Japan’s Foreign Assets and Liabilities: Implications for the External Accounts

Japan’s Foreign Assets and Liabilities: Implications for the External Accounts
Author: Mariana Colacelli
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2021-02-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513568272

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The composition of Japan’s current account balance has changed over time, with an increasing income balance primarily reflecting a growing net foreign asset position and higher corporate saving. A comparison of Japan’s income balance with peer countries highlights: (i) relatively high yields on FDI assets, and (ii) very low FDI liabilities in Japan. Panel estimation is used to derive separate exchange rate elasticities for income credit and debit, with novel accounting that disentangles the mechanical from the economic response to exchange rate fluctuations. Despite the changing composition of Japan’s current account balance, its response to exchange rate movements still operates mostly through the traditional trade channel, with a small but reinforcing contribution from the income balance.

Implications for the Yen of Japanese Current Account Adjustment

Implications for the Yen of Japanese Current Account Adjustment
Author: Maurice Obstfeld
Publisher:
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2006
Genre: Balance of payments
ISBN:

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This paper presents a quantitative evaluation of the effect on the yen of some alternative scenarios under which Japan reaches current account balance. The analytical framework is a global general-equilibrium model, based closely on Obstfeld and Rogoff (2005a, 2005b), within which relative prices clear the world markets for traded goods as well as the domestic markets for nontraded goods. Depending on assumptions about the critical substitution elasticities underlying the model, the yen could appreciate by as much as 10 per cent for each 1 percent of GDP reduction in its current account surplus. The effect would be smaller if substitution elasticities are larger, or if adjustment is accompanied by an expansion of Japanese nontradable output, the latter presumably implied by a return to a more efficient level of labor utilization.--Author's desription.

The Japanese Yen as an International Currency

The Japanese Yen as an International Currency
Author: Mr.George S. Tavlas
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 61
Release: 1991-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451930992

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The role of the Japanese yen as an international currency is assessed. It is found that the determinants of international-currency use imply some increase for the yen’s use in international finance; however, the implications for the yen’s use in international trade are mixed. It is also shown that, despite Japan’s emergence as the world’s largest net creditor nation, Japan’s capital outflows have not significantly facilitated the yen’s internationalization. Data are presented showing that, although the yen’s use as an international currency has increased, it is still rather modest. Wider use of the yen as a regional currency in Asia has occurred, though a “yen-zone” does not appear to be emerging.

Net Foreign Assets and International Adjustment in the United States, Japan and the Federal Republic of Germany

Net Foreign Assets and International Adjustment in the United States, Japan and the Federal Republic of Germany
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 60
Release: 1989-03-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451921144

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This paper examines external adjustment in the U.S., Japan and Germany from the perspective of net foreign asset positions. It asks two questions: What are, in the long run, the determinants of net foreign asset equilibrium? and: What are, in the short run, the adjustment mechanisms sustaining that equilibrium? An analysis of postwar data produces two insights. First, using a cointegration approach, the existence of long-run net foreign asset equilibrium can be identified; in each of the G-3 countries, it is a function of demographic variables and public debt. Second, deviations from the long-run equilibrium give rise to disequilibrium feedback through domestic absorption and through other channels.

Net Foreign Assets and International Adjustment

Net Foreign Assets and International Adjustment
Author: Mr.Paul R. Masson
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 32
Release: 1993-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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This paper examines external adjustment in the United States, Japan and Germany from the perspective of net foreign asset positions. It asks two questions: What are, in the long run, the determinants of net foreign asset equilibrium? and: What are, in the short run, some of the adjustment mechanisms sustaining that equilibrium? An analysis of post-war data produces two insights. First, using a cointegration approach, the existence of long-run net foreign asset equilibrium can be identified: it is a function of demographic variables and public debt. Second, deviations from long-run equilibrium give rise to feedback through different components of domestic absorption in the three countries.

Japan's Public Sector Balance Sheet

Japan's Public Sector Balance Sheet
Author: Yugo Koshima
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 41
Release: 2019-10-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513514520

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This paper compiles and reviews the evolution of Japan’s Public Sector Balance Sheet (PSBS). In the past, large crossholdings of assets and liabilities within the public sector played a role in sustaining a high level of public debt and low interest rates. The Fiscal Investment and Loan Fund (FILF) channeled all postal deposits and pension savings to financing of public sector borrowing. After the FILF refrom in 2000, however, the Post Bank and pension funds shifted their assets to the portfolio investments and are seeking to maximize risk-adjusted returns. This has changed the implications of crossholdings for public debt management. In the future, population aging is expected to add more pressures on the PSBS, which already saw a considerable decrease of net worth over the last three decades.

The External Wealth of Nations

The External Wealth of Nations
Author: Mr. Gian-Maria Milesi-Ferretti
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 59
Release: 1999-08-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451899254

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Capital flows are closely monitored, but surprisingly little is known about the stocks of external assets and liabilities held by countries, especially in the developing world. This paper constructs estimates of foreign assets and liabilities and their equity and debt subcomponents for 66 industrial and developing countries for the period 1970-97. It explores the sensitivity of estimates of stock positions to the treatment of valuation effects not captured in balance of payments data. Finally, it characterizes the stylized facts of estimated stocks and asks whether there are trends in net foreign asset positions and differences in debt-equity ratios across countries.

International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity

International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity
Author: International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 258
Release: 2015-01-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484350162

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This update of the guidelines published in 2001 sets forth the underlying framework for the Reserves Data Template and provides operational advice for its use. The updated version also includes three new appendices aimed at assisting member countries in reporting the required data.

Europe and Global Imbalances

Europe and Global Imbalances
Author: Philip R. Lane
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 66
Release: 2007-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Although Europe in the aggregate is a not a major contributor to global current account imbalances, its trade and financial linkages with the rest of the world mean that it will still be affected by a shift in the current configuration of external deficits and surpluses. We assess the macroeconomic impact on Europe of global current account adjustment under alternative scenarios, emphasizing both trade and financial channels. Finally, we consider heterogeneous exposure across individual European economies to external adjustment shocks.

The Curious Case of the Yen as a Safe Haven Currency

The Curious Case of the Yen as a Safe Haven Currency
Author: Mr.Dennis P. J. Botman
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 21
Release: 2013-11-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475513429

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During risk-off episodes, the yen is a safe haven currency and on average appreciates against the U.S. dollar. We investigate the proximate causes of yen risk-off appreciations. We find that neither capital inflows nor expectations of the future monetary policy stance can explain the yen’s safe haven behavior. In contrast, we find evidence that changes in market participants’ risk perceptions trigger derivatives trading, which in turn lead to changes in the spot exchange rate without capital flows. Specifically, we find that risk-off episodes coincide with forward hedging and reduced net short positions or a buildup of net long positions in yen. These empirical findings suggest that offshore and complex financial transactions should be part of spillover analyses and that the effectiveness of capital flow management measures or monetary policy coordination to address excessive exchange rate volatility might be limited in certain cases.