The Effect of Anticipated Tax Changes on Intertemporal Labor Supply and the Realization of Taxable Income

The Effect of Anticipated Tax Changes on Intertemporal Labor Supply and the Realization of Taxable Income
Author: Adam Looney
Publisher:
Total Pages: 64
Release: 2006
Genre: Families
ISBN:

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We use anticipated changes in tax rates associated with changes in family composition to estimate intertemporal labor supply elasticities and elasticities of taxable income with respect to the net-of-tax wage rate. Changes in the ages of children can affect marginal tax rates through provisions of the tax code that are tied to child age and dependent status. We identify behavioral responses to these tax changes by comparing families who experienced a tax rate change to families who had a similar change in dependents but no resulting tax rate change. A primary advantage of our approach is that these changes can be anticipated, allowing us to estimate substitution effects that are not confounded by life-cycle income effects. We estimate an intertemporal elasticity of family labor earnings of 0.75 for families earning between $35,000 and $85,000 in the Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) and find very similar estimates using the IRS-NBER individual tax panel.

The Effects of Recent Tax Reforms on Labor Supply

The Effects of Recent Tax Reforms on Labor Supply
Author: Thomas J. Kniesner
Publisher: A E I Press
Total Pages: 57
Release: 1998
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780844770871

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The authors determine how progressive taxation of both wage and capital incomes affects the lifetime supply of labour, and they show the extent to which the tax reforms of the 1980s reduced the economic burden of progressive taxation.

The Economic Effects of Comprehensive Tax Reform

The Economic Effects of Comprehensive Tax Reform
Author:
Publisher: Congress
Total Pages: 168
Release: 1997
Genre: Income tax
ISBN:

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I. Introduction -- II. Recent tax reform proposals -- III. Effects on the macroeconomy -- IV. Effects on the allocation of resources -- V. Effects on economic efficiency -- Appendix A. What will a consumption-based tax do to the price level and the value of existing assets? -- Appendix B. Simulation models and the saving response -- Appendix C. Fullerton-Rogers General-equilibrium model.

Estimating Life Cycle Labor Supply Tax Effects

Estimating Life Cycle Labor Supply Tax Effects
Author: James P. Ziliak
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 1999
Genre:
ISBN:

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We present an econometrically tractable life cycle labor supply model for panel data including intertemporally progressive taxes on uncertain wage and nonwage incomes. Our two-stage fixed-effects generalized method-of-moments approach first estimates intratemporal and then intertemporal preferences. Specification testing demonstrates the value of incorporating joint progressive taxation of labor and nonlabor incomes. Results for prime-age men emphasize the roles played by hourly wage endogeneity, worker-specific effects, the measure of the rate of pay, and intertemporal budget constraint nonseparability. Simulations indicate that recent tax reforms, while not self-financing, stimulated male labor supplied by about 3 percent and reduced deadweight loss by about 16 percent.

The Impact of Labor Taxes on Labor Supply

The Impact of Labor Taxes on Labor Supply
Author: Richard Rogerson
Publisher: AEI Press
Total Pages: 129
Release: 2010-06-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0844743577

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As the Bush-era tax cuts are set to expire in 2010, ambitious health care legislation is moving through Congress, and entitlement programs are growing at unsustainable rates, U.S. policymakers face important questions about the optimal size and scope of federal spending. The federal government finances its spending through labor taxes, including taxes on income, payroll, and consumption-taxes that generate significant disincentives for employment. In Taxes, Transfers, and Labor Supply: An International Perspective, Richard Rogerson contends that the unintended consequences of increased labor taxes would be too large for policymakers to ignore. Rogerson compares fifty years of time series data from the United States and fourteen other OECD countries. He finds that a 10 percentage point increase in the tax rate on labor leads to a 10 to 15 percent decrease in hours of work. Even a 5 percent decrease in hours worked would mean a decline in labor market productivity equating to a serious recession. But, whereas recessions are temporary, changes in government spending patterns have permanent repercussions. Although government spending provides citizens with many important benefits, these benefits must be weighed against the disincentivizing effects of increased labor taxes. Policymakers who fail to account for this decrease in labor productivity risk expanding government programs beyond the economy's ability to support them.

Tax Reform and the Dutch Labor Market

Tax Reform and the Dutch Labor Market
Author: Ary Lans Bovenberg
Publisher:
Total Pages: 116
Release: 1998
Genre: Economics
ISBN:

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This paper employs MIMIC, an applied general equilibrium model of the Dutch economy, to explore various tax cuts aimed at combating unemployment and raising labor supply. MIMIC combines modern labor-market theories, a firm empirical foundation detailed description of Dutch labor-market institutions. We develop a small aggregate model which contains the core of MIMIC, namely wage setting, job matching, labor supply demand. In addition to illustrating the main economic mechanisms in MIMIC shows the advantages of employing a larger, more disaggregated model that accounts for heterogeneity, institutional details, and more economic mechanisms. Targeting in-work benefits at the low skilled is the most effective way to cut economy-wide unemployment quality and quantity of labor supply. Cuts in social security contributions paid by employers and subsidies for hiring long-term unemployed reduce unskilled unemployment most substantially. Tax cuts in the higher tax brackets boost the quantity and quality of formal labor supply but are less effective in reducing unemployment and in raising unskilled employment and female labor supply.