Exchange Rate Volatility in Integrating Capital Markets
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Release | : 1990 |
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Release | : 1990 |
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Author | : Giancarlo Corsetti |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 52 |
Release | : 1990 |
Genre | : Capital market |
ISBN | : |
This paper investigates the relationship between international capital liberalization and exchange rate volatility. While the effects of a capital controls liberalization on the transaction volume in the foreign exchange market are theoretically unambiguous, the effects on the volatility of exchange rate can have either sign. On one hand, the liberalization leads to increasing economy-wide and investor-specific uncertainty. On the other hand, the augiented number of participants in the market should reduce exchange rate fluctuations. The uncertainty effects should be dominant in the short run, while the increase in the number of traders in the longer run should make the market thicker and tend to reduce volatility. It is shown that, for a sample of countries which have liberalized capital controls in the last 15 years, structural breaks in the process generating exchange rate volatility have occurred very close to the time when liberalization measures were implemented. The results also suggest an increase in volatility after the structural breakpoint.
Author | : Giancarlo Corsetti |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 23 |
Release | : 1990 |
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Author | : Mathias Hoffmann |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 49 |
Release | : 2008 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9783865583857 |
How does international financial integration affect national price levels? To analyze this question, this paper formulates a two-country open economy sticky-price model under either segmented or complete asset markets. It is shown that the effect of financial integration, i.e. moving from segmented to complete asset markets, is regime-dependent. Under managed exchange rates, financial integration raises the national price level. Under floating exchange rates, however, financial integration lowers national price levels. Thus, the paper proposes a novel argument to rationalize systematic deviations from PPP. Panel evidence for 54 countries supports the main findings. A 10% larger ratio of foreign assets and liabilities to GDP, our measure of international financial integration, increases the national price level by 0.27 percentage points under fixed and intermediate exchange rate regimes and lowers the price level by 0.3 percentage points under floating exchange rates.
Author | : Maurice Obstfeld |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 386 |
Release | : 2004 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780521671798 |
This book is an economic survey of international capital mobility from the late nineteenth century to the present.
Author | : Piet Sercu |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 176 |
Release | : 2000-06-19 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0521562945 |
Sercu and Uppal examine volatility of exchange rates in the context of dynamic general equilibrium models.
Author | : Y. C. Lum |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 1149 |
Release | : 2020-09-02 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1000172589 |
This book provides a technical and specialised discussion of contemporary and emerging issues in foreign exchange and financial markets by addressing the issues of risk management and theory and hypothesis development, which have general implications for finance theory and foreign exchange market management. It offers an in-depth, comprehensive analysis of the issues concerning the volatility of exchange rates. The book has three main objectives. First, it applies the integrated study of exchange rate volatility in terms of depth and breadth. Second, it applies the integrated study of exchange rate volatility in Malaysia, as a case study of a developing country. Malaysia had imposed capital control measures in the past and has now liberalised its exchange rate market and will continue to liberalise it further in the long run. Hence, the need to understand exchange rate volatility measurement and management will be even more important in the future. Third, the book highlights new conditional volatility models for a developing country, such as Malaysia, and develops advanced econometric models which have produced results for sound risk management strategies and for achieving risk management in the financial market and the economy. Additionally, the authors recommend risk management themes which may be of relevance to other developing countries. This work can be used as a reference book by fund managers, financial market analysts, researchers, academics, practitioners, policy makers and postgraduate students in the areas of finance, accounting, business and financial economics. It can also be a supplementary text for Ph.D. and Masters’ students in these areas.
Author | : Mr.Michael Mussa |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 66 |
Release | : 1993-12-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 145195039X |
This paper discusses the extent to which national capital markets have become linked, and identifies several of the more important consequences of that increased degree of integration. Alternative approaches to the measurement of capital market integration are reviewed, including deviations from the law of one price, differences between actual and optimally diversified portfolios, correlations between domestic investment and domestic saving, and cross-country links in consumption behavior. Two recent episodes of large-scale international capital flows—namely, the turmoil in the European Monetary System in the fall of 1992, and the surge of capital inflows into Latin America during the last three years—are examined for insights into the workings of today’s global capital market. Finally, the paper offers some concluding remarks on the future development of international capital markets, on exchange rate management, on alternative approaches to living with larger and more influential financial markets, and on the financing of investment in the formerly centrally planned economies.
Author | : Irfan Ahmed |
Publisher | : LAP Lambert Academic Publishing |
Total Pages | : 76 |
Release | : 2012-06 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9783659142321 |
The rapid increase in the globalization of world financial markets and greater volatility transfer among the markets lead researchers to the exploration of factors that drive international financial integration and volatility. This study investigates extensively the integration of various segments of financial markets (i.e. money market, lending and deposit market, exchange rate market, and capital market) both domestically and internationally. Based on the results of cointegration analysis, it is found that domestic money market variables are integrated. There is no cointegration between money market and capital market of Pakistan. Similarly, no evidence of cointegration is found between money market and exchange rate market and between capital market and exchange rate market of Pakistan. Whereas, domestic money market rates of Pakistan and USA are not cointegrated. Whereas, an evidence of cointegration between capital markets of Pakistan and USA is found in this study. Absence of cointegration between domestic and international money markets tells the investors to get an opportunity of risk diversification in short term trading of financial instruments.
Author | : Emmanuel Erem |
Publisher | : GRIN Verlag |
Total Pages | : 61 |
Release | : 2019-03-20 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3668903921 |
Master's Thesis from the year 2018 in the subject Economics - International Economic Relations, grade: A, National University of Ireland, Maynooth (Department of Economics, Finance and Accounting), course: MSc Economic and Financial Risk Analysis, language: English, abstract: The purpose of this thesis is to examine the effect of real exchange rate volatility between the Canadian and US dollars on real exports from Canada to US. The study uses quarterly data from 1960-2017. The GARCH (1, 1) is used to model exchange rate volatility. After finding the variables are non-stationary with no co-integration, a VAR (Vector Auto regression) model is used to investigate the short-run relationship in the variables using Granger causality, impulse response functions and variance decomposition estimates. The results reveal that the effect of exchange rate volatility is of mixed signs with coefficients that are not statistically significant. The thesis is divided into 7 chapters; chapter 2 gives an overview of important literature and contributions by researchers over the years specifically covering the relationship between exchange rate volatility and trade, exchange rate regimes, exchange rate target zones and inflation targeting. Chapter 3 presents the model and data used, definitions of the variables and the predictions of the model. Chapter 4 gives a theoretical and econometric overview of the unit root and co-integration tests. Chapter 5 gives the data output of the empirical results and discussions of test results. This output is presented using graphs and tables. Chapter 6 is a presentation of the limitations of the model and possible areas of improvement. Lastly, chapter 7 concludes and gives policy recommendations moving forward. Exchange rates are a key player in any economy that is engaging in international trade. A stable monetary policy system and financial sector play a key role in ensuring the exchange rate stability of the currency of a country. Firms and traders rely on prevailing exchange rates to forecast amounts to produce, import and export; thus are very much affected by the exchange rate volatility. In addition to this, there is a currency conversion cost in international trade. Traders use a number of products in financial markets to hedge against currency fluctuations; these include among others forwards contracts. This is especially true for short-term hedging than long-term hedging.