The Great Depression Revisited

The Great Depression Revisited
Author: K. Brunner
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 367
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 940098135X

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The fateful days of the great stock market crash entered modem history almost 50 years ago to this day. The cyclic turning point of the U. S. economy oc curred, however, around June 1929, and economic activity receded substantial ly over the subsequent months. The onset of an economic downswing thus became clearly visible before the famous crash. But the October event stays in the public's mind as the symbol of the Great Depression. For nearly four years, until the spring of 1933, the U. S. economy plunged into a deep reces sion. Activity declined, prices fell, and there emerged a massive unemploy ment problem. The economy ultimately overcame this shock in 1933. Prices rose rapidly in spite of substantial margins of unusual resources. Activity ex panded, but occasionally at a somewhat hesitant rate. The expansion, however, was interrupted by another recession of major proportions during 1937-38. The tragic sequence of events shaped public consciousness and influenced new approaches and views in economic policymaking. The activist approach to "stabilization policy" and a wide range of regulatory policies were essentially justified in terms of this experience. These policies were crucially influenced by our understanding and interpretation of the Great Depression. The view of a radically unstable economic process perennially on the edge of serious collapse gained wide popularity and became a central element of the Keynesian tradi- 2 INTRODUCTION tion. It encouraged, with supplementary interpretations, an interventionist and expanding role of the government in our economic affairs.

The Great Depression Revisited

The Great Depression Revisited
Author: K Brunner
Publisher:
Total Pages: 372
Release: 1981-12-31
Genre: Depressions
ISBN: 9789400981362

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The Great Depression Revisited

The Great Depression Revisited
Author: H. van der Wee
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 293
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9401098492

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For a quarter of a century the industrial Western world has been living in the euphoria of continuous improvements in welfare, based on economic programming, increasing integration and terms of trade which favor indus trial countries and discriminate against agricultural regions. It is true that recessions have periodically recurred during these years : time and again, however, government intervention succeeded in reducing them to mere "in ventory cycles". In contrast with the twenties and thirties, when economic policy in the West focused on fighting unemployment and stimulating investment, the postwar period has been characterized by a permanent concern to curb inflationary pressure, which was partly due to full-employ ment. The present welfare economy has given rise to a growth of the pro pensity to consume such that public policy has often been constrained to limit consumption and stimulate saving. In this new framework it has perhaps been forgotten that today's welfare owes much to the lessons from the past. The bitter world crisis experience of the thirties in particular has exerted a fruitful and decisive influence upon the search for means to prevent, eliminate or soften the cyclical fluctuations which the process of economic growth involves. Forty years after the out break of the greatest economic crisis ever, it seems useful to draw up the balancesheet of the lessons learned from it. There exists a large literature about the depression of the thirties.

The Macroeconomics of the Great Depression Revisited

The Macroeconomics of the Great Depression Revisited
Author: Gabriel Patrick Mathy
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN: 9781303443329

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The United States of the 1930s experienced unprecedented uncertainty including the stock market crash of October 1929, a severe banking crises, major political changes, the breakdown of the gold standard, uncertain monetary policies, and the uncertainties surrounding the brewing World War. This dissertation constructs and analyzes four uncertainty measures: stock volatility, a newspaper index of uncertainty mentions, credit spreads, and a high volatility indicator of uncertainty shock events. These four uncertainty measures are then used to analyze the effect of uncertainty shocks on the American economy of the 1930s. I begin with an introduction of the issue of the Great Depression in macroeconomics and where this dissertations fits in the existing literature. The first chapter, entitled "Identifying Uncertainty Shocks in the American Great Depression," uses a financial econometric test of volatile returns to identify periods of high uncertainty, which are then matched with plausible uncertainty shock events by a careful study of the historical record. In the second chapter, entitled "Modelling Uncertainty Shocks in the U.S. Great Depression," a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model is calibrated to conditions of the 1930s. This model is then simulated for an uncertainty shocks, and the simulations show that nominal rigidites and passive monetary policies help explain why uncertainty shocks would matter more in the Great Depression. The third chapter, entitled "The Empirics of Uncertainty Shocks in the U.S. Great Depression," discusses previous empirical results regarding uncertainty in the Great Depression, and then derives empirical results using vector autoregressions to quantify the effect of uncertainty on the broader macroeconomy in the data. Based on these multifaceted sources of evidence, I find that uncertainty shocks played a significant role in the U.S. Great Depression.

