Export Dependence and Sustainability of Growth in China

Export Dependence and Sustainability of Growth in China
Author: Yilmaz Akyz
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper examines the contribution of exports to growth in China since the early years of the decade. It is estimated that, despite a high import content ranging between 40 and 50 percent, approximately one-third of Chinese growth before the global crisis was a result of exports, due to their phenomenal growth of some 25 percent per annum. This figure increases to 50 percent if spillovers to consumption and investment are allowed for. The main reason for excessive dependence on foreign markets is underconsumption. This is due not so much to a high share of household savings in GDP as to a low share of household income and a high share of profits. It is argued that China can no longer maintain such high growth rates for its exports, and, therefore, needs to turn to consumption-led growth by expanding the share of wages and household income in GDP and accelerating public spending in social infrastructure.

Is China's Export-Oriented Growth Sustainable?

Is China's Export-Oriented Growth Sustainable?
Author: Kai Guo
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2009-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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This paper assesses the sustainability of China's export-oriented growth over the medium to longer term. It shows that maintaining the current export-oriented growth would require significant gains in market share through lower prices in a range of industries. This, in turn, could be achieved through a combination of increases in productivity, lower profits, and higher implicit or explicit subsidies to industry. However, the evidence suggest that it will prove difficult to accommodate such price reductions within existing profit margins or through productivity gains. Moving up the value-added chain, shifting the composition of exports, diversifying the export base, and increasing domestic value added of exports could give room to further export expansion. However, experiences from Asian economies that had similar export-oriented growth suggest there are limits to the global market share a country can occupy. Rebalancing growth toward private consumption would provide a large impetus to output growth and reduce the need for gaining further market share.

China's Economy in Transition

China's Economy in Transition
Author: Mr.Anoop Singh
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 292
Release: 2013-11-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484303938

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China's current account surplus has declined to around one-quarter the peak reached before the global financial crisis. While this is a major reduction in China's external imbalance, it has not been accompanied by a decisive shift toward consumption-based growth. Instead, the compression in its external surplus has been accomplished through increasing fixed investment so that it is now an even higher share of China's national economy. This increasing reliance on fixed investment as the main driver of China's growth raises questions about the durability of the compression in the external surplus and the sustainability of the current growth model that has had unprecedented success in lifting about 500 million people out of poverty over the last three decades. This volume examines various aspects of the rebalancing process underway in China, highlighting policy lessons for achieving stable, sustainable, and inclusive growth.

China's Economic Growth: Towards Sustainable Economic Development and Social Justice

China's Economic Growth: Towards Sustainable Economic Development and Social Justice
Author: John Joshua
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 210
Release: 2016-12-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1137594039

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This two-volume book addresses the economic transformation occurring in China at present. The author investigates China's domestic and international policies, the impact of these policies on economic growth, and their effect on the quality of life for the people of China. In the first volume, the author distinguishes between economic growth and sustainable economic development, and discusses China's current and past economic policies towards growth. Chapters also explore the structural transformation of China's economy and its increasingly consumer-oriented nature. The second volume looks more specifically at the result of domestic policies on the quality of life for people living in China. The author examines the distribution of income, the alleviation of poverty, the Chinese education system, and the environmental cost of economic growth. These volumes will be of particular interest to researchers and scholars concerned with China's emerging economic power.

China's Economic Growth and Transition

China's Economic Growth and Transition
Author: Clement Allan Tisdell
Publisher: Nova Publishers
Total Pages: 546
Release: 1997
Genre: China
ISBN:

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Contains updated papers from an international conference held in Brisbane, Australia, centering on China's economic reforms and economic growth, regional issues and property rights in China, environmental issues and land use, and science and technology policies. Specific topics include China's market reforms and its new forms of scientific and business alliances, sustainable land use in the Three-Gorges area, and inter-village income inequality in China. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Greening China

Greening China
Author: Ka Zeng
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
Total Pages: 250
Release: 2019-02-28
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0472901192

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“The authors make some very critical interventions in this debate and scholars engaged in the environmental ‘pollution haven’ and ‘race to the bottom’ debates will need to take the arguments made here seriously, re-evaluating their own preferred theories to respond to the insightful theorizing and empirically rigorous testing that Zeng and Eastin present in the book.” —Ronald Mitchell, University of Oregon China has earned a reputation for lax environmental standards that allegedly attract corporations more interested in profit than in moral responsibility and, consequently, further negate incentives to raise environmental standards. Surprisingly, Ka Zeng and Joshua Eastin find that international economic integration with nation-states that have stringent environmental regulations facilitates the diffusion of corporate environmental norms and standards to Chinese provinces. At the same time, concerns about “green” tariffs imposed by importing countries encourage Chinese export-oriented firms to ratchet up their own environmental standards. The authors present systematic quantitative and qualitative analyses and data that not only demonstrate the ways in which external market pressure influences domestic environmental policy but also lend credence to arguments for the ameliorative effect of trade and foreign direct investment on the global environment.

How Important Is Exports and FDI for China's Economic Growth?

How Important Is Exports and FDI for China's Economic Growth?
Author: Yuqing Xing
Publisher:
Total Pages: 20
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

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The Global Financial Crisis and the recent slowdown of China's growth have led to questions about the sustainability of China's growth. The argument is that, China is too dependent on external demand and that it needs to “rebalance” its economy toward domestic consumption. However, conventional measures of external: net exports-over-GDP and exports-over-GDP are biased and do not accurately measure the contribution of external demand to GDP growth. In this paper, we propose two measures that are simple modifications of the conventional measures. We argue that our proposed measures provide a more accurate estimate of the vulnerability of China's economy to external shocks, in the form of exports and FDI. Our estimates show that in 2001, exports and FDI accounted for 18.2% of GDP growth and by 2004 the share rose to 49 percent. During 2005-2007, the contribution of exports and FDI to growth remained in the range of 38-40 percent. Our estimates also show that the impressive recovery of the Chinese economy in the post-crisis period owed at least 53% of its growth to exports and FDI. Based on these results, we conclude that the Chinese economy remains highly dependent on external demand in the form of exports and FDI, and re-balancing the economy towards domestic demand has not been achieved yet.

China’s Economic Growth

China’s Economic Growth
Author: Mr.Athanasios Vamvakidis
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 25
Release: 2010-07-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1455201766

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This paper presents some facts on China’s role in the world economy and measures the impact of China’s growth on growth in the rest of the world in the short and long term. Short-run estimates based on VARs and error-correction models suggest that spillover effects of China’s growth have increased in recent decades. Long-term spillover effects, estimated through growth regressions based on panel data, are also significant and have extended in recent decades beyond Asia. The estimates are robust to the effects of global and regional shocks, changes in model specification, and sample period.