Extreme-Downside-Risk Spillover from the United States and Japan to Asian-Pacific Stock Markets

Extreme-Downside-Risk Spillover from the United States and Japan to Asian-Pacific Stock Markets
Author: Lu Liu
Publisher:
Total Pages: 30
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:
GET BOOK

Download Extreme-Downside-Risk Spillover from the United States and Japan to Asian-Pacific Stock Markets Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This paper proposes a probit approach to measure and forecast extreme downside risks in Asian Pacific markets given information on extreme negative shocks in the U.S. and Japanese markets. The extreme downside risk of a market is measured as the occurrence of market returns falling below left-tail Value at Risk in a Markov switching framework. The empirical findings are consistent with the following notions. First, extreme downside movements of the S&P 500 and Nikkei 225 are significantly predictive for extreme downside movements in all of the investigated Asian-Pacific markets. Second, the majority of Asian-Pacific markets become more sensitive to the Japan's extreme negative shocks when the Japanese market switches into turbulent periods, whereas the U.S. spillover effect is enhanced only on Taiwan during the U.S. turbulent periods. Third, mainland China is overall the least affected by the extreme negative shocks in the United States and Japan, while Australia is the most sensitive to the United States and Singapore is the most vulnerable to Japan.

The Spillover Effects of U.S. and Japanese Public Information News in Advanced Asia-Pacific Stock Markets

The Spillover Effects of U.S. and Japanese Public Information News in Advanced Asia-Pacific Stock Markets
Author: Suk-Joong Kim
Publisher:
Total Pages: 27
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:
GET BOOK

Download The Spillover Effects of U.S. and Japanese Public Information News in Advanced Asia-Pacific Stock Markets Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This paper investigates the nature of information leadership of the U.S. and Japan in the advanced Asia-Pacific stock markets. Instead of just relying on return and return volatility spillovers from major markets, specific and disaggregated news events are also utilized. In particular, the aim is to examine the nature of spillover effects of scheduled announcements of the U.S. and Japanese macroeconomic variables in the advanced Asia-Pacific stock markets of Australia, Hong Kong and Singapore for the period 2 January 1991 to 31 May 1999. The investigation reveals that both U.S. and Japanese announcement news elicit significant first and second moment influences on the returns of the other markets, in general, and that there is a complex array of significant market responses to various news announcements. There is also strong evidence of markets responding differently to bad news announcements compared to overall news (including both good and bad news) announcements which indicate that the information content of each economic announcement is a source of tradable information rather than the act of releasing economic figures. Thus, this paper contributes to the literature by shedding light on the important drivers of the documented information leadership of the U.S. and Japanese stock markets.

Volatility Spillover Among Stock Markets in Six Asian Countries and the United States

Volatility Spillover Among Stock Markets in Six Asian Countries and the United States
Author: Sang Jin Lee
Publisher:
Total Pages: 22
Release: 2009
Genre:
ISBN:
GET BOOK

Download Volatility Spillover Among Stock Markets in Six Asian Countries and the United States Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This article examines the volatility spillover effects among six Asian country stock markets and the United States. The six Asian countries are India, Hong Kong, South Korea, Japan, Singapore, and Taiwan. This article also investigates whether the volatility spillover effect increased after the 1997 Asian financial crisis. There are statistically significant volatility spillover effects within the stock markets of these countries and that effect dramatically increased after the 1997 Asian financial crisis. Especially, the regionally close five countries Hong Kong, South Korea, Japan, Singapore, and Taiwan experienced more links among them.

Permanent and Transitory Driving Forces in the Asian-Pacific Stock Markets

Permanent and Transitory Driving Forces in the Asian-Pacific Stock Markets
Author: Ali F. Darrat
Publisher:
Total Pages: 28
Release: 2001
Genre:
ISBN:
GET BOOK

Download Permanent and Transitory Driving Forces in the Asian-Pacific Stock Markets Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This paper uses weekly data from November 1987 through May 1999 to examine whether U.S. or Japan stock market (or both ) is the main driving force behind major movements in eleven emerging Asian-Pacific stock markets. We find a robust cointegrating relation linking each of the emerging market with the two matured markets of the U.S. and Japan. The results also show that the U.S., rather than Japan, is the main permanent force driving the equilibrium relations across all Asian-Pacific markets. In contrast, the effect of the Japanese market on the Asian-Pacific region is only transitory. Therefore, strategic asset portfolios in the Asian-Pacific region should include Japanese stocks to diversify any country specific risks. As to U.S. investors, the persistent influence of the U.S. market effectively limits long-run diversification gains from Asian-Pacific stocks.diversification.

Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics

Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics
Author: Seungho Jung
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2021-10-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1557759677
GET BOOK

Download Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has experienced large and unpredictable geopolitical swings that originate from North Korea. To do so, a monthly index of geopolitical risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the occurrence of nuclear tests, missile launches, or military confrontations, and decreases significantly around the times of summit meetings or multilateral talks. Using firm-level data, we find that heightened geopolitical risk reduces stock returns, and that the reductions in stock returns are greater especially for large firms, firms with a higher share of domestic investors, and for firms with a higher ratio of fixed assets to total assets. These results suggest that international portfolio diversification and investment irreversibility are important channels through which geopolitical risk affects stock returns.

