( ) at the surface and downhole. The site response transfer functions show a better fit for California sites in comparison to the similar results on Japan. The better fit is due to different geological conditions at California and Japan vertical array sites, as well as the difference in the quality of data for the two regions. We use pseudo-spectral acceleration residuals to study the bias and dispersion of ground response analysis predictions. The results of our study shows geotechnical models for lab-based damping provide unbiased estimates of site response for most spectral periods. In addition, the between- and within-site variability of the residuals do not show a considerable regional between California and Japan vertical arrays. In another part of this dissertation, we develop ground motion models for median and standard deviation of the significant duration of earthquake ground motions from shallow crustal earthquakes in active tectonic regions. The model predicts significant durations for 5-75%, 5-95%, and 20-80% of the normalized Arias intensity, and is developed using NGA-West2 database with M3.0-7.9 events. We select recordings based on the criteria used for developing ground motion models for amplitude parameters as well as a new methodology for excluding recordings affected by noise. The model includes an M-dependent source duration term that also depends on focal mechanism. At small M, the data suggest approximately M-independent source durations that are close to 1 sec. The increase of source durations with M is slower over the range M5 to 7.2-7.4 than for larger magnitudes. We adopt an additive path term with breaks in distance scaling at 10 and 50 km. We include site terms that increase duration for decreasing VS30 and increasing basin depth. Our aleatory variability model captures decreasing between- and within-event standard deviation terms with increasing M. We use the model for validating the duration of ground motion time series produced by simulation routines implemented on the SCEC Broadband Platform. This validation is based on comparisons of median and standard deviation of simulated durations for five California events, and their trends with magnitude and distance, with our model for duration. Some misfits are observed in the median and dispersion of durations from simulated motions and their trend with magnitude and distance. Understanding the source of these misfits can help guide future improvements in the simulation routines.

Site-specific Seismic Hazard Analysis

Site-specific Seismic Hazard Analysis
Author: Gonzalo Andres Montalva
Publisher:
Total Pages: 215
Release: 2010
Genre: Earthquake hazard analysis
ISBN:

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An Introduction to Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis

An Introduction to Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis
Author: J. Paul Guyer, P.E., R.A.
Publisher: Guyer Partners
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2020-07-22
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN:

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Introductory technical guidance for civil, geotechnical and structural engineers interested in earthquake hazard analysis. Here is what is discussed: 1. OVERVIEW OF PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS (PSHA) METHODOLOGY 2. CHARACTERIZING SEISMIC SOURCES FOR PSHA 3. GROUND MOTION ATTENUATION CHARACTERIZATION FOR PSHA 4. TREATMENT OF SCIENTIFIC UNCERTAINTY IN PSHA 5. DEVELOPMENT OF SITE-SPECIFIC RESPONSE SPECTRA FROM PSHA 6. DEVELOPMENT OF ACCELEROGRAMS 7. SUMMARY OF STRENGTHS AND LIMITATIONS OF DSHA AND PSHA.

An Introduction to Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis

An Introduction to Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis
Author: J Paul Guyer
Publisher:
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2020-07-22
Genre:
ISBN:

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Introductory technical guidance for civil, geotechnical and structural engineers interested in earthquake hazard analysis. Here is what is discussed:1. OVERVIEW OF PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS (PSHA) METHODOLOGY2. CHARACTERIZING SEISMIC SOURCES FOR PSHA3. GROUND MOTION ATTENUATION CHARACTERIZATION FOR PSHA4. TREATMENT OF SCIENTIFIC UNCERTAINTY IN PSHA5. DEVELOPMENT OF SITE-SPECIFIC RESPONSE SPECTRA FROM PSHA6. DEVELOPMENT OF ACCELEROGRAMS7. SUMMARY OF STRENGTHS AND LIMITATIONS OF DSHA AND PSHA.

Perspectives on Earthquake Geotechnical Engineering

Perspectives on Earthquake Geotechnical Engineering
Author: Atilla Ansal
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 484
Release: 2015-04-15
Genre: Science
ISBN: 3319107860

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This book offers a broad perspective on important topics in earthquake geotechnical engineering and gives specialists and those that are involved with research and application a more comprehensive understanding about the various topics. Consisting of eighteen chapters written by authors from the most seismic active regions of the world, such as USA, Japan, Canada, Chile, Italy, Greece, Portugal, Taiwan, and Turkey, the book reflects different views concerning how to assess and minimize earthquake damage. The authors, a prominent group of specialists in the field of earthquake geotechnical engineering, are the invited lecturers of the International Conference on Earthquake Geotechnical Engineering from Case History to Practice in the honour of Professor Kenji Ishihara held in Istanbul, Turkey during 17-19 June 2013.

Earthquake Hazard Analysis

Earthquake Hazard Analysis
Author: Leon Reiter
Publisher:
Total Pages: 254
Release: 1990
Genre: Science
ISBN: 9780231065344

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-- Science

Measuring, Modeling and Predicting the Seismic Site Effect

Measuring, Modeling and Predicting the Seismic Site Effect
Author: Yefei Ren
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Total Pages: 297
Release: 2024-01-25
Genre: Science
ISBN: 2832540090

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As recognized universally by both seismology and earthquake engineering communities, the amplitude and frequency content of ground motions are influenced by local site effects, including the effects of near-surface geologic materials, surface topographic and basin effects, and so on. Strong linkage between seismic site effect and earthquake damage has been commonly demonstrated from many past earthquakes. Therefore, quantitative and reliable evaluation of the seismic site effect is one of the crucial aspects in seismic hazard assessment and risk mitigation. With the significant advancement of modern seismic monitoring networks and arrays, huge amounts of high-quality seismic records are now being accumulated. This encourages us to measure the site responses and its associated uncertainty for selected seismic stations by some record-dependent approaches, such as horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio (HVSR) measurements, generalized spectral inversion (GIT) methods, etc. Machine learning techniques also show significant promise in characterization of the near-surface geologic properties and prediction of site response. These data-driven approaches help us to better understand the physics of spatial and temporal variabilities of ground motions. Due to more and more site-specific data being captured, invoking non-ergodic assumptions in seismic response analysis has recently been a topic of great interest in the community. For specific site response analysis, numerical simulations are carried out to model the dynamic process of seismic waves propagating and scattering in the subsurface strata. With development of modeling capacity, great efforts have been taken to evaluate quantitatively the complex 2D and 3D effects on seismic site response.