External Debt, Capital Flight and Political Risk

External Debt, Capital Flight and Political Risk
Author: Alberto Alesina
Publisher:
Total Pages: 64
Release: 1988
Genre: Capital
ISBN:

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This paper provides an explanation of the simultaneous occurrence of large accumulation of external debt, private capital outflow and relatively low domestic capital formation in developing countries. We consider a general equilibrium model in which two types of government with conflicting distributional goals randomly alternate in office. Uncertainty over the fiscal policies of future governments generates private capital flight and small domestic investment. This political uncertainty also provides the incentives for the current government to over accumulate external debt. The model also predicts that left wing governments are more inclined to impose restrictions on capital outflows than right wing governments. Finally, we examine how political uncertainty affects the risk premium charged by lenders and how debt repudiation may occur after a change of political regime.

External Debt, Capital Flight and Political Risk

External Debt, Capital Flight and Political Risk
Author: Alberto F. Alesina
Publisher:
Total Pages: 45
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper provides an explanation of the simultaneous occurrence of large accumulation of external debt, private capital outflow and relatively low domestic capital formation in developing countries. We consider a general equilibrium model in which two types of government with conflicting distributional goals randomly alternate in office. Uncertainty over the fiscal policies of future governments generates private capital flight and small domestic investment. This political uncertainty also provides the incentives for the current government to over accumulate external debt. The model also predicts that left wing governments are more inclined to impose restrictions on capital outflows than right wing governments. Finally, we examine how political uncertainty affects the risk premium charged by lenders and how debt repudiation may occur after a change of political regime.

Capital Flight From Developing Countries

Capital Flight From Developing Countries
Author: Benu Varman-Schneider
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 174
Release: 2019-03-07
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0429715005

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In this book, the author defines, measures, and explains the phenomenon of capital flight from developing countries. She attempts to incorporate the causes of capital flight in the measurement procedure.

Capital Flight and Capital Controls in Developing Countries

Capital Flight and Capital Controls in Developing Countries
Author: Gerald A. Epstein
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 368
Release: 2005-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781781008058

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Capital flight - the unrecorded export of capital from developing countries - often represents a significant cost for developing countries. It also poses a puzzle for standard economic theory, which would predict that poorer countries be importers of capital due to its scarcity. This situation is often reversed, however, with capital fleeing poorer countries for wealthier, capital-abundant locales. Using a common methodology for a set of case studies on the size, causes and consequences of capital flight in developing countries, the contributors address the extent of capital flight, its effects, and what can be done to reverse it. Case studies of Brazil, China, Chile, South Africa, Thailand, Turkey and the Middle East provide rich descriptions of the capital flight phenomena in a variety of contexts. The volume includes a detailed description of capital flight estimation methods, a chapter surveying the impact of financial liberalization, and several chapters on controls designed to solve the capital flight problem. The first book devoted to the careful calculation of capital flight and its historical and policy context, this volume will be of great interest to students and scholars in the areas of international finance and economic development.

Capital Flight

Capital Flight
Author: Donald R. Lessard
Publisher:
Total Pages: 280
Release: 1987
Genre: Political Science
ISBN:

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Country Risk Analysis

Country Risk Analysis
Author: Ronald L. Solberg
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 337
Release: 2002-09-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1134898428

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Country-Risk Analysis is a comprehensive, practical guide to the management of international risk and cross-border lending. The last fifteen years of international commercial bank lending have witnessed a classical boom-and-bust cycle. Yet it is only recently that a formalized approach to country risk assessment has been implemented in the major international banks. Ron Solberg's volume provides a state-of-the-art review of the country risk techniques that have evolved in the context of dramatic changes in developing countries' debt service capacity and in international lending itself. It deals comprehensively with sovereign credit decision making, portfolio management, lending behaviour and financial innovations.