Essays in Nonlinear Time Series Econometrics

Essays in Nonlinear Time Series Econometrics
Author: Niels Haldrup
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Total Pages: 393
Release: 2014-06-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0191669547

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This edited collection concerns nonlinear economic relations that involve time. It is divided into four broad themes that all reflect the work and methodology of Professor Timo Teräsvirta, one of the leading scholars in the field of nonlinear time series econometrics. The themes are: Testing for linearity and functional form, specification testing and estimation of nonlinear time series models in the form of smooth transition models, model selection and econometric methodology, and finally applications within the area of financial econometrics. All these research fields include contributions that represent state of the art in econometrics such as testing for neglected nonlinearity in neural network models, time-varying GARCH and smooth transition models, STAR models and common factors in volatility modeling, semi-automatic general to specific model selection for nonlinear dynamic models, high-dimensional data analysis for parametric and semi-parametric regression models with dependent data, commodity price modeling, financial analysts earnings forecasts based on asymmetric loss function, local Gaussian correlation and dependence for asymmetric return dependence, and the use of bootstrap aggregation to improve forecast accuracy. Each chapter represents original scholarly work, and reflects the intellectual impact that Timo Teräsvirta has had and will continue to have, on the profession.

Nonlinear Time Series

Nonlinear Time Series
Author: Jianqing Fan
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 565
Release: 2008-09-11
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0387693955

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This is the first book that integrates useful parametric and nonparametric techniques with time series modeling and prediction, the two important goals of time series analysis. Such a book will benefit researchers and practitioners in various fields such as econometricians, meteorologists, biologists, among others who wish to learn useful time series methods within a short period of time. The book also intends to serve as a reference or text book for graduate students in statistics and econometrics.

Essays in Nonlinear Time Series Analysis

Essays in Nonlinear Time Series Analysis
Author: Jonathan R. Michel
Publisher:
Total Pages: 128
Release: 2019
Genre: Time-series analysis
ISBN:

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This dissertation consists of six papers. Each of these papers are on a different aspect of statistical analysis of nonlinear time series. In the first paper, we study the behavior of a nonstationary time series which has different behavior for "high" and "low" levels. This consists of the introduction of a new nonlinear time series model, a mathematical analysis of the functional limit theorem for this model, a statistical test for behavior similar to this new model, and a proposed technique for robust cointegration in the presence of this new model. The second paper consists of an extension of this idea into volatility modeling. The third paper considers experimental design and sampling of Markov chains. In particular, it focuses on how to feasibly optimally sample a continuous two-state Markov chain. The fourth paper is on integer valued time series. The focus here is on studying the properties of the INGARCH(1,1) model in the nonstationary case. This consists of applying mathematical machinery rarely used in econometrics. Additionally, in this paper extensions towards stationarity tests are considered. The fifth paper studies the dynamic Tobit, a time series model often used when data is censored below. In this paper, weak dependence and mixing properties are shown to hold, which is relevant for studying the statistical properties of estimation for this model. The sixth paper studies the reciprocal of the random walk. This is relevant in time series econometrics as such a process is a possible model for time series with a stochastic diminishing trend.

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis
Author: Holger Kantz
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 390
Release: 2004
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9780521529020

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The paradigm of deterministic chaos has influenced thinking in many fields of science. Chaotic systems show rich and surprising mathematical structures. In the applied sciences, deterministic chaos provides a striking explanation for irregular behaviour and anomalies in systems which do not seem to be inherently stochastic. The most direct link between chaos theory and the real world is the analysis of time series from real systems in terms of nonlinear dynamics. Experimental technique and data analysis have seen such dramatic progress that, by now, most fundamental properties of nonlinear dynamical systems have been observed in the laboratory. Great efforts are being made to exploit ideas from chaos theory wherever the data displays more structure than can be captured by traditional methods. Problems of this kind are typical in biology and physiology but also in geophysics, economics, and many other sciences.

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis
Author: Holger Kantz
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 390
Release: 2003-11-27
Genre: Science
ISBN: 1139440438

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The paradigm of deterministic chaos has influenced thinking in many fields of science. Chaotic systems show rich and surprising mathematical structures. In the applied sciences, deterministic chaos provides a striking explanation for irregular behaviour and anomalies in systems which do not seem to be inherently stochastic. The most direct link between chaos theory and the real world is the analysis of time series from real systems in terms of nonlinear dynamics. Experimental technique and data analysis have seen such dramatic progress that, by now, most fundamental properties of nonlinear dynamical systems have been observed in the laboratory. Great efforts are being made to exploit ideas from chaos theory wherever the data displays more structure than can be captured by traditional methods. Problems of this kind are typical in biology and physiology but also in geophysics, economics, and many other sciences.

Non-Linear Time Series

Non-Linear Time Series
Author: Kamil Feridun Turkman
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 255
Release: 2014-09-29
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3319070282

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This book offers a useful combination of probabilistic and statistical tools for analyzing nonlinear time series. Key features of the book include a study of the extremal behavior of nonlinear time series and a comprehensive list of nonlinear models that address different aspects of nonlinearity. Several inferential methods, including quasi likelihood methods, sequential Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods and particle filters, are also included so as to provide an overall view of the available tools for parameter estimation for nonlinear models. A chapter on integer time series models based on several thinning operations, which brings together all recent advances made in this area, is also included. Readers should have attended a prior course on linear time series, and a good grasp of simulation-based inferential methods is recommended. This book offers a valuable resource for second-year graduate students and researchers in statistics and other scientific areas who need a basic understanding of nonlinear time series.

Elements of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

Elements of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Author: Jan G. De Gooijer
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 626
Release: 2017-03-30
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3319432524

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This book provides an overview of the current state-of-the-art of nonlinear time series analysis, richly illustrated with examples, pseudocode algorithms and real-world applications. Avoiding a “theorem-proof” format, it shows concrete applications on a variety of empirical time series. The book can be used in graduate courses in nonlinear time series and at the same time also includes interesting material for more advanced readers. Though it is largely self-contained, readers require an understanding of basic linear time series concepts, Markov chains and Monte Carlo simulation methods. The book covers time-domain and frequency-domain methods for the analysis of both univariate and multivariate (vector) time series. It makes a clear distinction between parametric models on the one hand, and semi- and nonparametric models/methods on the other. This offers the reader the option of concentrating exclusively on one of these nonlinear time series analysis methods. To make the book as user friendly as possible, major supporting concepts and specialized tables are appended at the end of every chapter. In addition, each chapter concludes with a set of key terms and concepts, as well as a summary of the main findings. Lastly, the book offers numerous theoretical and empirical exercises, with answers provided by the author in an extensive solutions manual.