Current Issues on Seasonal Adjustment

Current Issues on Seasonal Adjustment
Author: Estela Bee Dagum
Publisher:
Total Pages: 40
Release: 1987
Genre: Seasonal variations (Economics)
ISBN:

Download Current Issues on Seasonal Adjustment Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

"This paper discusses three problems that have been a major preoccupation among researchers and practitioners of seasonal adjustment in statistical bureaus for the last ten years. These problems are (1) the use of concurrent versus seasonal factor forecasts for current seasonal adjustment, (2) finding an optional pattern of revisions for series seasonally adjusted with concurrent factors and (3) smoothing highly irregular seasonally adjusted data"--Abstract.

Economic Time Series

Economic Time Series
Author: William R. Bell
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 544
Release: 2018-11-14
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1439846588

Download Economic Time Series Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Economic Time Series: Modeling and Seasonality is a focused resource on analysis of economic time series as pertains to modeling and seasonality, presenting cutting-edge research that would otherwise be scattered throughout diverse peer-reviewed journals. This compilation of 21 chapters showcases the cross-fertilization between the fields of time s

Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend-Cycle Estimation

Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend-Cycle Estimation
Author: Estela Bee Dagum
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 293
Release: 2016-06-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319318225

Download Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend-Cycle Estimation Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This book explores widely used seasonal adjustment methods and recent developments in real time trend-cycle estimation. It discusses in detail the properties and limitations of X12ARIMA, TRAMO-SEATS and STAMP - the main seasonal adjustment methods used by statistical agencies. Several real-world cases illustrate each method and real data examples can be followed throughout the text. The trend-cycle estimation is presented using nonparametric techniques based on moving averages, linear filters and reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, taking recent advances into account. The book provides a systematical treatment of results that to date have been scattered throughout the literature. Seasonal adjustment and real time trend-cycle prediction play an essential part at all levels of activity in modern economies. They are used by governments to counteract cyclical recessions, by central banks to control inflation, by decision makers for better modeling and planning and by hospitals, manufacturers, builders, transportation, and consumers in general to decide on appropriate action. This book appeals to practitioners in government institutions, finance and business, macroeconomists, and other professionals who use economic data as well as academic researchers in time series analysis, seasonal adjustment methods, filtering and signal extraction. It is also useful for graduate and final-year undergraduate courses in econometrics and time series with a good understanding of linear regression and matrix algebra, as well as ARIMA modelling.

Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions

Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions
Author: Barend Abeln
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 94
Release: 2023-02-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3031228456

Download Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Seasonality in economic time series can "obscure" movements of other components in a series that are operationally more important for economic and econometric analyses. In practice, one often prefers to work with seasonally adjusted data to assess the current state of the economy and its future course. This book presents a seasonal adjustment program called CAMPLET, an acronym of its tuning parameters, which consists of a simple adaptive procedure to extract the seasonal and the non-seasonal component from an observed series. Once this process is carried out, there will be no need to revise these components at a later stage when new observations become available. The authors describe the main features of CAMPLET, evaluate the outcomes of CAMPLET and X-13ARIMA-SEATS in a controlled simulation framework using a variety of data generating processes, and illustrate CAMPLET and X-13ARIMA-SEATS with three time series: US non-farm payroll employment, operational income of Ahold and real GDP in the Netherlands. Furthermore they show how CAMPLET performs under the COVID-19 crisis, and its attractiveness in dealing with daily data. This book appeals to scholars and students of econometrics and statistics, interested in the application of statistical methods for empirical economic modeling.

Seasonal Adjustment in the 80's

Seasonal Adjustment in the 80's
Author: Estela Bee Dagum
Publisher:
Total Pages: 25
Release: 1987
Genre: Seasonal variations (Economics)
ISBN:

Download Seasonal Adjustment in the 80's Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

"Most statistical bureaus do not apply uniform practices for the seasonal adjustment of related series and, consequently, the presence of inconsistencies may occur. This lack of uniformity results mainly from the fact that: (1) the seasonal adjustment method, the X-11-ARIMA, can be used in four different modes (each mode producing different current seasonally adjusted values of the same series); and (2) that most key economic and social indicators are large aggregates and the results differ whether they are seasonally adjusted directly or indirectly (through the aggregation of each of the seasonally adjusted components). Other problems faced currently by Statistics Canada and other statistical bureaus which will also be discussed in this paper are: the smoothing of highly irregular seasonally adjusted series, the estimation of trading day variation and the estimation of Easter effect"--Abstract.

Issues Involved with the Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Times Series

Issues Involved with the Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Times Series
Author: William Robert Bell
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 1984
Genre: Seasonal variations (Economics)
ISBN:

Download Issues Involved with the Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Times Series Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This paper looks at the history, issues, and criteria for evaluation of seasonal adjustment.

Seasonal Adjustment with the X-11 Method

Seasonal Adjustment with the X-11 Method
Author: Dominique Ladiray
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 245
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1461301750

Download Seasonal Adjustment with the X-11 Method Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The most widely used statistical method in seasonal adjustment is implemented in the X-11 Variant of the Census Method II Seasonal Adjustment Program. Developed by the US Bureau of the Census, it resulted in the X-11-ARIMA software and the X-12-ARIMA. While these integrate parametric methods, they remain close to the initial X-11 method, and it is this "core" that Seasonal Adjustment with the X-11 Method focuses on. It will be an important reference for government agencies, and other serious users of economic data.