Monitoring Drought Intensity in Illinois with a Combined Index

Monitoring Drought Intensity in Illinois with a Combined Index
Author: Guanling Feng
Publisher:
Total Pages: 250
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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Many traditional drought assessments are conducted based on climate and hydrologic data. The availability and precision of data limit the spatial and temporal resolution and accuracy of derived drought indices. In this study, Vegetation Condition Index (VCI) and Temperature Condition Index (TCI) were generated from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) products. The VCI was derived from Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) that was calculated with near infrared and visible red band reflectance from MOD09Q1. The TCI was derived from land surface temperature (LST) product MOD11A2. The VCI and TCI were then combined with reference to the vegetation coverage information from MOD44B to generate the modified Vegetation Health Index (VHI). The modified VHI was applied to quantify the intensity of drought that took place in Illinois from 2000 to 2012. The results showed that the modified VHI identified the major droughts that occurred in Illinois from 2000 to 2012, especially the extreme one taking place in 2012. Moreover, the modified VHI led to the spatial distributions and temporal trends of drought severity, which were overall similar to those from the U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) maps, but had more detailed spatial variability and much higher spatial resolution. The modified VHI also differentiated the drought impacts between the vegetated and non-vegetated areas, being a lack of the original VHI. Thus, the modified VHI takes advantage of spatially continuous and timely data from satellites and can be applied to conduct the monitoring and detection of drought intensity at local, regional, and national scales. The modified VHI can effectively synthesize the drought information of LST and NDVI to differentiate the effects of land use and land cover (LULC) types and provide the detailed spatial variability of drought intensity and thus enhance the understanding of relationship between drought condition and LULC types.

Monitoring Drought Intensity in Illinois with a Combined Index

Monitoring Drought Intensity in Illinois with a Combined Index
Author: Guanling Feng (‡e author)
Publisher:
Total Pages: 125
Release: 2014
Genre: Drought forecasting
ISBN:

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Many traditional drought assessments are conducted based on climate and hydrologic data. The availability and precision of data limit the spatial and temporal resolution and accuracy of derived drought indices. In this study, Vegetation Condition Index (VCI) and Temperature Condition Index (TCI) were generated from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) products. The VCI was derived from Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) that was calculated with near infrared and visible red band reflectance from MOD09Q1. The TCI was derived from land surface temperature (LST) product MOD11A2. The VCI and TCI were then combined with reference to the vegetation coverage information from MOD44B to generate the modified Vegetation Health Index (VHI). The modified VHI was applied to quantify the intensity of drought that took place in Illinois from 2000 to 2012. The results showed that the modified VHI identified the major droughts that occurred in Illinois from 2000 to 2012, especially the extreme one taking place in 2012. Moreover, the modified VHI led to the spatial distributions and temporal trends of drought severity, which were overall similar to those from the U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) maps, but had more detailed spatial variability and much higher spatial resolution. The modified VHI also differentiated the drought impacts between the vegetated and non-vegetated areas, being a lack of the original VHI. Thus, the modified VHI takes advantage of spatially continuous and timely data from satellites and can be applied to conduct the monitoring and detection of drought intensity at local, regional, and national scales. The modified VHI can effectively synthesize the drought information of LST and NDVI to differentiate the effects of land use and land cover (LULC) types and provide the detailed spatial variability of drought intensity and thus enhance the understanding of relationship between drought condition and LULC types.

