Modeling Lyme Disease

Modeling Lyme Disease
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 70
Release: 2018
Genre: Electronic books
ISBN:

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Lyme disease is the most prevalent tick-borne disease in the United States, which humans acquire from an infected blacklegged tick (Ixodes scapularis). Though Lyme disease is not generally considered to be a deadly affliction, untreated cases often result in chronic joint pain and other crippling symptoms. Early studies of Lyme disease focused on how environmental factors, such as climate and ecosystem type, aided in its geographical spread. One key factor not considered by previous research is the tick’s host preference in the presence of multiple hosts. Our mathematical model is a continuous dynamical system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) that models the interactions between the primary vectors involved: blacklegged ticks (I. scapularis), white-footed mice (Peromyscus leucopus), and white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus), and includes different stages in tick development. Parameters are estimated from numerous studies and the endemic levels in field studies. Based on our model, we also calculate the basic reproduction number, R0, a threshold value that designates whether a disease exists or dies out. Subsequent extensions of the model consider seasonal and migratory effects on Lyme disease spread. The seasonal extension of our base model incorporates time-varying parameters, including infection rates and death rates of specific vectors. A sensitivity analysis of parameters, specifically the time-varying infection rates, is performed to see how the length of a tick’s peak feeding period affects the long-term dynamics of the system. The results of this analysis suggest that a longer tick peak feeding period results in a higher infection prevalence. Lastly, the base model is extended to account for the migration of deer between two neighboring counties, where one is at an endemic steady state and the other is at a disease-free state. The deer migration contributed to local infectiousness in the disease-free county, which eventually reached the endemic steady state after a long period of time. A sensitivity analysis of the migration parameter demonstrated that increasing migration rates can result in increased infectivity in neighboring counties over a long period of time.

Critical Needs and Gaps in Understanding Prevention, Amelioration, and Resolution of Lyme and Other Tick-Borne Diseases

Critical Needs and Gaps in Understanding Prevention, Amelioration, and Resolution of Lyme and Other Tick-Borne Diseases
Author: Institute of Medicine
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 560
Release: 2011-07-01
Genre: Medical
ISBN: 0309211093

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A single tick bite can have debilitating consequences. Lyme disease is the most common disease carried by ticks in the United States, and the number of those afflicted is growing steadily. If left untreated, the diseases carried by ticks-known as tick-borne diseases-can cause severe pain, fatigue, neurological problems, and other serious health problems. The Institute of Medicine held a workshop October 11-12, 2010, to examine the state of the science in Lyme disease and other tick-borne diseases.

Lyme Borreliosis

Lyme Borreliosis
Author: J. Gray
Publisher: CABI
Total Pages: 364
Release: 2002-10-04
Genre: Borrelia burgdorferi
ISBN: 9780851997551

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Lyme borreliosis commonly known as lyme disease is now acknowledged as the most highly prevalent arthropod-borne human disease in northern temperate regions of the world. This book describes the basic characteristics of the disease, the biology of the pathogens in their vectors and vertebrate hosts, their ecology in different regions of the world and the global epidemiology of the disease. The final chapters address the prevention and control measures that have resulted from this knowledge.

Lyme Disease

Lyme Disease
Author: Richard Ostfeld
Publisher: OUP USA
Total Pages: 231
Release: 2011
Genre: Medical
ISBN: 0195388127

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A review of research on the ecology of Lyme disease in North America describes how humans get sick, why some years and places are so risky and others not, and offers a new understanding that embraces the complexity of species and their interactions.

Dynamic Modeling of Diseases and Pests

Dynamic Modeling of Diseases and Pests
Author: Bruce Hannon
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 290
Release: 2008-10-20
Genre: Medical
ISBN: 9780387095592

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The ease of use of the programs in the application to ever more complex cases of disease and pestilence. The lack of need on the part of the student or modelers of mathematics beyond algebra and the lack of need of any prior computer programming experience. The surprising insights that can be gained from initially simple systems models.

The Population Dynamics of Infectious Diseases: Theory and Applications

The Population Dynamics of Infectious Diseases: Theory and Applications
Author: Roy M. Anderson
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 380
Release: 2013-11-22
Genre: Medical
ISBN: 1489929010

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Since the beginning of this century there has been a growing interest in the study of the epidemiology and population dynamics of infectious disease agents. Mathematical and statistical methods have played an important role in the development of this field and a large, and sophisticated, literature exists which is concerned with the theory of epidemiological processes in popu lations and the dynamics of epidemie and endemie disease phenomena. Much ofthis literature is, however, rather formal and abstract in character, and the field has tended to become rather detached from its empirical base. Relatively little of the literature, for example, deals with the practical issues which are of major concern to public health workers. Encouragingly, in recent years there are signs of an increased awareness amongst theoreticians of the need to confront predictions with observed epidemiological trends, and to pay elose attention to the biological details of the interaction between host and disease agent. This trend has in part been stimulated by the early work of Ross and Macdonald, on the transmission dynamics of tropical parasitic infections, but a further impetus has been the recent advances made by ecologists in blending theory and observation in the study of plant and animal populations.

Infectious Disease Ecology

Infectious Disease Ecology
Author: Richard S. Ostfeld
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 521
Release: 2010-12-16
Genre: Science
ISBN: 140083788X

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News headlines are forever reporting diseases that take huge tolls on humans, wildlife, domestic animals, and both cultivated and native plants worldwide. These diseases can also completely transform the ecosystems that feed us and provide us with other critical benefits, from flood control to water purification. And yet diseases sometimes serve to maintain the structure and function of the ecosystems on which humans depend. Gathering thirteen essays by forty leading experts who convened at the Cary Conference at the Institute of Ecosystem Studies in 2005, this book develops an integrated framework for understanding where these diseases come from, what ecological factors influence their impacts, and how they in turn influence ecosystem dynamics. It marks the first comprehensive and in-depth exploration of the rich and complex linkages between ecology and disease, and provides conceptual underpinnings to understand and ameliorate epidemics. It also sheds light on the roles that diseases play in ecosystems, bringing vital new insights to landscape management issues in particular. While the ecological context is a key piece of the puzzle, effective control and understanding of diseases requires the interaction of professionals in medicine, epidemiology, veterinary medicine, forestry, agriculture, and ecology. The essential resource on the subject, Infectious Disease Ecology seeks to bridge these fields with an ecological approach that focuses on systems thinking and complex interactions.