Developing an Effective Model for Detecting Trade-Based Market Manipulation

Developing an Effective Model for Detecting Trade-Based Market Manipulation
Author: Jose Joy Thoppan
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Total Pages: 120
Release: 2021-05-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1801173966

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Developing an Effective Model for Detecting Trade-Based Market Manipulation determines an appropriate model to help identify stocks witnessing activities that are indicative of potential manipulation through three separate but related studies.

Developing an Effective Model for Detecting Trade-Based Market Manipulation

Developing an Effective Model for Detecting Trade-Based Market Manipulation
Author: Jose Joy Thoppan
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Total Pages: 86
Release: 2021-05-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1801173982

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Developing an Effective Model for Detecting Trade-Based Market Manipulation determines an appropriate model to help identify stocks witnessing activities that are indicative of potential manipulation through three separate but related studies.

Stock Market Manipulation Detection Using Continuous Wavelet Transform & Machine Learning Classification

Stock Market Manipulation Detection Using Continuous Wavelet Transform & Machine Learning Classification
Author: Sarah Youssef
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2021
Genre: Machine learning
ISBN:

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Abstract: Stock market manipulation detection is important for both investors and regulators. Being able to detect stock manipulation and preventing it gives investors the confidence in the market fairness and integrity. It also helps maintaining liquidity of the stocks and market efficiency. Implementing data mining algorithms in manipulation detection is a relatively recent technique but in the past few years there has been an increasing interest in it's applications in this domain. The benefit of monitoring manipulative trade behavior is that it can be implemented on live feed of stock data, which saves a lot of time in detecting stock price manipulation. This research implements machine learning algorithms in detecting trade manipulations where trade behaviors artificially impact the National Best Bid and Offer (NBBO) of traded stocks. Research methodology implemented is based on feature extraction using signal analysis, taking advantage of the similarity between physical signals measured by machines and raw financial data. Accordingly, Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) is applied on actual manipulation data for feature extraction, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and factor analysis are used for dimensionality reduction and then Machine Learning Classifiers are trained and tested. Tick Bid/Ask Price and volume data of actual 15 manipulation cases published by the Security Exchange Center (SEC) was extracted from an online interface and labeled accordingly. This data was then used to train, and test 3 different classification models (XGBoost, KNN & SVM) and the outcome was compared accordingly. Results showed that introducing continuous wavelet transform enhances model accuracy, it increased precision results tremendously, while reducing recall values slightly. Adding PCA, reduced run time greatly, yet reduced the quality of some models prediction. Out of the three classifiers XGboost & KNN are showing the highest performance.

The Little Book of Market Manipulation

The Little Book of Market Manipulation
Author: Gregory J Durston
Publisher: Waterside Press
Total Pages: 152
Release: 2020-01-29
Genre: Law
ISBN: 1909976733

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Market manipulation comes in many forms. For a wrong that some say started life with groups of men dressed in Bourbon uniforms spreading false information in cod French accents, the speed of change has accelerated dramatically in the modern era, via the Internet, novel forms of electronic communication, ultra-fast computer-generated trading, new types of financial instruments, and increased globalisation. This means that opportunities for carrying-out new forms of manipulation now exist on an exponential scale. Looks at the mechanisms, criminal and civil, to confront market manipulation, its enforcement regimes, legal and evidential rules and potential loopholes. Shows how every individual involved in market transactions can fall foul of the law if they do not ensure integrity in their dealings. The ‘tricks’ used by those seeking to benefit from this special category of fraud and the relationship of dedicated provisions to the general law is outlined, with key statutory provisions set out in an appendix. A valuable accompaniment to The Little Book of Insider Dealing (Waterside Press, 2018). An invaluable pocket guide and law primer. An essential guide for investors. With practical examples and decided cases. An up-to-date treatment of a fast-moving topic. Describes both criminal and regulatory regimes. Contents include Forms of Market Manipulation; Suspicion, Identification, Detection and Investigation; Obligations and Enforcement; Criminal Offences, Defences and Punishment; Regulatory Provisions and Penalties; Evidence; Acronyms; Select Bibliography; Key Statutory Provisions and Index.

Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading

Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading
Author: Stefan Jansen
Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd
Total Pages: 822
Release: 2020-07-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1839216786

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Leverage machine learning to design and back-test automated trading strategies for real-world markets using pandas, TA-Lib, scikit-learn, LightGBM, SpaCy, Gensim, TensorFlow 2, Zipline, backtrader, Alphalens, and pyfolio. Purchase of the print or Kindle book includes a free eBook in the PDF format. Key FeaturesDesign, train, and evaluate machine learning algorithms that underpin automated trading strategiesCreate a research and strategy development process to apply predictive modeling to trading decisionsLeverage NLP and deep learning to extract tradeable signals from market and alternative dataBook Description The explosive growth of digital data has boosted the demand for expertise in trading strategies that use machine learning (ML). This revised and expanded second edition enables you to build and evaluate sophisticated supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning models. This book introduces end-to-end machine learning for the trading workflow, from the idea and feature engineering to model optimization, strategy design, and backtesting. It illustrates this by using examples ranging from linear models and tree-based ensembles to deep-learning techniques from cutting edge research. This edition shows how to work with market, fundamental, and alternative data, such as tick data, minute and daily bars, SEC filings, earnings call transcripts, financial news, or satellite images to generate tradeable signals. It illustrates how to engineer financial features or alpha factors that enable an ML model to predict returns from price data for US and international stocks and ETFs. It also shows how to assess the signal content of new features using Alphalens and SHAP values and includes a new appendix with over one hundred alpha factor examples. By the end, you will be proficient in translating ML model predictions into a trading strategy that operates at daily or intraday horizons, and in evaluating its performance. What you will learnLeverage market, fundamental, and alternative text and image dataResearch and evaluate alpha factors using statistics, Alphalens, and SHAP valuesImplement machine learning techniques to solve investment and trading problemsBacktest and evaluate trading strategies based on machine learning using Zipline and BacktraderOptimize portfolio risk and performance analysis using pandas, NumPy, and pyfolioCreate a pairs trading strategy based on cointegration for US equities and ETFsTrain a gradient boosting model to predict intraday returns using AlgoSeek's high-quality trades and quotes dataWho this book is for If you are a data analyst, data scientist, Python developer, investment analyst, or portfolio manager interested in getting hands-on machine learning knowledge for trading, this book is for you. This book is for you if you want to learn how to extract value from a diverse set of data sources using machine learning to design your own systematic trading strategies. Some understanding of Python and machine learning techniques is required.

Manipulations in Prediction Markets

Manipulations in Prediction Markets
Author: Jan Schröder
Publisher: KIT Scientific Publishing
Total Pages: 180
Release: 2009
Genre: Business
ISBN: 3866443447

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Fraud and manipulation in prediction markets are systematic results of incentive incompatibility, which, if present, have to be detected and balanced. ""Manipulations in Prediction Markets"" gives a critical insight into manipulations that are most likely to occur in prediction markets. In a general approach the book discusses the issue of incentives in markets and the breakdown of the incentive system. On this basis a new way of detecting irregular trading behaviour is introduced.

The Detection of Market Abuse on Financial Markets

The Detection of Market Abuse on Financial Markets
Author: Marcello Minenna
Publisher:
Total Pages: 53
Release: 2012
Genre:
ISBN:

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In every country with legislation on market abuse, i.e. on market manipulation and insider trading, the repression of these offences is entrusted to supervisory and judicial authorities with powers that vary with the legislation in question. A procedure permitting cases of market abuse to be detected in real time is a need that is strongly felt by financial market supervisory authorities. Such a procedure consists basically in the analysis of the transactions carried out on the market by traders in order to detect anomalies that could be symptomatic of market abuse. The aim of this paper is to develop, through recourse to probability theory, a method for identifying cases of market abuse more effectively.

