Iran’s Networks of Influence in the Middle East

Iran’s Networks of Influence in the Middle East
Author: The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 192
Release: 2020-03-31
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1000163040

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Tehran’s ability to fight by, with and through third parties in foreign jurisdictions has become a valuable and effective sovereign capability that gives Iran strategic advantage in the region. Tehran has possessed a form of this capability since the Islamic Revolution in 1979, but its potency and significance have risen sharply in the past decade, to the point where it has brought Iran more regional influence and status than either its nuclear or ballistic-missile programmes. The IISS Strategic Dossier Iran’s Networks of Influence provides an understanding of how Iran builds, operates and uses this capability. Based on original field research, open-source information and interviews with a range of sources, the dossier conducts an audit of Iran’s activities in the principal regional theatres of Iraq, Lebanon, Syria and Yemen, and its reach into Bahrain, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. It includes an examination of Tehran’s nurturing of groups such as the Houthis in Yemen, the Badr Organisation in Iraq, Hizbullah in Lebanon and Shia militias in Syria, and details related to recruitment, weapons supply, logistics and command-and-control systems. Iran’s Networks of Influence is intended through objective, fact-based analysis to inform both policymakers and practitioners, and to stimulate debate on the wider significance of Iran’s use of third-party partners and the strategic depth they afford Tehran. The dossier also examines the advantages that Iran possesses through its recent experience of conflict, and its ability to mobilise and deploy sympathetic Shia communities across theatres. In a time of rising tension in the region, the dossier looks at how Iran might further develop the use of its partnership capability and the risks and constraints it might face.

On Shifting Sands

On Shifting Sands
Author: Afshon Ostovar
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2013
Genre: Arab Spring, 2010-
ISBN:

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"The Middle East is central to Iran's strategic goals. The Islamic Republic's tensions with the United States, its simmering conflict with Israel, and its ongoing rivalry with its Arab neighbors (particularly Saudi Arabia), make the region the primary target of Iran's strategic efforts to build influence and establish deterrence against its enemies. Iran has relied on its robust activities in the region to help it make partnerships, create a client base supportive of its strategic goals, gain leverage over its rivals and competitors, and build links between its economy and those of its neighbors. Although Iran has had success over time in advancing its strategic agenda through these actions, the dramatic upheaval of the Arab Spring and the immense pressures facing Iran (such as sanctions) have forced it to adapt to a turbulent strategic environment. This report examines Iran's Middle East strategy and how this strategy has been impacted by a variety of factors. We argue that a confluence of pressures and changes to the Middle East have proved challenging to Iran's national security and undermined its strategic efforts in the region. Although we look at the historical roots of Iran's strategic perspectives, our temporal and geographic focus is more fixed. Geographically, we look at how Iran's strategy plays out west and south of Iran, primarily in the Persian Gulf (including Iraq and Yemen) and the Levant. Temporally, our concentration is on events of the last few years and especially since the emergence of the Arab Spring in 2011. These parameters enable us to examine the effects of contemporary regional political dynamics on Iran's strategy and behavior in the areas most vital to Iran's interests and deterrence efforts against America and Israel. Though parts of Central, South, and East Asia are also important to aspects of Iranian strategy, they are secondary to Iran's interests in the Middle East, and are beyond the limited scope of this study"--Executive summary.

Iran's Strategy of Influence in the Middle East

Iran's Strategy of Influence in the Middle East
Author: Mohamed S. Alrumaithi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 65
Release: 2010
Genre: Middle East
ISBN:

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As Iran's nuclear capabilities continue to be at the forefront of policy and security issues for many nations, the methods by which Iran perpetuates further instability are equally strategic. Militant-proxy groups, such as Hezbollah, have significant military capabilities, as well as political influence that are the driving forces behind Iran's regional influence. Concurrent to the intensive use of proxies, Iran is deliberately trying to weaken regimes through information framing. Iran's addresses to the Arab world are framed to a specific audience and with the tone of animosity towards the West and non-Muslims. Hezbollah also serves as a viable source for Iran's information framing; while Hezbollah's military and political sphere of influence within Lebanon continues to impose Lebanon's governmental control, Iran has achieved political success under Hezbollah's guise. This thesis explores the symbiotic relationship between Hezbollah and Iran and will center on how Iran has achieved relative success in destabilizing Gulf States. This thesis explores the overarching theme between the use of Hezbollah and information framing and the correlation between the reception of the Gulf region as observable effects of success.