Debates in Macroeconomics from the Great Depression to the Long Recession

Debates in Macroeconomics from the Great Depression to the Long Recession
Author: Arie Arnon
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 325
Release: 2022-05-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 303097703X

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This book assesses major schools of thought in macroeconomic theory between the Great Depression and the Long Recession, focusing on their analysis of cycles, crises and macro-policy. It explores the road from the dominance of Keynesian ideas to those of New Classical Macroeconomics (NCM) toward the end of the millennium. The book covers the early influential work of Knut Wicksell; the economic debates of the 1930s, with core contributions from John Maynard Keynes and Friedrich von Hayek; the rise of Keynesianism in the 1950s and its decline since the 1970s; the rise of Monetarism in the 1960s; and NCM’s subsequent rise to prominence. Finally, the book outlines how macroeconomics has evolved from its birth in the 1930s as a theory separate from microeconomics, resulting in a split between macro- and micro-theories, and ended up with a new hegemonic paradigm based on microfoundations. The ensuing policy thinking witnessed a transformation from "active" macro-policy after the Great Depression to a far more "passive" macro-policy during the last quarter of the twentieth century, which may have contributed to missing the signs of the impending Long Recession of 2008. “When the 2008 crisis struck, macroeconomists were caught with models that were theoretically elegant yet inappropriate to the needs of the moment. A broader historical perspective may have prevented the jettisoning of Keynesian models that had proved useful in the past and might have done so again. This highly readable book by Arie Arnon is a wonderful antidote to economists’ short time horizon and contributes mightily to restore the profession’s “collective memory” of the diversity of ideas within macroeconomics.” Professor Dani Rodrik, Harvard Kennedy School

Lessons from the Great Depression

Lessons from the Great Depression
Author: Peter Temin
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 220
Release: 1991-10-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262261197

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Lessons from the Great Depression provides an integrated view of the depression, covering the experience in Britain, France, Germany, and the United States. Do events of the 1930s carry a message for the 1990s? Lessons from the Great Depression provides an integrated view of the depression, covering the experience in Britain, France, Germany, and the United States. It describes the causes of the depression, why it was so widespread and prolonged, and what brought about eventual recovery. Peter Temin also finds parallels in recent history, in the relentless deflationary course followed by the U.S. Federal Reserve Board and the British government in the early 1980s, and in the dogged adherence by the Reagan administration to policies generated by a discredited economic theory—supply-side economics.

The Midas Paradox

The Midas Paradox
Author: Scott B. Sumner
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2015
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781598131505

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Economic historians have made great progress in unraveling the causes of the Great Depression, but not until Scott Sumner came along has anyone explained the multitude of twists and turns the economy took. In The Midas Paradox: Financial Markets, Government Policy Shocks, and the Great Depression, Sumner offers his magnum opus--the first book to comprehensively explain both monetary and non-monetary causes of that cataclysm. Drawing on financial market data and contemporaneous news stories, Sumner shows that the Great Depression is ultimately a story of incredibly bad policymaking--by central bankers, legislators, and two presidents--especially mistakes related to monetary policy and wage rates. He also shows that macroeconomic thought has long been captive to a false narrative that continues to misguide policymakers in their quixotic quest to promote robust and sustainable economic growth. The Midas Paradox is a landmark treatise that solves mysteries that have long perplexed economic historians, and corrects misconceptions about the true causes, consequences, and cures of macroeconomic instability. Like Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz's A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960, it is one of those rare books destined to shape all future research on the subject.

Macroeconomic Paradigms and Economic Policy

Macroeconomic Paradigms and Economic Policy
Author: Nicola Acocella
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 355
Release: 2016-05-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 131667942X

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The recent financial crisis has demonstrated the dangers of ignoring the factors that led to previous crises, and the effectiveness of the policies designed to deal with them. Over time, these macroeconomic policies have evolved, oscillating between state intervention and a free-market approach. Following a story that runs from the pre-Great Depression era up until the Financial Crisis of 2007–11, this book reveals an intimate connection between new macroeconomic ideas and policies and the events in the real economy that inspired them. It does this in an accessible, easy-to-follow style, first by focusing on the developments of economic theories and policies, and then by concentrating on the design of domestic and international institutions and economic governance. Written by three leading experts on the history of economic policy, the book is ideal for graduates and undergraduates studying macroeconomics, monetary policy and the history of economic thought.

America's Great Depression

America's Great Depression
Author: Murray Newton Rothbard
Publisher: Ludwig von Mises Institute
Total Pages: 361
Release: 1972
Genre: Business cycles
ISBN: 1610164806

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Applied Austrian economics doesn't get better than this. Murray N. Rothbard's America's Great Depression is a staple of modern economic literature and crucial for understanding a pivotal event in American and world history. The book remains canonical today because the debate is still very alive. This book applies Austrian business cycle theory to understanding the onset of the 1929 Great Depression. Rothbard first summarizes the Austrian theory and offers a criticism of competing theories, including the views of Keynes. Rothbard then considers Federal Reserve policy in the 1920s, showing its inflationary character. The influence of Benjamin Strong, the Governor of the New York Federal Reserve Bank, was especially important. In part, his expansionary policy was motivated by his desire to help Britain sustain the pound. Strong was close friends with Montagu Norman, the Governor of the Bank of England. After the 1929 crash, Herbert Hoover followed an interventionist policy that prefigured the New Deal. He favored keeping wage rates high and thus contributed to rising unemployment. Against the popular stereotype, Rothbard shows that Hoover was not a partisan of laissez-faire.