The Economics, Law, and Public Policy of Market Power Manipulation

The Economics, Law, and Public Policy of Market Power Manipulation
Author: S. Craig Pirrong
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 269
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1461562597

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Deterrence of market manipulation is central to the entire regulatory and legal framework governing the operation of American commodity futures markets. However, despite all of the regulatory, scholarly, and legal scrutiny of market manipulation, the subject is widely misunderstood. Federal commodity and securities laws prohibit manipulation, but do not define it. Scholarly research has failed to analyze adequately the causes or effects of manipulation, and the relevant judicial decisions are confused, confusing, and contradictory. The aim of this book is to illuminate the process of market manipulation by presenting a rigorous economic analysis of this phenomenon, including the conditions that facilitate it and its effects on market users and others. The conclusions of this analysis are used to examine critically some legal and regulatory anti-manipulation policies. The Economics, Law and Public Policy of Market Power Manipulation concludes with a set of robust and realistic tests that regulators and jurists can apply to detect and deter manipulation.

Geo-Spatial Knowledge and Intelligence

Geo-Spatial Knowledge and Intelligence
Author: Hanning Yuan
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 644
Release: 2017-03-02
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 9811039666

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The two volume proceedings of CCIS 698 and 699 constitutes revised selected papers from the 4th International Conference on Geo-Informatics in Resource Management and Sustainable Ecosystem, GRMSE 2016, held in Hong Kong, China, in November 2016. The total of 118 papers presented in these proceedings were carefully reviewed and selected from 311 submissions. The contributions were organized in topical sections named: smart city in resource management and sustainable ecosystem; spatial data acquisition through RS and GIS in resource management and sustainable ecosystem; ecological and environmental data processing and management; advanced geospatial model and analysis for understanding ecological and environmental processes; applications of geo-informatics in resource management and sustainable ecosystem.

Corruption and Fraud in Financial Markets

Corruption and Fraud in Financial Markets
Author: Carol Alexander
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 624
Release: 2020-06-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1119421772

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Identifying malpractice and misconduct should be top priority for financial risk managers today Corruption and Fraud in Financial Markets identifies potential issues surrounding all types of fraud, misconduct, price/volume manipulation and other forms of malpractice. Chapters cover detection, prevention and regulation of corruption and fraud within different financial markets. Written by experts at the forefront of finance and risk management, this book details the many practices that bring potentially devastating consequences, including insider trading, bribery, false disclosure, frontrunning, options backdating, and improper execution or broker-agency relationships. Informed but corrupt traders manipulate prices in dark pools run by investment banks, using anonymous deals to move prices in their own favour, extracting value from ordinary investors time and time again. Strategies such as wash, ladder and spoofing trades are rife, even on regulated exchanges – and in unregulated cryptocurrency exchanges one can even see these manipulative quotes happening real-time in the limit order book. More generally, financial market misconduct and fraud affects about 15 percent of publicly listed companies each year and the resulting fines can devastate an organisation's budget and initiate a tailspin from which it may never recover. This book gives you a deeper understanding of all these issues to help prevent you and your company from falling victim to unethical practices. Learn about the different types of corruption and fraud and where they may be hiding in your organisation Identify improper relationships and conflicts of interest before they become a problem Understand the regulations surrounding market misconduct, and how they affect your firm Prevent budget-breaking fines and other potentially catastrophic consequences Since the LIBOR scandal, many major banks have been fined billions of dollars for manipulation of prices, exchange rates and interest rates. Headline cases aside, misconduct and fraud is uncomfortably prevalent in a large number of financial firms; it can exist in a wide variety of forms, with practices in multiple departments, making self-governance complex. Corruption and Fraud in Financial Markets is a comprehensive guide to identifying and stopping potential problems before they reach the level of finable misconduct.