Iran's Networks of Influence in the Middle East

Iran's Networks of Influence in the Middle East
Author: International Institute for Strategic Studies
Publisher:
Total Pages: 200
Release: 2019
Genre: Asymmetric warfare
ISBN: 9780860792185

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"The dossier does not make policy recommendations but is intended through objective, fact-based analysis to inform both policymakers and practitioners. More broadly, it also aims to stimulate debate on what capabilities are required to prevail in contemporary and possible future conflicts. In the case of Iran’s third-party capability, the significance of this in remote, asymmetric and complex warfare will rise and could determine strategic advantage."-- from Introduction.

How Iran Plans to Fight America and Dominate the Middle East

How Iran Plans to Fight America and Dominate the Middle East
Author: Gabriel G. Tabarani
Publisher: AuthorHouse
Total Pages: 438
Release: 2008
Genre: History
ISBN: 9781438918327

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With the creeping possibility of a nuclear breakout, its vigorous sponsorship of international non-state armed groups and its escalating intervention next door in Iraq, Lebanon and the Palestinian Territories; the Islamic Republic of Iran is a triple threat - at least - to international security and America and Western's Middle Eastern interests. Indeed, perhaps no country, according to the West, fits the definition of rogue state as well as Iran does. Making matters worse, Iran's confidence and clout in the region - and beyond - are indubitably on the rise. But that is only the beginning. Shiite Persian Iran is not content with being just an inconsequential pariah. Iran has grand ambitions. Tehran wants to be the predominant state in the Middle East, replacing the United States as the region's power broker and lording over its Sunni Arab neighbours. With the fall of its most fearsome competitors for regional pre-eminence - Iraq's Saddam Hussein and Afghanistan's Taliban - Iran is unabashedly reasserting itself on the international stage. Buoyed by high energy prices, emboldened by continuing American challenges in Iraq and Afghanistan, encouraged by consistent, unimpeded progress in its nuclear program and the increased influence of its extremist allies - Hamas and Hizbollah - Iran has its eye on becoming the regional hegemony. So the question here: How Iran plans to fight America, Israel and the West and dominate the Middle East? Gabriel G. Tabarani, who is an Expert on Middle East Affairs, will try to give the answer on this question in this book through a fair and balanced information, analysis, arguments, examination, and recommendations which will clear every point concerning the Iranian ambitions and the USA strategy to confront them.

Iran Resurgent

Iran Resurgent
Author: Mahan Abedin
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages:
Release: 2019-07-15
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 178738277X

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Iran has emerged from decades of isolation and struggle to become a leading, if not the pre-eminent, regional power. Iran projects its influence throughout the Middle East and parts of Central Asia. Moreover, Iranian diplomacy is active on the world stage, with long-term projects in Africa and South America. The landmark nuclear deal of July 2015 was a major triumph and saw the Islamic Republic successfully negotiate with several world powers to reach a mutually acceptable agreement. Crucially, whilst the nuclear deal restricts Iran's nuclear programmed for at least a decade, it doesn't irreversibly dismantle any part of it. With internal Iranian politics stabilizing around a centrist administration led by President Rouhani, the country is set to continue on a path of regional strategic growth. But with clear signs that the Trump administration is determined to contain Iran's regional influence, what is the risk of a military confrontation? This book argues that Iran has developed sufficient diplomatic strength and credible military capability to deter a full-scale US military assault. But absent a dramatic lowering of tensions, there remains a risk of limited clashes, with far-reaching consequences for regional security.

Dangerous But Not Omnipotent

Dangerous But Not Omnipotent
Author: Frederic M. Wehrey
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Total Pages: 233
Release: 2009
Genre: History
ISBN: 0833045547

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"Within this context, this report aims to provide policy planners with a new framework for anticipating and preparing for the strategic challenges Iran will present over the next ten to fifteen years. In an analysis grounded in the observation that although Iranian power projection is marked by strengths, it also has serious liabilities and limitations, this report assesses four critical areas - the Iranian regime's perception of itself as a regional and even global power, Iran's conventional military buildup and aspirations for asymmetric warfare, its support to Islamist militant groups, and its appeal to Arab public opinion. Based on this assessment, the report offers a new U.S. policy paradigm that seeks to manage the challenges Iran presents through the exploitation of regional barriers to its power and sources of caution in the regime's strategic calculus."--BOOK JACKET.