Developing an Impact-Based Combined Drought Index for Monitoring Crop Yield Anomalies in the Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia

Developing an Impact-Based Combined Drought Index for Monitoring Crop Yield Anomalies in the Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia
Author: Yared A. Bayissa
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 146
Release: 2018-10-26
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0429679777

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Having a robust drought monitoring system for Ethiopia is crucial to mitigate the adverse impacts of droughts. Yet, such monitoring system still lacks in Ethiopia, and in the Upper Blue Nile (UBN) basin in particular. Several drought indices exist to monitor drought, however, these indices are unable, individually, to provide concise information on the occurrence of meteorological, agricultural and hydrological droughts. A combined drought index (CDI) using several meteorological, agricultural and hydrological drought indices can indicate the occurrence of all drought types, and can provide information that facilitates the drought management decision-making process. This thesis proposes an impact-based combined drought index (CDI) and a regression prediction model of crop yield anomalies for the UBN basin. The impact-based CDI is defined as a drought index that optimally combines the information embedded in other drought indices for monitoring a certain impact of drought, i.e. crop yield for the UBN. The developed CDI and the regression model have shown to be effective in indicating historic drought events in UBN basin. The impact-based CDI could potentially be used in the future development of drought monitoring in the UBN basin and support decision making in order to mitigate adverse drought impacts.

Review, automated estimation and analyses of drought indices in South Asia

Review, automated estimation and analyses of drought indices in South Asia
Author: Smakhtin, Vladimir U
Publisher: IWMI
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2004
Genre: Droughts
ISBN: 9290905786

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This paper reviews the existing indices which have been developed for monitoring and quantitative assessment of droughts, and analyzes their applicability for drought prediction and management in the specific context of South Asia. It further describes the suite of routines, which have been developed for automated estimation, display and analyses of various drought indices. The suite forms part of the comprehensive computer package, developed earlier and designed to perform the multitude of water resources analyses and hydrometeorological data processing. The seven-step procedure of setting up and running a typical drought-assessment application is described in detail.

Drought in Illinois

Drought in Illinois
Author: Illinois. Task Force on Drought
Publisher:
Total Pages: 62
Release: 1977
Genre: Droughts
ISBN:

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Drought Early Warning System

Drought Early Warning System
Author: Muni Rathnam Pantula
Publisher: Notion Press
Total Pages: 787
Release: 2016-06-20
Genre: Science
ISBN: 1945497432

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This book encompasses the characterisation of meteorological drought by the newly invented index called “SPI – Standardised Precipitation index” approved by World Meteorological Organization (WMO) in June 2011. It is a simple index with precipitation as the only parameter and can be computed for different scales (1-3-6-12-24 months) and compared across regions with different climatic zones. The author has depicted graphs with regard to trends, onset, end, magnitude with dates of occurrence of droughts over a period of 102 years with regard to rainfall and temperature with the aid of SPI and SPEI, for Anantapur District of Andhra Pradesh, India. To characterise the agricultural drought, climatological water balance was carried for a period of 30 years for the data. In this book a composite index called “Indian drought monitor” with ten indicators and indices has been developed for releasing drought information weekly considering and incorporating review from a group of climatologists, extension agents and others across the nation. This will lead the country economically forward.

Remote Sensing for Food Security

Remote Sensing for Food Security
Author: Felix Kogan
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 255
Release: 2018-10-27
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 3319962566

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This volume gathers a variety of applications for remote sensing of vegetation health (VH) and concretely shows how this information can be used in service of ending hunger and of ensuring future food security. In this book’s ten chapters, Dr. Felix Kogan, one of the most prolific scientists in this sphere, shows how a new VH method, designed from operational environmental satellite data, can be used to provide advanced predictions of agricultural losses, helping to enhance food security and reducing the number of hungry people. Topics covered include the scientific basis of the VH method, drought monitoring, prediction of short-term agricultural yield and crop insurance, and impacts of long term climate variability and change on food security. A short discussion on VH for human health-related topics such as detection and prediction of malaria and fire risk is included as well.