Revitalising Asean Economies In A Post-covid-19 World: Socioeconomic Issues In The New Normal

Revitalising Asean Economies In A Post-covid-19 World: Socioeconomic Issues In The New Normal
Author: Hooi Hooi Lean
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 283
Release: 2022-05-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9811228485
GET BOOK

Download Revitalising Asean Economies In A Post-covid-19 World: Socioeconomic Issues In The New Normal Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic was reported in China in December 2019, and later spread to other parts of the world. Countries in Southeast Asia were some of the first nations affected by the pandemic due to their geographical proximities and trade relations with China. In January 2020, the virus spread to some countries within the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). The number of confirmed cases kept increasing within ASEAN and other countries of the world. Consequently, countries in ASEAN introduced preventive and containment measures to cope with the pandemic, which include quarantines, lockdowns, restrictions of movements and large gatherings, as well as school and business closures.Beyond the efforts of preventing and containing the spread of the virus, ASEAN's most significant challenges are the social and economic crisis of historic proportions that are beginning to unfold. COVID-19 pandemic has brought interruptions in all sectors of ASEAN economies. It is, therefore, imperative to assess the extent to which the pandemic has impacted the social and economic aspects of the region. This book intends to highlight the social and economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic in ASEAN and suggest ways on how to mitigate them. It covers how the shocks from COVID-19 have impacted production, supply chains, demand, commodity prices, consumer behaviour, financial markets, employment, services, transportation and community, and the various policies that ASEAN authorities should put in place to mitigate the effects of the pandemic.

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report
Author: Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission
Publisher: Cosimo, Inc.
Total Pages: 692
Release: 2011-05-01
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1616405414
GET BOOK

Download The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report, published by the U.S. Government and the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in early 2011, is the official government report on the United States financial collapse and the review of major financial institutions that bankrupted and failed, or would have without help from the government. The commission and the report were implemented after Congress passed an act in 2009 to review and prevent fraudulent activity. The report details, among other things, the periods before, during, and after the crisis, what led up to it, and analyses of subprime mortgage lending, credit expansion and banking policies, the collapse of companies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the federal bailouts of Lehman and AIG. It also discusses the aftermath of the fallout and our current state. This report should be of interest to anyone concerned about the financial situation in the U.S. and around the world.THE FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION is an independent, bi-partisan, government-appointed panel of 10 people that was created to "examine the causes, domestic and global, of the current financial and economic crisis in the United States." It was established as part of the Fraud Enforcement and Recovery Act of 2009. The commission consisted of private citizens with expertise in economics and finance, banking, housing, market regulation, and consumer protection. They examined and reported on "the collapse of major financial institutions that failed or would have failed if not for exceptional assistance from the government."News Dissector DANNY SCHECHTER is a journalist, blogger and filmmaker. He has been reporting on economic crises since the 1980's when he was with ABC News. His film In Debt We Trust warned of the economic meltdown in 2006. He has since written three books on the subject including Plunder: Investigating Our Economic Calamity (Cosimo Books, 2008), and The Crime Of Our Time: Why Wall Street Is Not Too Big to Jail (Disinfo Books, 2011), a companion to his latest film Plunder The Crime Of Our Time. He can be reached online at www.newsdissector.com.

Information Spillover Effect and Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models

Information Spillover Effect and Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models
Author: Xiangli Liu
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 216
Release: 2014-07-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1317667654
GET BOOK

Download Information Spillover Effect and Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This book studies the information spillover among financial markets and explores the intraday effect and ACD models with high frequency data. This book also contributes theoretically by providing a new statistical methodology with comparative advantages for analyzing comovements between two time series. It explores this new method by testing the information spillover between the Chinese stock market and the international market, futures market and spot market. Using the high frequency data, this book investigates the intraday effect and examines which type of ACD model is particularly suited in capturing financial duration dynamics. The book will be of invaluable use to scholars and graduate students interested in comovements among different financial markets and financial market microstructure and to investors and regulation departments looking to improve their risk management.

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets
Author: Suk-Joong Kim
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 537
Release: 2007-12-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0762314710
GET BOOK

Download Asia-Pacific Financial Markets Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This volume of "International Finance Review" focuses on the Asia-Pacific financial markets. A total of 22 original papers, not published elsewhere, have been selected from a competitive field. These papers utilize a variety of methods, including theoretical, empirical and qualitative to highlight a range of issues across the region. Several papers offer combinations of these different categories and among the empirical papers, there are a wide variety of datasets analyzed. While China does play a significant part in the analysis of five of the papers in this volume (this is to be expected given its importance in the region), a host of other countries are also considered. This ensures the volume is truly international in its scope. These papers each serve to contribute to the knowledge on a particular issue related to the financial markets within this region and for this volume, three main issues have been identified: integration, innovation and challenges. Articles are contributed by experts in their fields. It is truly international in scope.