Exchange Rate Volatility and World Trade

Exchange Rate Volatility and World Trade
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 76
Release: 1984-07-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781557750655

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In View of the continuation of substantial movements in exchange rate relationships among major currencies, the recent increase in protectionist pressures, and the disappointing performance of world trade, renewed concern has been expressed about the possible adverse effects of exchange rate variability on trade. Against the background of this concern, the following decision was reached at the ministerial meeting of the General Agreement of Tariffs and Trade (GATT) in November 1982.

Does Exchange Rate Volatility Hinder Export Growth?

Does Exchange Rate Volatility Hinder Export Growth?
Author: Ying Qian
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 47
Release: 1992
Genre: Exports
ISBN:

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Inconsistency in the relationship between exchange rate volatility and export growth reflects differences among countries in the currency in which trade is invoiced. Also, exchange rate volatility may affect the allocation of trade more than its level.

A New Look at Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows

A New Look at Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows
Author: Mr. Peter B. Clark
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 72
Release: 2004-09-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1452733872

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The effect of exchange rate volatility on trade flows was examined by a 1984 IMF study on G-7 countries. Over the past two decades, many developments in the world economy, such as the currency crises in the 1990s and increasing cross-border capital flows, may have exacerbated exchange rate volatility, while others, such as a deepening of the market in foreign exchange hedging instruments, may have reduced the impact of volatility on trade flows. Using recent advances in the economic theories on trade and in statistical methodologies, this paper revisits this important issue by taking into account these new developments and examining their effects on developing and transition economies, as well as on developed countries.

Flexible Exchange Rates for a Stable World Economy

Flexible Exchange Rates for a Stable World Economy
Author: Joseph E. Gagnon
Publisher: Peterson Institute
Total Pages: 301
Release: 2011
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0881326356

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Volatile exchange rates and how to manage them are a contentious topic whenever economic policymakers gather in international meetings. This book examines the broad parameters of exchange rate policy in light of both high-powered theory and real-world experience. What are the costs and benefits of flexible versus fixed exchange rates? How much of a role should the exchange rate play in monetary policy? Why don't volatile exchange rates destabilize inflation and output? The principal finding of this book is that using monetary policy to fight exchange rate volatility, including through the adoption of a fixed exchange rate regime, leads to greater volatility of employment, output, and inflation. In other words, the "cure" for exchange rate volatility is worse than the disease. This finding is demonstrated in economic models, in historical case studies, and in statistical analysis of the data. The book devotes considerable attention to understanding the reasons why volatile exchange rates do not destabilize inflation and output. The book concludes that many countries would benefit from allowing greater flexibility of their exchange rates in order to target monetary policy at stabilization of their domestic economies. Few, if any, countries would benefit from a move in the opposite direction.