Frameworks for Improving Multi-Index Drought Monitoring Using Remote Sensing Observations

Frameworks for Improving Multi-Index Drought Monitoring Using Remote Sensing Observations
Author: Alireza Farahmand
Publisher:
Total Pages: 131
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN: 9781339563824

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The overarching goal of this dissertation is to improve current capabilities in drought monitoring using space-based observations, with a focus on integrating remotely sensed data products that are not commonly being used for drought monitoring. The first chapter of this dissertation, surveys current and emerging drought monitoring approaches using remotely-sensed observations from climatological and ecosystem perspectives. Current and future satellite missions offer opportunities to develop composite and multi-sensor (or multi-index) drought assessment models. While there are immense opportunities, there are major challenges including data continuity, unquantified uncertainty, sensor changes, and community acceptability. One of the major limitations of many of the currently available satellite observations is their short length of record. However, they still provide valuable information about relevant hydrologic and ecological processes linked to this natural hazard. Therefore, there is a need for models and algorithms that combine multiple data sets and/or assimilate satellite observations into model simulations to generate long-term climate data records. To address this gap, Chapter 2 introduces Standardized Drought Analysis Toolbox (SDAT), which includes a generalized framework for deriving nonparametric univariate and multivariate standardized drought indices. Current indicators suffer from deficiencies including some prior distributional assumption, temporal inconsistency, and statistical incomparability. Most drought indicators rely on a representative parametric probability distribution function that fits the data. However, a parametric distribution function may not fit the data, especially in continental/global scale studies. Particularly, when the sample size is relatively small as in the case of many satellite precipitation products. SDAT is based on a nonparametric framework that can be applied to different climatic variables including precipitation, soil moisture and relative humidity, without having to assume representative parametric distributions. The most attractive feature of the framework is that it leads to statistically consistent drought indicators based on different variables. We show that using SDAT with satellite observation leads to more reliable drought information, compared to the commonly used parametric methods.We argue that satellite observations not currently used for operational drought monitoring, such as near-surface air relative humidity data from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) mission, provide opportunities to improve early drought warning. In the third chapter of this dissertation, we outline a new drought monitoring framework for early drought onset detection using AIRS relative humidity data. The early warning and onset detection of drought is of particular importance for effective agriculture and water resource management. Previous studies show that the Standard Precipitation Index (SPI), a measure of precipitation deficit, detects drought onset earlier than other indicators. Here satellite-based near surface air relative humidity data can further improve drought onset detection and early warning. This chapter introduces the Standardized Relative Humidity Index (SRHI) based on the NASA's AIRS observations. SRHI relies on SDAT's nonparametric framework, introduced in Chapter 2. The results indicate that the SRHI typically detects the drought onset earlier than SPI. While the AIRS mission was not originally designed for drought monitoring, its relative humidity data offers a new and unique avenue for drought monitoring and early warning. Early warning aspects of SRHI may have merit for integration into current drought monitoring systems.One of the research opportunities identified in Chapter 1 is using current (and future) satellite missions to develop composite and multi-indicator drought models. In Chapter 4, we outline a framework for assessing impacts of droughts on forest health using a multi-sensor approach. This framework relies on the relationship between climate conditions (e.g., temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, Vapor Pressure Deficit) and forest health based on greenness of vegetation. Wildfires, tree mortality and forest productivity increase during drought periods. Using the proposed multi-index approach, Chapter 4 aims to investigate the effects of recent summer, dry-season and winter droughts on the forest health in western United States. We use Vapor Pressure Deficit (VPD) as an indicator that combines temperature and relative humidity for forest stress assessment. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is commonly used for assessing vegetation health. During summer and growing season, VPD values are generally high. The results show that the VPD and NDVI provide consistent information on forest health. In addition to VPD, we use conditional probability of NDVI in high temperature and low relative humidity percentiles over the summer and the growing season. We show that combining temperature and relative humidity using a conditional probability approach offers multi-sensor information on forest condition. During winter, on the other hand, VPD and temperature is relatively lower. NDVI distributions in winter were found to be more associated with precipitation as opposed to relative humidity and temperature. We believe the a joint indicator based on temperature and relative humidity can be considered as a link between climate condition and actual impact on the ecosystem. (Abstract shortened by UMI.)