Money and Housing

Money and Housing
Author: Claus Greiber
Publisher:
Total Pages: 48
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper examines the relation between money and housing variables in the euro area and in the US. Our empirical model is based on a standard money demand relation which is augmented by housing market variables. In doing so, co-integrated money demand relationships can be established for both the euro area and the US. Furthermore, we find evidence for asset inflation channels, that is, liquidity fuels housing market developments.

Money and Housing - Evidence for the Euro Area and the US

Money and Housing - Evidence for the Euro Area and the US
Author: Claus Greiber
Publisher:
Total Pages: 37
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN: 9783865583239

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This paper examines the relation between money and housing variables in the euro area and in the US. Our empirical model is based on a standard money demand relation which is augmented by housing market variables. In doing so, co-integrated money demand relationships can be established for both the euro area and the US. Furthermore, we find evidence for asset inflation channels, that is, liquidity fuels housing market developments.

Bubbles in Real Estate?

Bubbles in Real Estate?
Author: Daniel Gros
Publisher: CEPS
Total Pages: 15
Release: 2006
Genre: Housing
ISBN: 9290796154

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Econometric Analyses of International Housing Markets

Econometric Analyses of International Housing Markets
Author: Rita Yi Man Li
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 199
Release: 2016-03-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1317587928

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This book explores how econometric modelling can be used to provide valuable insight into international housing markets. Initially describing the role of econometrics modelling in real estate market research and how it has developed in recent years, the book goes on to compare and contrast the impact of various macroeconomic factors on developed and developing housing markets. Explaining the similarities and differences in the impact of financial crises on housing markets around the world, the author's econometric analysis of housing markets across the world provides a broad and nuanced perspective on the impact of both international financial markets and local macro economy on housing markets. With discussion of countries such as China, Germany, UK, US and South Africa, the lessons learned will be of interest to scholars of Real Estate economics around the world.

House Prices and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area

House Prices and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 39
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN: 9789289927956

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We use a Bayesian stochastic search variable selection structural VAR model to investigate the heterogeneous impact of housing demand shocks on the macro-economy and the role of house prices in the monetary policy transmission, across euro area countries. A novel set of identification restrictions, which combines zero and sign restrictions, is proposed. By exploiting the cross-sectional dimension of our data, we explore the differences in the propagation channels of house prices and monetary policy and the challenges they pose in the process of real and nominal convergence in the Eurozone. Among the main results, we find a comparatively stronger housing wealth effect on consumption in Ireland and Spainches We provide new evidence in support of the financial accelerator hypothesis, showing that house prices play an important role in the availability of loans. A significant and highly heterogeneous effect of monetary policy on house price dynamics is also documented.

The Housing Market Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission in the Euro Area

The Housing Market Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission in the Euro Area
Author: Stanimira Milcheva
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2020
Genre:
ISBN:

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Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to explore the role of the housing market in the monetary policy transmission to consumption among euro area member states. It has been argued that the housing market in one country is then important when its mortgage market is well developed. The countries in the euro area follow unitary monetary policy; however, their housing and mortgage markets show some heterogeneity, which may lead to different policy effects on aggregate consumption through the housing market. Design/methodology/approach: The housing market can act as a channel of monetary policy shocks to household consumption through changes in house prices and residential investment - the housing market channel. The authors estimate vector auto-regressive models for each country and conduct a counterfactual analysis to disentangle the housing market channel and assess its importance across the euro area member states. Findings: The authors find little evidence for heterogeneity of the monetary policy transmission through house prices across the euro area countries. Housing market variations in the euro area seem to be better captured by changes in residential investment rather than by changes in house prices. As a result, the authors do not find significantly large house price channels. For some of the countries however, they observe a monetary policy channel through residential investment. The existence of a housing channel may depend on institutional features of both the labor market or with institutional factors capturing the degree of household debt as is the loan-to-value ratio. Originality/value: The study contributes to the existing literature by assessing whether a unitary monetary policy has a different impact on consumption across the euro area countries through their housing and mortgage markets. The authors disentangle monetary-policy-induced effects on consumption associated with variations on the housing markets due to either house price variations or residential investment changes. The authors show that the housing market can play a role in the monetary transmission mechanism even in countries with less developed mortgage markets through variations in residential investment.

Housing Market Stability, Mortgage Market Structure, and Monetary Policy

Housing Market Stability, Mortgage Market Structure, and Monetary Policy
Author: Bing Zhu
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2020
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper investigates how monetary policy stance and mortgage market structure affect non-fundamental house price movements in eleven Euro area countries. Based on a three-stage approach, our empirical evidence suggests that a one-time monetary-easing shock can significantly trigger house price booms in Euro area countries with liberal mortgage markets. Such shocks can explain over 20% of the forecasting error variance of non-fundamental house price run-ups in Ireland and Spain. We find that, in countries with more regulated mortgage markets, monetary policy stance does not significantly affect non-fundamental house prices. Policymakers may wish to focus on limiting mortgage equity withdrawals and on monitoring loan-to-value ratios and tax policies in order to minimize the side effects of accommodative monetary policies on housing market stability for Euro area countries. We posit that this is especially true for peripheral countries, which are more likely to be subjected to overly loose monetary policy stances.