Econometric Models of World Agricultural Commodity Markets

Econometric Models of World Agricultural Commodity Markets
Author: Francis Gerard Adams
Publisher:
Total Pages: 188
Release: 1976
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Commodity market models in the world economy. General specification of the commodity. Econometric estimates of commodity models. Econometric model performance over. Econometric model multiplier simulations.

Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis

Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis
Author: Walter C. Labys
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Total Pages: 222
Release: 2024-02-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 100384670X

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Originally published in 1984 this book remains as relevant as when it was first published. At that time the oil crises of the 1970s and the growing international debt burden highlighted the extent to which events in primary commodity markets continue to influence the economies of developing and industrialized economies alike. Commodity modelling has become a valuable tool in efforts to predict and understand the behaviour of commodity markets and thereby reduce their fluctuations. This book provides an overview of the nature of the different types of commodity model as well as their diverse applications. In non-technical language the reader is introduced to the underlying modelling methodologies, including their advantages, limitations and commodity specific implications. The book will be of interest to commodity economists, traders and analysts, economic planners and those involved in agricultural, mineral and energy modelling.

Primary Commodity Markets and Models

Primary Commodity Markets and Models
Author: Walter C. Labys
Publisher: Gower Publishing Company, Limited
Total Pages: 308
Release: 1987
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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A Survey of Recent U.S. Developments in International Agricultural Trade Models

A Survey of Recent U.S. Developments in International Agricultural Trade Models
Author: Robert L. Thompson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 84
Release: 1981
Genre: Agriculture
ISBN:

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Extract: This report critically reviews econometrically estimated export demand equations, multiregion world trade models, including nonspatial and spatial price equilibrium models, and trade flow and market share models. Both single- and multiple-product models are treated. The report describes each modeling approach and its distinguishing characteristics, surveys the recent research, identifies technical and empirical problems, and evaluates its contribution to the objectives of agricultural trade modeling. The report ends with an appraisal of the state of the art and recommends directions for future research and modeling work on agricultural trade.

International Commodity Market Models and Policy Analysis

International Commodity Market Models and Policy Analysis
Author: O. Güvenen
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 276
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 940091167X

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o. Guvenen, University of Paris IX-Dauphine The aim of this publication is to present recent developments in international com modity market model building and policy analysis. This book is based mainly on the research presented at the XlIth International Conference organised by the Applied Econometric Association (AEA) which was held at the University of Zaragoza in Spain. This conference would not have been possible with out the cooperation of the Department of Econometrics of the University of Zaragoza and its Chairman A.A. Grasa. I would like to express my thanks to all contributors. I am grateful to J.H.P. Paelinck, J.P. Ancot, A.J. Hughes Hallett and H. Serbat for their constructive contributions and comments concerning the structure of the book. vii INTRODUCTION o. Guvenen The challenge of increasing complexity and global interdependence at the world level necessitates new modelling approaches and policy analysis at the macroeconomic level, and for commodities. The evaluation of economic modelling.follows the evolution of international economic phenomena. In that interdependent context there is a growing need for forecasting and simulation tools in the analysis of international primary com modity markets.

Methods to Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility

Methods to Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility
Author: Isabelle Piot-Lepetit
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 238
Release: 2011-06-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1441976345

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This book examines the issue of price volatility in agricultural commodities markets and how this phenomenon has evolved in recent years. The factors underlying the price spike of 2007-08 appear to be global and macroeconomic in nature, including the rapid growth in demand by developing countries, the international financial crisis, and exchange rate movements. Some of these factors are new, appearing as influences on price volatility only in the last decade. Although volatility has always been a feature of agricultural commodity markets, the evidence suggests that volatility has increased in certain commodity markets. A growing problem is that agricultural price shocks and volatility disrupt agricultural markets, economic incentives and incomes. With increased globalization and integration of financial and energy markets with agricultural commodity markets, the relationships between markets are expanding and becoming more complex. When a crisis such as a regional drought, food safety scare or a financial crisis hits a particular market, policy-makers often do not know the extent to which it will impact on other markets and affect producer, consumer and trader decisions. Including contributions from experts at the World Bank, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, the USDA, and the European Commission, the research developed throughout the chapters of this book is based on current methodologies that can be used to analyze price volatility and provide directions for understanding this volatility and the development of new agricultural policies. The book highlights the challenges facing policy makers in dealing with the changing nature of agricultural commodities markets, and offers recommendations for anticipating price movements and managing their consequences. It will be a practical guide for both present and future policy-makers in deciding on potential price-stabilizing interventions, and will also serve as a useful resource for researchers and students in agricultural economics.

International Commodity Market Models

International Commodity Market Models
Author: Orhan Güvenen
Publisher: Reviews of United Kingdom Stat
Total Pages: 360
Release: 1991
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Part of a series, this volume comprises a selection of methodology-oriented papers presented at the 25th International Conference of the Applied Econometrics Association on International Commodity Market Modelling which took place at the World Bank, Washington, 1988.