Non-Parametric Pricing of Long-Dated Volatility Derivatives Under Stochastic Interest Rates

Non-Parametric Pricing of Long-Dated Volatility Derivatives Under Stochastic Interest Rates
Author: Mark S. Joshi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 25
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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Although the effect of interest rate stochasticity can safely be ignored for short-dated exchange traded volatility derivatives, this is not the case for the kind of long-dated OTC derivatives often used by insurance companies and other financial institutions. We therefore extend existing model-free results for the pricing of variance swaps and more general volatility derivatives to account for stochastic interest rates, given certain independence and continuity assumptions. Finally, we present empirical examples to highlight the potential significance of this effect on long term contracts.

Nonparametric Pricing of Interest Rate Derivative Securities

Nonparametric Pricing of Interest Rate Derivative Securities
Author: Yacine Aït-Sahalia
Publisher:
Total Pages: 39
Release: 1995
Genre: Derivative securities
ISBN:

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We propose a nonparametric estimation procedure for continuous- time stochastic models. Because prices of derivative securities depend crucially on the form of the instantaneous volatility of the underlying process, we leave the volatility function unrestricted and estimate it nonparametrically. Only discrete data are used but the estimation procedure still does not rely on replacing the continuous- time model by some discrete approximation. Instead the drift and volatility functions are forced to match the densities of the process. We estimate the stochastic differential equation followed by the short term interest rate and compute nonparametric prices for bonds and bond options.

Nonparametric Pricing of Interest Rate Derivative Securities

Nonparametric Pricing of Interest Rate Derivative Securities
Author: Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Publisher:
Total Pages: 45
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

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We propose a nonparametric estimation procedure for continuous- time stochastic models. Because prices of derivative securities depend crucially on the form of the instantaneous volatility of the underlying process, we leave the volatility function unrestricted and estimate it nonparametrically. Only discrete data are used but the estimation procedure still does not rely on replacing the continuous- time model by some discrete approximation. Instead the drift and volatility functions are forced to match the densities of the process. We estimate the stochastic differential equation followed by the short term interest rate and compute nonparametric prices for bonds and bond options.

Pricing of Long-Dated Commodity Derivatives with Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Interest Rates

Pricing of Long-Dated Commodity Derivatives with Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Interest Rates
Author: Benjamin Cheng
Publisher:
Total Pages: 30
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

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Aiming to study pricing of long-dated commodity derivatives, this paper presents a class of models within the Heath, Jarrow, and Morton (1992) framework for commodity futures prices that incorporates stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate and allows a correlation structure between the futures price process, the futures volatility process and the interest rate process. The functional form of the futures price volatility is specified so that the model admits finite dimensional realisations and retains affine representations, henceforth quasi-analytical European futures option pricing formulae can be obtained. A sensitivity analysis reveals that the correlation between the interest rate process and the futures price process has noticeable impact on the prices of long-dated futures options, while the correlation between the interest rate process and the futures price volatility process does not impact option prices. Furthermore, when interest rates are negatively correlated with futures prices then option prices are more sensitive to the volatility of interest rates, an effect that is more pronounced with longer maturity options.

A Comparison of Fixed Income Valuation Models

A Comparison of Fixed Income Valuation Models
Author: Michael Jacobs
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

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This study compares continuous-time stochastic interest rate and stochastic volatility models of interest rate derivatives, examining these models across several dimensions: different classes of models, factor structures, and pricing algorithms. We consider a broader universe of pricing models, using improved econometric and numerical methodologies. We establish several criteria for model quality that are motivated by financial theory as well as practice: realism of the assumed stochastic process for the term structure, consistency with no-arbitrage or financial market equilibrium, consistency with financial practice, parsimony, as well as computational efficiency. A model which scores well along these grounds will also exhibit superior pricing performance with regard to traded interest rate options. This helps resolve the controversies over the stochastic process for yield curve dynamics, the models that best manage and measure interest rate risk, and theories of the term structure that are supported by empirical results. We perform econometric experiments at three levels: the short rate, bond prices, as well as interest rate derivatives. We extend CKLS (1992) to a broader class of single factor spot rate models and international interest rates. We find that a single-factor general parametric model (1FGPM) of the term structure, with non-linearity in the drift function, better captures the time series dynamics of US 30 Day T-Bill rates. The 1FGPM not only forecasts interest rate changes out-of-sample better relative to other parametric models, but also relative to the non-parametric model of Jiang (1998). Finally, our results vary greatly across international markets. Building upon the work of Longstaff and Schwartz (1992), we perform a statistical analysis of the U.S. default-free term structure over the period 4:1964 to 10:1997. We utilize a constant correlation multivariate GARCH principal components analysis (CCM-PCA), and identify at least three factors associated with traditional measures of risk in the fixed income literature (level, slope, and curvature) that capture 98% of the variation in the default-free term structure. We perform tests of various term structure models on US Treasury bonds, comparing a two factor Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (2FCIR) model with a multi-layer perceptron neural network approach (MLP-ANN), in pricing and hedging discount bonds. We find that while the MLP-ANN can better fit bond prices in-sample, the 2F-CIR model is superior in hedging against unanticipated changes in the short rate and its volatility. Furthermore, we find the 2FCIR model to perform favorably in comparison to the CCM-PCA, MLP-ANN, as well as the 1FGPM in forecasting bond yield changes. Finally, we compare various interest rate bond option pricing models, in their ability to price interest rate derivatives and manage and interest rate risk. We compare three approaches to pricing interest rate derivatives: spot rate (e.g., CIR), forward-rate (i.e., HJM), and non-parametric models (e.g., multivariate kernel estimation.) This is extended to a broader factor structure. While the best model in terms of mean square error (MSE) is the non parametric (MNWK) model, the 3 factor jump diffusion (3FGJD) model performs best among parametric models. In hedging analysis, while these preferred models still outperform within each grouping, the non parametric model is no longer the best performing model, while the 2FCIR is the best model in hedging options in terms of MSE.