Which Path to Persia?

Which Path to Persia?
Author: Kenneth M. Pollack
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Total Pages: 255
Release: 2009-10-01
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0815703791

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Crafting a new policy toward Iran is a complicated, uncertain, and perilous challenge. Since it is an extremely complex society, with an opaque political system, it is no wonder that the United States has not yet figured out the puzzle that is Iran. With the clock ticking on Iran's pursuit of nuclear capabilities, solving this puzzle is more urgent than ever. In Which Path to Persia? a group of experts with the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at Brookings lays out the courses of action available to the United States. What are the benefits and drawbacks of airstrikes? Can engagement be successful? Is regime change possible? In answering such questions, the authors do not argue for one approach over another. Instead, they present the details of the policies so that readers can understand the complexity of the challenge and decide for themselves which course the United States should take.

Temperature Rising

Temperature Rising
Author: Nader Uskowi
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Total Pages: 227
Release: 2018-11-09
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1538121743

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Iran is a country at war – in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen. The founder of the Islamic Republic, Ayatollah Khomeini, always told audiences that the revolution was not about Iran, but the whole region. To establish an arc of Shia influence across the Middle East, the Islamic Republic created the Quds Force, the extraterritorial branch of its Revolutionary Guards. Hundreds of thousands of Shia youths were recruited, trained, armed, and organized in militia groups across the region. The book tells the story of how the Quds Force and its Shia militias fought on the three fronts to advance the Islamic Republic’s militant interpretation of Shia Islam and create a contiguous land corridor linking Iran through Iraq to Syria, Lebanon, and the Israeli northern fronts. The Iran-led operations are creating enormous political and security challenges for the Sunni Arabs and all regional powers, creating further instabilities in an already turbulent Middle East, with specters of direct military conflicts looming, pitting Iran against the Arab states and Israel.

The Saudi-Iranian Rivalry and the Future of Middle East Security

The Saudi-Iranian Rivalry and the Future of Middle East Security
Author: Andrew Terrill
Publisher:
Total Pages: 94
Release: 2019-07-25
Genre:
ISBN: 9781082491726

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Saudi Arabia and Iran have often behaved as serious rivals for influence in the Middle East and especially the Gulf area since at least Iran's 1979 Islamic Revolution and the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq War. While both nations define themselves as Islamic, the differences between their foreign policies could hardly be more dramatic. In most respects, Saudi Arabia is a regional status quo power, while Iran often seeks revolutionary change throughout the Gulf area and the wider Middle East with varying degrees of intensity. Saudi Arabia also has strong ties with Western nations, while Iran views the United States as its most dangerous enemy. Perhaps the most important difference between the two nations is that Saudi Arabia is a conservative Sunni Muslim Arab state, while Iran is a Shi'ite state whose senior politicians often view their country as the defender and natural leader of Shi'ites throughout the region. The rivalry between Riyadh and Tehran has been reflected in the politics of a number of regional states where these two powers exercise influence including Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, Egypt, Bahrain and others.The 2011 wave of pro-democracy and anti-regime protests known as the "Arab Spring" introduced new concerns for both Saudi Arabia and Iran to consider within the framework of their regional priorities. The Saudi-Iranian rivalry is therefore likely to intensify as a central feature in the Middle Eastern security landscape that reaches into both the Gulf region and the Arab-Israeli theater. This is a reality that will touch upon the interests of the United States in a number of situations. In many instances, Saudi opposition to Iran will serve U.S. interests, but this will not occur under all circumstances. Saudi Arabia remains a deeply anti-revolutionary state with values and priorities which sometimes overlap with those of Washington on matters of strategic interest and often conflict over matters of reform and democracy for other Middle Eastern states. Additionally, in seeking to support Middle Eastern stability, the United States must be prepared to mediate between Riyadh and Baghdad, and thereby help to limit Iranian efforts to insert itself into Iraqi politics.