Parallel Currency Markets in Developing Countries

Parallel Currency Markets in Developing Countries
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 52
Release: 1990-12-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451943229

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The paper reviews recent theoretical and empirical developments in the analysis of informal currency markets in developing countries. The basic characteristics of these markets are highlighted, and alternative analytical models to explain them are discussed. The implications for exchange rate policy —including imposition of foreign exchange restrictions, devaluation, and unification of exchange markets— in countries with a sizable parallel market are also examined.

Parallel Exchange Rates in Developing Countries

Parallel Exchange Rates in Developing Countries
Author: Miguel A. Kiguel
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 411
Release: 2016-07-27
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1349255203

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'...the most definitive study of the subject, assembling an all-star cast to address the many outstanding questions and succeeding beyond expectations in combining elegant theory and state of the art econometrics to reach very sensible policy conclusions.' - Mohsin S. Khan, Deputy Director, Research Department, International Monetary Fund ' This book fills an important vacuum in the literature of the economic consequences of parallel markets and should prove of great value to students of economic development and to policy-makers in developing countries as they struggle to reform their exchange rate and trade incentive systems. Here they will find all that they need to know.' - Vittorio Corbo, Professor of Economics, Universidad Catolica de Chile 'A most comprehensive treatment of the relationships between parallel foreign exchange markets and macroeconomic policies, both across countries and over time. The book substantially enhances our understanding of how these systems work in practice and will be of great interest to policy-makers, researchers and graduate students of economic policy.' - Samuel M. Wangwe, Professor of Economics, University of Dar es Salaam and Executive Director, Economic and Social Research Foundation, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania This book examines extensive empirical evidence on the macroeconomic implications of parallel exchange rates in developing countries. Eight case-studies from Africa, Latin America, and Turkey provide detailed evidence on the emergence of parallel exchange rates, their impact on macroeconomic performance, and the criteria for successful exchange-rate unification. A chapter on European dual exchange rates summarizes the contrasting experience of industrial countries. An overview chapter lays out the analytical framework, assesses the evidence, and draws policy conclusions.

Exchange Controls and Parallel Market Economies in Sub-Saharan Africa

Exchange Controls and Parallel Market Economies in Sub-Saharan Africa
Author: Ernesto May
Publisher:
Total Pages: 168
Release: 1985
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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This paper provides a theoretical framework to understand the way in which exchange controls modify the behavior of the different agents in the economy, leading to the creation of a parallel market economy. It gives the necessary theoretical elements to analyze this parallel market economy and provides a simple methodology to obtain relevant quantitative information about it. Finally, the paper elaborates on some of the policy implications of the existence of a parallel market economy. The model developed shows that the parallel market activities can be explained through the optimizing behavior of exporters and importers, which determines the amount of import and export smuggling, the level of the rent-seeking activity, and the black market exchange rate that is consistent with an equilibrium position where no one has any more incentives to move from their attained position. A method to detect the presence, and assess the magnitude of the parallel market economy, as well as to explain its behavior quantitatively, is then developed and applied to the case of Ghana.

Stabilization Policies in Developing Countries with a Parallel Market for Foreign Exchange

Stabilization Policies in Developing Countries with a Parallel Market for Foreign Exchange
Author: Pierre-Richard Agénor
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 44
Release: 1990-03-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451923236

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The paper develops and tests a model of a developing economy that incorporates trade and capital restrictions, illegal transactions, a parallel foreign exchange market, currency substitution features, and forward-looking rational expectations. Temporary expansionary demand policies are associated with an increase in output and prices, a fall in the stock of net foreign assets, and a depreciation of the parallel exchange rate. The speed of adjustment is inversely related to the degree of rationing in the official foreign currency market. A once-for–all devaluation of the official exchange rate has no long-term effect on the premium.

Exchange Rate Overvaluation and Trade Protection

Exchange Rate Overvaluation and Trade Protection
Author: Howard J. Shatz
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2000
Genre: Black market in foreign exchange
ISBN:

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"Lessons from world experience about the consequences of exchange rate overvaluation (the frequent cause of trade crises), the consequences of trying to defend an overvalued exchange rate, and the most appropriate policies for resolving an overvaluation"--Cover.

Exchange Restrictions and Devaluation Crises

Exchange Restrictions and Devaluation Crises
Author: Pierre-Richard Agénor
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 40
Release: 1990-09-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451954344

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This paper develops a model of devaluation crises for an economy where foreign exchange restrictions lead to the emergence of a parallel market. The devaluation rule relates the size of the parity change to the spread between the official and parallel exchange rates. The mechanism that triggers the devaluation relates credit policy and the inflation tax. A credit expansion leads to an increase in the spread and possibly to a fall in inflation tax revenue, as agents switch away from domestic currency holdings. A devaluation reverses temporarily the process of erosion of the tax base if the associated fall in the premium raises the credibility of the new parity.

Black Markets for Foreign Exchange, Real Exchange Rates, and Inflation

Black Markets for Foreign Exchange, Real Exchange Rates, and Inflation
Author: Brian Pinto
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 37
Release: 1988
Genre: Black market
ISBN:

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Inflation could rise permanently and substantially as a result of unifying official and black market exchange rates, even if real government spending remains constant.

Exchange Rate Misalignment in Developing Countries

Exchange Rate Misalignment in Developing Countries
Author: Sebastian Edwards
Publisher: Johns Hopkins University Press
Total Pages: 110
Release: 1988
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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This article analyzes the theory of equilibrium real exchange rates and defines misalignment as a deviation of the real exchange rate (RER) from its equilibrium level. The role of macroeconomic policies is then analyzed under three alternative nominal exchange rate regimes: predetermined nominal exchange rates; floating nominal rates; and dual or black market nominal exchange rates. This discussion points out how inconsistent macroeconomic policies often lead to real exchange rate misalignment. Corrective measures, including nominal devaluation and several alternative approaches, are then evaluated.