Essays in Nonlinear Time Series Econometrics

Essays in Nonlinear Time Series Econometrics
Author: Niels Haldrup
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Total Pages: 393
Release: 2014-06-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0191669547

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This edited collection concerns nonlinear economic relations that involve time. It is divided into four broad themes that all reflect the work and methodology of Professor Timo Teräsvirta, one of the leading scholars in the field of nonlinear time series econometrics. The themes are: Testing for linearity and functional form, specification testing and estimation of nonlinear time series models in the form of smooth transition models, model selection and econometric methodology, and finally applications within the area of financial econometrics. All these research fields include contributions that represent state of the art in econometrics such as testing for neglected nonlinearity in neural network models, time-varying GARCH and smooth transition models, STAR models and common factors in volatility modeling, semi-automatic general to specific model selection for nonlinear dynamic models, high-dimensional data analysis for parametric and semi-parametric regression models with dependent data, commodity price modeling, financial analysts earnings forecasts based on asymmetric loss function, local Gaussian correlation and dependence for asymmetric return dependence, and the use of bootstrap aggregation to improve forecast accuracy. Each chapter represents original scholarly work, and reflects the intellectual impact that Timo Teräsvirta has had and will continue to have, on the profession.

Essays in Nonlinear Time Series Analysis

Essays in Nonlinear Time Series Analysis
Author: Jonathan R. Michel
Publisher:
Total Pages: 128
Release: 2019
Genre: Time-series analysis
ISBN:

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This dissertation consists of six papers. Each of these papers are on a different aspect of statistical analysis of nonlinear time series. In the first paper, we study the behavior of a nonstationary time series which has different behavior for "high" and "low" levels. This consists of the introduction of a new nonlinear time series model, a mathematical analysis of the functional limit theorem for this model, a statistical test for behavior similar to this new model, and a proposed technique for robust cointegration in the presence of this new model. The second paper consists of an extension of this idea into volatility modeling. The third paper considers experimental design and sampling of Markov chains. In particular, it focuses on how to feasibly optimally sample a continuous two-state Markov chain. The fourth paper is on integer valued time series. The focus here is on studying the properties of the INGARCH(1,1) model in the nonstationary case. This consists of applying mathematical machinery rarely used in econometrics. Additionally, in this paper extensions towards stationarity tests are considered. The fifth paper studies the dynamic Tobit, a time series model often used when data is censored below. In this paper, weak dependence and mixing properties are shown to hold, which is relevant for studying the statistical properties of estimation for this model. The sixth paper studies the reciprocal of the random walk. This is relevant in time series econometrics as such a process is a possible model for time series with a stochastic diminishing trend.

Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series

Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series
Author: Timo Teräsvirta
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Total Pages: 592
Release: 2010-12-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780199587148

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This book contains an extensive up-to-date overview of nonlinear time series models and their application to modelling economic relationships. It considers nonlinear models in stationary and nonstationary frameworks, and both parametric and nonparametric models are discussed. The book contains examples of nonlinear models in economic theory and presents the most common nonlinear time series models. Importantly, it shows the reader how to apply these models in practice. For thispurpose, the building of various nonlinear models with its three stages of model building: specification, estimation and evaluation, is discussed in detail and is illustrated by several examples involving both economic and non-economic data. Since estimation of nonlinear time series models is carried outusing numerical algorithms, the book contains a chapter on estimating parametric nonlinear models and another on estimating nonparametric ones.Forecasting is a major reason for building time series models, linear or nonlinear. The book contains a discussion on forecasting with nonlinear models, both parametric and nonparametric, and considers numerical techniques necessary for computing multi-period forecasts from them. The main focus of the book is on models of the conditional mean, but models of the conditional variance, mainly those of autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, receive attention as well. A separate chapter isdevoted to state space models. As a whole, the book is an indispensable tool for researchers interested in nonlinear time series and is also suitable for teaching courses in econometrics and time series analysis.

Volatility and Time Series Econometrics

Volatility and Time Series Econometrics
Author: Mark Watson
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 432
Release: 2010-02-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199549494

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A volume that celebrates and develops the work of Nobel Laureate Robert Engle, it includes original contributions from some of the world's leading econometricians that further Engle's work in time series economics

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Economic and Financial Data

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Economic and Financial Data
Author: Philip Rothman
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 394
Release: 1999-01-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0792383796

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Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Economic and Financial Data provides an examination of the flourishing interest that has developed in this area over the past decade. The constant theme throughout this work is that standard linear time series tools leave unexamined and unexploited economically significant features in frequently used data sets. The book comprises original contributions written by specialists in the field, and offers a combination of both applied and methodological papers. It will be useful to both seasoned veterans of nonlinear time series analysis and those searching for an informative panoramic look at front-line developments in the area.

Volatility and Time Series Econometrics

Volatility and Time Series Econometrics
Author: Tim Bollerslev
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Total Pages: 432
Release: 2010-02-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0191572195

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Robert Engle received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2003 for his work in time series econometrics. This book contains 16 original research contributions by some the leading academic researchers in the fields of time series econometrics, forecasting, volatility modelling, financial econometrics and urban economics, along with historical perspectives related to field of time series econometrics more generally. Engle's Nobel Prize citation focuses on his path-breaking work on autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and the profound effect that this work has had on the field of financial econometrics. Several of the chapters focus on conditional heteroskedasticity, and develop the ideas of Engle's Nobel Prize winning work. Engle's work has had its most profound effect on the modelling of financial variables and several of the chapters use newly developed time series methods to study the behavior of financial variables. Each of the 16 chapters may be read in isolation, but they all importantly build on and relate to the seminal work by Nobel Laureate Robert F. Engle.