Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Misspecified Models

Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Misspecified Models
Author: T. Fomby
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 280
Release: 2003-12-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780762310753

Download Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Misspecified Models Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Comparative study of pure and pretest estimators for a possibly misspecified two-way error component model / Badi H. Baltagi, Georges Bresson, Alain Pirotte -- Estimation, inference, and specification testing for possibly misspecified quantile regression / Tae-Hwan Kim, Halbert White -- Quasimaximum likelihood estimation with bounded symmetric errors / Douglas Miller, James Eales, Paul Preckel -- Consistent quasi-maximum likelihood estimation with limited information / Douglas Miller, Sang-Hak Lee -- An examination of the sign and volatility switching arch models under alternative distributional assumptions / Mohamed F. Omran, Florin Avram -- estimating a linear exponential density when the weighting matrix and mean parameter vector are functionally related / Chor-yiu Sin -- Testing in GMM models without truncation / Timothy J. Vogelsang -- Bayesian analysis of misspecified models with fixed effects / Tiemen Woutersen -- Tests of common deterministic trend slopes applied to quarterly global temperature data / Thomas B. Fomby, Timothy J. Vogelsang -- The sandwich estimate of variance / James W. Hardin -- Test statistics and critical values in selectivity models / R. Carter Hill, Lee C. Adkins, Keith A. Bender -- Introduction / Thomas B Fomby, R. Carter Hill.

Maximum Likelihood Estimation in Possibly Misspecified Dynamic Models with Time Inhomogeneous Markov Regimes

Maximum Likelihood Estimation in Possibly Misspecified Dynamic Models with Time Inhomogeneous Markov Regimes
Author: Demian Pouzo
Publisher:
Total Pages: 53
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

Download Maximum Likelihood Estimation in Possibly Misspecified Dynamic Models with Time Inhomogeneous Markov Regimes Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency and local asymptotic normality of the ML estimator under general conditions which allow for autoregressive dynamics in the observable process, time-inhomogeneous Markov regime sequences, and possible model misspecification. A Monte Carlo study examines the finite-sample properties of the ML estimator. An empirical application is also discussed.

Issues of Misspecification in Long Memory Models

Issues of Misspecification in Long Memory Models
Author: Kanchana Nadarajah
Publisher:
Total Pages: 330
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

Download Issues of Misspecification in Long Memory Models Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Misspecification of the short memory dynamics in a long memory model has serious repercussions for the asymptotic properties of any estimator of the long memory parameter. Under misspecification, the estimator converges in probability to a value called the pseudo-true value, which is different from the true value of the parameter. Intuitively, of all the family of spectral densities, the spectral density with the pseudo-true value is the closest spectral density to the true spectral density. Further consequences of misspecification are associated with the rate of convergence and the asymptotic distribution of the estimator of the parameter of the misspecified model. Both the rate of convergence and the asymptotic distribution of the parametric estimator of the misspecified model depends, in turn, on the difference between the true and pseudo-true values. We prove that under misspecification, frequency domain maximum likelihood estimation, Whittle estimation, time domain maximum likelihood estimation and conditional sum of squares estimation are asymptotically equivalent. However, our simulation study demonstrates that in small and medium sized samples, the performance of the parametric estimators of the misspecified model, in terms of bias, mean squared error and the form of the sampling distribution, differs across estimators. Overall, under misspecification, the conditional sum of squares estimator outperforms the other parametric estimators in small and medium sized samples. Further, the approximate frequency domain maximum likelihood estimator is the least efficient of all parametric estimators of the misspecified model, overall. In certain circumstances, where the difference between the true and the pseudo-true value of the long memory parameter is sufficiently large, a clear distinction between the frequency domain and time domain estimators can be observed in small samples. However, as the sample size increases, the behaviour of all of the parametric estimators of the misspecified model is consistent with the theoretical asymptotic results. Whilst misspecified parametric estimators of the long memory parameter are inconsistent for its true value, any semi-parametric estimator is consistent, although very biased in small samples. Thus, we compare the parametric estimators of the long memory parameter in the misspecified model with the semi-parametric Geweke and Porter-Hudak (GPH) estimator, to investigate whether any misspecified parametric estimator is less biased, or more efficient, than this particular semi-parametric estimator to measure the true value of the long memory parameter in finite samples. The CSS estimator under the misspecified model outperforms the GPH estimator in large finite samples in terms of bias and mean squared error, when the misspecified model is close to the true model. If the misspecified model is substantially different from the true model, then the GPH estimator is preferred over the four parametric estimators of the misspecified model in finite samples.

Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Maximum Likelihood Estimation
Author: Scott R. Eliason
Publisher: SAGE
Total Pages: 100
Release: 1993
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9780803941076

Download Maximum Likelihood Estimation Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This is a short introduction to Maximum Likelihood (ML) Estimation. It provides a general modeling framework that utilizes the tools of ML methods to outline a flexible modeling strategy that accommodates cases from the simplest linear models (such as the normal error regression model) to the most complex nonlinear models linking endogenous and exogenous variables with non-normal distributions. Using examples to illustrate the techniques of finding ML estimators and estimates, the author discusses what properties are desirable in an estimator, basic techniques for finding maximum likelihood solutions, the general form of the covariance matrix for ML estimates, the sampling distribution of ML estimators; the use of ML in the normal as well as other distributions, and some useful illustrations of likelihoods.

Misspecification Analysis

Misspecification Analysis
Author: Theo K. Dijkstra
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 139
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3642954618

Download Misspecification Analysis Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Econometric Modelling with Time Series

Econometric Modelling with Time Series
Author: Vance Martin
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 925
Release: 2013
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0521139813

Download Econometric Modelling with Time Series Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

"Maximum likelihood estimation is a general method for estimating the parameters of econometric models from observed data. The principle of maximum likelihood plays a central role in the exposition of this book, since a number of estimators used in econometrics can be derived within this framework. Examples include ordinary least squares, generalized least squares and full-information maximum likelihood. In deriving the maximum likelihood estimator, a key concept is the joint probability density function (pdf) of the observed random variables, yt. Maximum likelihood estimation requires that the following conditions are satisfied. (1) The form of the joint pdf of yt is known. (2) The specification of the moments of the joint pdf are known. (3) The joint pdf can be evaluated for all values of the parameters, 9. Parts ONE and TWO of this book deal with models in which all these conditions are satisfied. Part THREE investigates models in which these conditions are not satisfied and considers four important cases. First, if the distribution of yt is misspecified, resulting in both conditions 1 and 2 being violated, estimation is by quasi-maximum likelihood (Chapter 9). Second, if condition 1 is not satisfied, a generalized method of moments estimator (Chapter 10) is required. Third, if condition 2 is not satisfied, estimation relies on nonparametric methods (Chapter 11). Fourth, if condition 3 is violated, simulation-based estimation methods are used (Chapter 12). 1.2 Motivating Examples To highlight the role of probability distributions in maximum likelihood estimation, this section emphasizes the link between observed sample data and 4 The Maximum Likelihood Principle the probability distribution from which they are drawn"-- publisher.

Estimation, Inference and Specification Analysis

Estimation, Inference and Specification Analysis
Author: Halbert White
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 396
Release: 1996-06-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780521574464

Download Estimation, Inference and Specification Analysis Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This book examines the consequences of misspecifications for the interpretation of likelihood-based methods of statistical estimation and interference. The analysis concludes with an examination of methods by which the possibility of misspecification can be empirically investigated.

Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference

Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference
Author: Russell B. Millar
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 286
Release: 2011-07-26
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1119977711

Download Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This book takes a fresh look at the popular and well-established method of maximum likelihood for statistical estimation and inference. It begins with an intuitive introduction to the concepts and background of likelihood, and moves through to the latest developments in maximum likelihood methodology, including general latent variable models and new material for the practical implementation of integrated likelihood using the free ADMB software. Fundamental issues of statistical inference are also examined, with a presentation of some of the philosophical debates underlying the choice of statistical paradigm. Key features: Provides an accessible introduction to pragmatic maximum likelihood modelling. Covers more advanced topics, including general forms of latent variable models (including non-linear and non-normal mixed-effects and state-space models) and the use of maximum likelihood variants, such as estimating equations, conditional likelihood, restricted likelihood and integrated likelihood. Adopts a practical approach, with a focus on providing the relevant tools required by researchers and practitioners who collect and analyze real data. Presents numerous examples and case studies across a wide range of applications including medicine, biology and ecology. Features applications from a range of disciplines, with implementation in R, SAS and/or ADMB. Provides all program code and software extensions on a supporting website. Confines supporting theory to the final chapters to maintain a readable and pragmatic focus of the preceding chapters. This book is not just an accessible and practical text about maximum likelihood, it is a comprehensive guide to modern maximum likelihood estimation and inference. It will be of interest to readers of all levels, from novice to expert. It will be of great benefit to researchers, and to students of statistics from senior undergraduate to graduate level. For use as a course text, exercises are provided at the end of each chapter.