Risk-Neutral Valuation

Risk-Neutral Valuation
Author: Nicholas H. Bingham
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 306
Release: 2013-06-29
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1447136195

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With a simple approach accessible to a wide audience, this book aims for the heart of mathematical finance: the fundamental formula of arbitrage pricing theory. This method of pricing discounts everything and takes expected values under the equivalent martingale measure. The authors approach is simple and excludes unnecessary proofs of measure-theoretic probability, instead, it favors techniques and examples of proven interest to financial practitioners.

Pricing Long-Maturity Equity and FX Derivatives with Stochastic Interest Rates and Stochastic Volatility

Pricing Long-Maturity Equity and FX Derivatives with Stochastic Interest Rates and Stochastic Volatility
Author: Alexander van Haastrecht
Publisher:
Total Pages: 28
Release: 2011
Genre:
ISBN:

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In this paper we extend the stochastic volatility model of Schouml;bel and Zhu (1999) by including stochastic interest rates. Furthermore we allow all driving model factors to be instantaneously correlated with each other, i.e. we allow for a correlation between the instantaneous interest rates, the volatilities and the underlying stock returns. By deriving the characteristic function of the log-asset price distribution, we are able to price European stock options in closed-form by Fourier inversion. Furthermore we present a Foreign Exchange generalization and show how the pricing of Forward-starting options like cliquets can be performed. Additionally we discuss the practical implementation of these new models.

Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives

Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives
Author: Yue Kuen Kwok
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 402
Release: 2022-05-08
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1000584275

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Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives summarizes most of the recent research results in pricing models of derivatives on discrete realized variance and VIX. The book begins with the presentation of volatility trading and uses of variance derivatives. It then moves on to discuss the robust replication strategy of variance swaps using portfolio of options, which is one of the major milestones in pricing theory of variance derivatives. The replication procedure provides the theoretical foundation of the construction of VIX. This book provides sound arguments for formulating the pricing models of variance derivatives and establishes formal proofs of various technical results. Illustrative numerical examples are included to show accuracy and effectiveness of analytic and approximation methods. Features Useful for practitioners and quants in the financial industry who need to make choices between various pricing models of variance derivatives Fabulous resource for researchers interested in pricing and hedging issues of variance derivatives and VIX products Can be used as a university textbook in a topic course on pricing variance derivatives

Exotic Options and Hybrids

Exotic Options and Hybrids
Author: Mohamed Bouzoubaa
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 405
Release: 2010-03-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 047071008X

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The recent financial crisis brought to light many of the misunderstandings and misuses of exotic derivatives. With market participants on both the buy and sell-side having been found guilty of not understanding the products they were dealing with, never before has there been a greater need for clarification and explanation. Exotic Options and Hybrids is a practical guide to structuring, pricing and hedging complex exotic options and hybrid derivatives that will serve readers through the recent crisis, the road to recovery, the next bull market and beyond. Written by experienced practitioners, it focuses on the three main parts of a derivative’s life: the structuring of a product, its pricing and its hedging. Divided into four parts, the book covers a multitude of structures, encompassing many of the most up-to-date and promising products from exotic equity derivatives and structured notes to hybrid derivatives and dynamic strategies. Based on a realistic setting from the heart of the business, inside a derivatives operation, the practical and intuitive discussions of these aspects make these exotic concepts truly accessible. Adoptions of real trades are examined in detail, and all of the numerous examples are carefully selected so as to highlight interesting and significant aspects of the business. The introduction of payoff structures is accompanied by scenario analysis, diagrams and lifelike sample term sheets. Readers learn how to spot where the risks lie to pave the way for sound valuation and hedging of such products. There are also questions and accompanying discussions dispersed in the text, each exploited to illustrate one or more concepts from the context in which they are set. The applications, the strengths and the limitations of various models are highlighted, in relevance to the products and their risks, rather than the model implementations. Models are de-mystified in separately dedicated sections, but their implications are alluded to throughout the book in an intuitive and non-mathematical manner. By discussing exotic options and hybrids in a practical, non-mathematical and highly intuitive setting, this book will blast through the misunderstanding of exotic derivatives, enabling practitioners to fully understand and correctly structure, price and hedge theses products effectively, and stand strong as the only book in its class to make these “exotic” concepts truly accessible.