Exchange Rate Pass-Through Over the Business Cycle in Singapore

Exchange Rate Pass-Through Over the Business Cycle in Singapore
Author: Mr.Sam Ouliaris
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 30
Release: 2011-06-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1455266426

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This paper investigates exchange rate pass-through in Singapore using band-pass spectral regression techniques, allowing for asymmetric effects over the business cycle. First stage pass-through is estimated to be complete and relatively quick, confirming existing views that the exchange rate provides an effective tool to moderate imported inflation in Singapore. Asymmetric pass-through effects over the business cycle are also detected, with importers passing on a smaller share of exchange rate movements during boom periods as compared to recessions. This result suggest that Singapore’s exchange rate policy could afford to "lean against the wind," especially during cyclical expansions.

Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Inflation in

Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Inflation in
Author: Kodjovi M. Eklou
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2024-08-13
Genre:
ISBN:

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Singapore has addressed high inflation over the past years amid a tight labor market through several rounds of tightening of the exchange rate-based monetary policy. This paper estimates the exchange pass-through to inflation in Singapore with a particular focus on the role of labor market conditions. The paper first finds a strong exchange rate pass-through to inflation in Singapore, after accounting for the potential endogeneity of changes in the exchange rate. Further, it uncovers that labor market tightness dampens exchange rate pass-through and therefore could weaken monetary policy transmission. Overall, the results suggest that monetary policy should be more vigilant under a tight labor market condition. The paper then draws policy implications for taming inflation under tight labor market conditions.

Fear of Inflation

Fear of Inflation
Author: Sam-mo Kang
Publisher: 대외경제정책연구원
Total Pages: 54
Release: 2003
Genre: Anti-inflationary policies
ISBN:

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Exchange Rate Systems and Policies in Asia

Exchange Rate Systems and Policies in Asia
Author: Paul S. L. Yip
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 197
Release: 2008
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9812834516

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This important book comprises insightful papers on lessons learned from some major exchange rate and monetary experiences in Asia, exchange rate crisis management in Asia and choice of exchange rate systems in Asia. Originally published in the Singapore Economic Review, Vol. 52, No. 3, 2007, it deals primarily with the exchange rate systems and policies in the three largest economies in Asia: China, Japan and India. It also contains a paper on Singapore''s exchange rate system, whose success could make it a role model for other small open economies. Notable contributors include Ronald McKinnon and John Williamson, among others. The editor is the original designer of China''s latest exchange rate system reform.

Exchange Rate Pass-Through Into Import Prices In Major Southeast Asian Countries

Exchange Rate Pass-Through Into Import Prices In Major Southeast Asian Countries
Author: Sahminan Sahminan
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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In this paper we estimate exchange rate pass-through into import prices in Indonesia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand during the period from 1974 to 2000. The estimation results show that among the four countries only Singapore had incomplete exchange rate pass-through; the other three countries had complete exchange rate pass-through. The degrees of exchange rate pass-through in major Southeast Asian countries did not differ systematically from the degrees of exchange rate pass-through estimated in a sample of industrialized countries. Factors that seem to be contributing to the variation of exchange rate pass-through across countries are differential inflation rates, money growth, and the presence of MNCs together with intra-firm trade.

Singapore

Singapore
Author: International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 18
Release: 2015-07-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513501917

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External trade plays an important role in Singapore’s economy, providing an important share of total value added. Singapore’s exports have a relatively large import share; however, they also have a high level of complexity. As emphasized in previous studies, value-added in exports plays an important role in trade elasticities. The paper finds evidence that this is indeed the case for Singapore’s export products. Products that have higher domestic value-added share also tend to have higher export price elasticity. Economic complexity is also related to export price elasticities: higher economic complexity is associated with lower price elasticity of exports. This relationship is stronger within certain product segments such as the machinery, mechanical appliances and computers as well as the pharmaceuticals segments. Trade elasticities are important to understand Singapore’s exchange rate based monetary policy transmission. Exchange rate changes can affect profits and trade volumes differently, depending upon the price pass-through to import and export prices and the price elasticity of exports and imports. The import and export price pass-through can in return depend on trade elasticities. The paper also shows that there is important product heterogeneity with respect to trade elasticities; both across different product groups but also within individual product groups. This implies that structural changes in the product composition of trade can lead to sizeable changes in Singapore’s trade elasticities.

The Singapore Economy

The Singapore Economy
Author: Gavin Peebles
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 312
Release: 1996
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Providing a general overview of the macroeconomic nature and recent history of the Singapore economy, this volume discusses its monetary system, trade patterns, balance of payments and the nature of its exchange rate mechanism and policy.

Inflation Targeting

Inflation Targeting
Author: Ben S. Bernanke
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 393
Release: 2018-06-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0691187398

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How should governments and central banks use monetary policy to create a healthy economy? Traditionally, policymakers have used such strategies as controlling the growth of the money supply or pegging the exchange rate to a stable currency. In recent years a promising new approach has emerged: publicly announcing and pursuing specific targets for the rate of inflation. This book is the first in-depth study of inflation targeting. Combining penetrating theoretical analysis with detailed empirical studies of countries where inflation targeting has been adopted, the authors show that the strategy has clear advantages over traditional policies. They argue that the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank should adopt this strategy, and they make specific proposals for doing so. The book begins by explaining the unique features and advantages of inflation targeting. The authors argue that the simplicity and openness of inflation targeting make it far easier for the public to understand the intent and effects of monetary policy. This strategy also increases policymakers' accountability for inflation performance and can accommodate flexible, even "discretionary," monetary policy actions without sacrificing central banks' credibility. The authors examine how well variants of this approach have worked in nine countries: Germany and Switzerland (which employ a money-focused form of inflation targeting), New Zealand, Canada, the United Kingdom, Sweden, Israel, Spain, and Australia. They show that these countries have typically seen lower inflation, lower inflation expectations, and lower nominal interest rates, and have found that one-time shocks to the price level have less of a "pass-through" effect on inflation. These effects, in turn, are improving the climate for economic growth. The authors warn, however, that the success of inflation targeting depends on operational details, such as how the targets are defined and when they are announced. They also show that inflation targeting is not a panacea that can make inflation perfectly predictable or reduce it without economic costs. Clear, balanced, and authoritative, Inflation Targeting is a groundbreaking study that will have a major impact on the debate over the right monetary strategy for the coming decades. As a unique comparative study of what central banks actually do in different countries around the world, this book will also be invaluable to anyone interested in how economic policy is made.

Exchange Rate Economics

Exchange Rate Economics
Author: Ronald MacDonald
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 334
Release: 2005
Genre: Foreign exchange
ISBN: 1134838220

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''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""